经济观察网 实习记者 余寒 Economic observation nets practice reporter YuHan

　　8月7日，渣打银行发布了一份名为《中国房地产步入复苏》的报告，报告根据渣打的第六次开发商调研，指出地价和房价似已见底，房地产行业已经开始复苏。

August 7,，Standard chartered bank issued a name《China real estate into recovery》report，Report of the sixth developers according to standard chartered research，Points out that the land and house prices seems to have seen bottom，The real estate industry has been on the rebound。

　　此次调研的对象是全国八座城市的30家房地产开发企业，与前五次调查相同，围绕着开发企业的经营状况和市场前景等问题，以问卷的形式展开调查。

The research object is the eight cities of the 30 real estate development enterprises，And the first five times the same survey，Around the development enterprise's management state and the market prospect，In the form of questionnaire investigation。

　　调查结果分析报告指出，建筑施工数量同比增长或许在下降，但近期建筑施工活动似乎稳定。另外，面对土地交易量零增长及地方政府不愿降低地价的现实，报告认为，高房价的主因是高地价，而高地价则深植于地方政府对土地收入的依赖。渣打银行研究分析师提出，如果不解决这个根本问题，地价很可能不会下降只会上升。

The results of the survey analysis report said，Construction quantity year-on-year growth in May decline，But recent construction activity seems to be stable。In addition，Face the land zero growth and the local government trading volume to reduce the price of the reality，Report says，The main reason of the high prices is the high price，And the high price is deeply rooted in local government to land income dependence。Standard chartered bank research analysts put forward，If you don't solve the fundamental problem，Land price probably won't drop will only rise。

　　此次调查结果显示，近90%的房屋销售来自于真正的需求。据此，研究分析师预计今年被抑制的需求将持续推进房屋销售。同时，在30家调研对象中，有4/5的开发商认为房价已经触底反弹，这与他们在接受前一期调研时的想法大相径庭。

The survey results are shown，Nearly 90% of home sales from the real needs。accordingly，Research analysts expect this year pent-up demand will continue to promote housing sales。At the same time，In the 30 house investigation object，4/5 of the developers think that house prices have a touch on the rebound，This and they before accepting the idea of a period when the investigation is completely different。

　　报告称，随着基准利率两次下调，银行和信托公司的融资成本有所下降，银行针对房地产项目开发贷款的平均利率在三次调研期间下调了1.2个百分点，开发商资金紧张的局面有所缓解，降价销售的项目也越来越少。

The report says，As the benchmark interest rate cut two times，Bank and trust company financing costs have dropped，For real estate project development bank loan interest rates three times the average in the 1.2% cut during the investigation，Developers funds to ease the situation，On sale program also less and less。

　　该报告显示，在政策预期上，多数开发商预计中央政府政策不会变，但地方政府会继续悄然行事，自行放松房地产调控政策。渣打认为，即便北京方面采取防范措施或组织监督调查，也不会改变房地产市场逐步复苏的整体形势。

The report says that，In the policy expected，Most developers are expected to the central government policy will not change，But the local government will continue to quietly act，Real estate to relax control policy。Standard chartered think，Even if Beijing take preventive measures or organization supervision investigation，The real estate market is not going to change the whole of the gradual expansion of the situation。