随着本月6日最后一个督查组结束工作，本轮国务院督查工作正式宣告收官。据悉，各个督查组近日陆续回京，督查情况将于近期形成报告并上报国务院。业界普遍认为，新政的出台时机，很有可能避开“金九银十”的交易旺季，在本月内落定。

With the last 6 th DuZhaZu end work，This work of protecting the state council was officially declared receive an official。It is reported，Each DuZhaZu recently have back to Beijing，To the formation of protecting situation report and submitted to the state council。Industry generally thought，The New Deal on time，Very could avoid“Jin jiuyin 10”Trading season，Settled within this month。

　　督查组多路出击

More than DuZhaZu way out

　　作为近年来规模最大、规格最高的一次督查，本次8个督查组分别由发改委、住建部、国土部、央行、银监会、财政部、国税总局、监察部等8个部门的官员带队。这8个部门均与房地产调控有着密切关系，若出台国家层面的新政，需要这些部委共同参与。

As the largest scale in recent years、Specifications of the highest a superintendent himself，The eight DuZhaZu respectively by the national development and reform commission、Live JianBu、Homeland department、The central bank、banking、The Treasury、National tax administration、The ministry of supervision eight officials notch。These 8 departments and the real estate regulation are closely related，If the New Deal on the national level，Need these ministries in common。

　　记者了解到，各督查组到达地方后，日程安排各不相同，但督查内容大致类似，包括调阅当地文件档案、听取汇报、现场调研等。其中，现场调研的对象不仅包括二手房市场、在售商品房项目，还有金融机构和房管部门的工作流程。

The reporter understands，The DuZhaZu arrived after the place，The schedule is different，But superintendent himself content are similar，Including read the local documents and files、Listen to report、Site investigation, etc。Among them，Field investigation include not only the object of second-hand housing market、Sold in the commodity house project，And financial institutions and janitorial services working process。

　　此外，对于未来楼市的走向预测和政策建议，督查组也从开发企业、市场人士、专家学者、政府部门等处听取了大量意见。但总体而言，督查组在整个调研过程中以询问为主，很少做出指示或表态。

In addition，For the future of the direction of the property market forecast and policy Suggestions，DuZhaZu also from development enterprises、Market participants、Experts and scholars、Government departments to listen to a lot of the place such as advice。But in general，In the whole process of DuZhaZu investigation by asking to give priority to，A few instructions or comment。

　　此次督查正处在“新国八条”出台一年半之时，督查前夕，个别城市在“限购令”和差异化信贷等政策的执行中出现松动，使得部分投机投资需求伺机入市，不仅导致局部市场出现量价齐升，同时可能造成未来供需失衡。一位在北京参与座谈的市场人士向表示，对于这些问题，“督查组心里都有数”。

The superintendent himself is in“Article 8 new countries”Issued a year and a half，Eve of protecting，Individual cities in“限购 make”And differentiation credit policy seen in the implementation of the loose，Made part of speculative investment demand biding market，Not only lead to local markets appear JiSheng quantity and price，At the same time may cause the imbalance of supply and demand in the future。A Beijing participate in discussion of the market participants to said，To these problems，“There are DuZhaZu heart”。

　　8月或是新政窗口期

August or New Deal window period

　　在督查组进驻各地调研的同时，市场交易量正在悄然回落。根据中国房地产研究会的统计，上周（7月30日至8月5日）20个重点城市住宅成交连续上涨的势头中止，成交量环比下跌1.1%。其中，北京新房成交量下跌14.7%，二手房成交量下跌20%。

In DuZhaZu around in the research of the at the same time，Market volume are quietly dropped。According to the statistics of Chinese real estate research association，Last week（July 30, to aug. 5,）20 a key city residential clinch a deal the rise continuously momentum suspended，Volume month-on-month fall by 1.1%。Among them，Beijing new home sales fell 14.7%，Secondhand the room also dropped 20%。

　　交易量的下滑，除刚需释放乏力外，也被认为与政策预期不明朗有关。在督查组回京后，新政“靴子”何时落地成为外界最为关注的问题。业内人士认为，在新政出台之前，已有部分市场需求转为观望状态。

Volume of decline，In addition to just need to release the lack of power，Also be think and policy is expected on。In DuZhaZu back to Beijing，New Deal“boots”When be born become the most attention in the outside world。The personage inside course of study thinks，In New Deal issued before，There has been some market demand to wait state。

　　对于督查组形成报告并上报的时间安排，外界不得而知，但业内人士普遍认为，8月很可能成为新政出台的重要窗口。业内人士表示，8月的市场变化不仅会影响“金九银十”的状况，甚至决定着后半年的房地产走向。若本月没有相关政策出台，按照惯例，“金九银十”可能会出现房价上涨难以抑制的情况。

For DuZhaZu formation report and report the time schedule，Outside unknown，But industry insiders generally thought，August is likely to become an important window on the introduction of the New Deal。People in the industry say，August market changes will not only influence“Jin jiuyin 10”situation，And even decide the real estate to the later。If no relevant policy comes out this month，According to the usual practice，“Jin jiuyin 10”May be rising house prices can't restrain。

　　同时，7月的房价数据将在本月中旬出炉，这一数据也将成为新政的重要参考。根据国家统计局的数据，今年6月，全国70个大中城市新建商品住宅（不含保障性住房）价格平均环比小幅上涨，在连续下跌8个月后首次出现正增长。有业内人士认为，若该数据连续两个月保持上涨，新政出台将是“板上钉钉”。

At the same time，The July data will house prices the middle of this month come，The data will also be an important reference for the New Deal。According to the national bureau of statistics data，In June this year，The national 70 large and medium-sized city new commodity residential house（Do not contain affordable housing）The average price of a modest rise in November，In the continuous drop after eight months of positive growth for the first time。The personage inside course of study thinks，If the data for two consecutive months to keep up，Come on stage will be the New Deal“do-or-die”。

　　据《中国证券报》

According to《China's stock certificate report》