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房地产复苏?--亲稳舆论引导监测室
2012-08-14

  近来有机构发布报告称,中国房地产步入复苏房地产真的在复苏吗?

In recent days there have been agencies released the report says,China's real estate into recovery,Real estate really in recovery?

  小新:渣打银行报告称,中国房地产已经步入复苏。渣打银行首席经济学家王志浩就调查发表观点认为,全国范围房屋销售同比负增长已经触底,一些城市房屋销量上升,同时,部分城市房价开始再次回升。中国的城市化仍在进行,从较长期看,中国需要更多房地产建设。

Small new:Standard chartered bank report says,China's real estate have entered into recovery。Standard chartered bank chief economist Stephen green survey published view,A nationwide housing sales year-on-year has sole,Some cities housing sales rise,At the same time,Parts of the city house prices have started to rebound again。China's urbanization is still on,From a long run,China needs more real estate construction。

  乐乐:最近房子又开始火了,刚看了个小区,买房都靠抢的。

lele:Recently the house began to fire,Just look at a village,To buy a house in the grab。

  陈宝存:7月份,北京二手房住宅签约再创新高,达到了17130套,全月成交量突破1.7万套,环比6月上涨幅度达到了25.8%,同比上涨幅度更是达到了100%,创出18个月来新高。

ChenBaoCun:July,Beijing second-hand house residence record signing,Reached 17130 sets,The whole month turnover reached 17000 sets,Link June rises to 25.8%,Rising amplitude is reached 100%,Making 18 months to new highs。

  idefly:畸形的房地产和怪异的土地政策是中国经济的毒瘤,它的恶果将持续不断地显现出来,如果没有革命性的改变,就不会步入经济周期的轨道,衰退无止境,复苏没希望。

idefly:Deformity of real estate and strange land policy is that China's economy has cancer,The consequences of it will continuously appear,If there is no revolutionary change,Won't step into the orbit of the economic cycle,Recession endless,Recovery didn't hope。

  陈-YR:真希望哪天走在路上,遇到一个房地产开发商摔倒了,然后我把他扶起来,他微笑着给了我一个房产证就走了。我喊道,老板,你的房产证!然后老板转过头,微笑着对我说:“不,是你的房产证。”

Chen - YR:I hope one day walk on the road,Meet a real estate developers fell down,Then I put him up,He smiled and gave me a house property card and went away。I shouted,The boss,Your house property card!Then the boss turned his head,With a smile said to me:“Don't,Is your house property card。”

  Wangbao:通胀短期内不是制约货币政策放松的主要因素,但是二季度以来房地产销售回暖和部分地区房价的反弹,对货币政策放松构成掣肘。

Wangbao:Inflation in the short term is not restricted to relax monetary policy of the main factors,But since the second quarter real estate sales milder and parts of the rebound of the price of the house,To relax monetary policy constitutes a handicap。

  小新:包括行业龙头在内的众多房地产企业7月销售几乎集体下滑。万科集团总裁郁亮称,目前全国楼市没有显示出回暖的现象,下半年仍然是去库存的过程,房价压力依然较大。

Small new:Including industry leading, the numerous real estate enterprise July sales almost collective glide。Vanke President YuLiang says,At present the national property market did not show the milder phenomenon,The second half of the process of inventory is still to go,House prices still have large pressure。

  yaomingshu:繁荣时期不把房子变现,等到了萧条时期变现难度太大。

yaomingshu:Boom period does not get the house realizable,Wait to depression realizable difficulty is too big。

  李晓冬:官方估计,北京18%的家庭都拥有两三套房产,主要城市40%的房屋销售不是用于居住,而是用于投资。这些房子往往处于空置状态。Eclectica资产管理公司的数据表明:就其经济规模而言,中国在房地产上的支出是美国的2倍。想想美国房地产泡沫破裂后所发生的一切,中国的情况还不算太糟。

LiXiaoDong:Official estimates,Beijing 18% of families have two or three sets of real estate,Major cities 40% of the housing sales is not used to living,But used for investment。These houses are often in a vacancy state。Eclectica asset management company's data shows:In the economic scale,China real estate in the expenditure is an American 2 times。Think about the United States real estate bubble burst what was happening,China isn't too bad。

  小新:中国买家去年在美购置房产投资达90亿美元,占海外资金投资美国房地产总额的11%,较2010年增长89%。美利坚土地上的“中国购房潮”助推美国楼市复苏。引发中国投资热潮的最大动力是越来越多的中国父母送孩子到美国留学。这轮热潮目前正在发烧。

Small new:Last year, Chinese buyers in the purchase of real estate investment of us $9 billion,Overseas investment accounts for 11% of the total amount of the U.S. real estate,A growth of 89% in 2010。The land“The tide of China”Boosting the United States market recovery。China's investment boom caused the biggest power is more and more Chinese parents send children to study in the United States。This wheel boom is currently have a fever。

  小数字:9日,国家统计局公布了前7个月房地产运行情况。1~7月,全国房地产开发投资36774亿元,同比名义增长15.4%,增速比1~6月回落1.2个百分点。其中,商品住宅投资25226亿元,增长10.7%,增速回落1.3个百分点,占房地产开发投资的比重为68.6%。

Small number:9,The national bureau of statistics announced the first seven months of the real estate operation。1 ~ 7 months,The national real estate development investment of 3.6774 trillion yuan,Growth of 15.4% year-on-year name,Increasing ratio 1 ~ 6 months a drop of 1.2%。Among them,Commodity residential investment is 2.5226 trillion yuan,Growth of 10.7%,A drop of 1.3% growth,Accounted for the proportion of investment in real estate development is 68.6%。

  福涛:预售制度是否会被取消?从政策操作层面来看,目前最多只在放风试探阶段。但就其理论基础,根据中国房地产市场20年的发展现实,挂羊头卖狗肉的中国式预售制度的确已经没有存在的基础,至少应该大幅度修改。

F out:Open to booking system will be cancelled?From a policy operation level,By far the most only in snort trial stage。But its theoretical basis,According to China's real estate market development of 20 years reality,Sell vinegar of Chinese open to booking system indeed have no basis of existence,At least should revise。

  小新:国务院发展研究中心下属的中国发展研究基金会发布报告,表示地方保障房资金一直紧缺,在各地方上报的保障房数量中,至少有一半是由国企和企业员工福利房组成的。报告提出,应限制一些国企为员工修建公租房,杜绝其成为第二次福利分房。

Small new:The state council development research center of the subordinate report from the China development research foundation,Said local security room funds have been in short supply,In the local reported security room number in,At least half of the state-owned enterprises and enterprise employee benefits of room。report,Some state-owned enterprises should limit for employees and rent a house built,Put an end to it a second welfare housing。

  Longsky:目前几乎每个城市都有新区,拉动新区房地产价格是撬动当地金融链条、获得发展原始资金的第一步,最简单的办法就是把地方行政中心搬到新区去。笔者曾经到某个城市,五六年前政府搬到了新区,并且半强迫地把当地的大企业总部大楼迁到了政府的周边地区,

Longsky:Now nearly every city has a new city,New city real estate prices is pulled move local financial chain、For the first step in the development of original capital,The simplest way is the local administrative center moved to new city to。The author once to a city,Five or six years ago the government moved to the new,And half forced the local big enterprise headquarters moved to the government's surrounding areas,

  任恒:中国几千年解决不了的重男轻女问题,竟然让房地产解决了?

RenHeng:China's thousands of years can not solve the problem of boys and girls,Should let the real estate solved?



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