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廉价贷款刺激购房需求 楼市复苏进程非常缓慢美国新房销售量价齐--亲稳舆论引导监测室
2012-08-19

  美国官方近日公布的5月份新房销售数据显示,楼市出现量价齐升态势,数据好于市场分析人士的普遍预期。这与近期其他机构发布的一系列利好数据基本吻合,显示在房地产泡沫破裂6年之后,美国楼市开始出现复苏曙光。

U.S. officials recently released by the new home sales data display in May,In the property market price and volume JiSheng situation,Data better than the market analysts generally expected。This and other institutions recently released a series of good data are consistent with each other,Displayed in the real estate bubble burst after six years,The United States market began to appear recovery dawn。

  美国商务部报告称,5月份美国新房销售经季节调整后年化值为36.9万套,比上月增长7.6%,是2010年4月以来的最高水平。5月份新房价格中位数为23.45万美元,较去年同期高5.6%,连续第四个月上升。报告还显示,5月底新房存量为14.5万套,较2006年7月的纪录高点57.2万套减少了很多。

The us Commerce Department report says,Sales of new homes in the United States in May by the adjustment of the year after next season change value for 369000 sets,Increased by 7.6% than last month,Since April 2010 is the highest level。May new house prices median for 234500 dollars,5.6% higher than the same period last year,For the fourth consecutive month rise。The report also shows that,By the end of 5 stock of new for 145000 sets,A July 2006 record highs 572000 sets of reduce a lot。

  “这是美国房地产部门复苏的又一迹象。”法国兴业银行(601166,股吧)驻纽约经济学家布莱恩·琼斯表示。美国摩根大通银行经济学家迈克尔·费罗里在一份分析报告中说,5月份新屋销售数据与其他一些指标都表明,在苍白的美国经济背景下,楼市成为一大亮点。

“This is the United States real estate department another sign of recovery。”Societe generale(601166,guba)In New York economists Brian Jones said。Jpmorgan chase bank economist Michael fee rory in an analysis report said,May new home sales data and some other indicators show that,In the pale of the U.S. economy background,The property market become a major bright spot。

  美国房地产抵押贷款巨头房利美6月19日发布的月度调查报告称,在美国当前的经济大环境中,房地产市场的表现“相对较好”,房屋销售和新屋开工都有所回升。与此同时,由于存量房在逐步消化,特别是被银行没收的房产进入市场交易的数量减少,美国的房屋销售价格趋于稳定。

The United States real estate mortgage giants fannie released on June 19, monthly report said,In the United States in the current economic environment,The performance of the real estate market“Relatively good”,Home sales and housing starts have rebounded。meanwhile,Due to the stock room in gradually digestion,Especially be bank confiscated property to enter the market transaction quantity reduce,American housing sales price is stable。

  在美国经济增长疲弱的情况下,房市出现的积极信号令人鼓舞。经济学家分析认为,美国抵押贷款利率处于历史低位,刺激了买房需求。美联储宣布延长买入长期国债来代替其持有的短期国债的“扭转操作”,此举旨在压低长期贷款利率。

In the American economy under the condition of weak growth,The housing appears positive signal encouraging。Economists think analysis,U.S. mortgage loan interest rate at historic lows,Stimulates the demand to buy a house。The federal reserve announced the extension to buy long-term Treasury bonds to replace their holdings of the short-term national debt“Torsional operation”,The move is aimed at lower long-term loan interest rate。

  廉价的贷款刺激了购房需求,而需求的增长又促进更多新房开工建设。全美房屋建造商协会6月18日数据显示,美国6月房屋建筑商信心小幅升至29,为5年来最高水平。虽然该指标仍远低于枯荣分水岭50,但建筑商信心温和上涨,是美国住房市场改善的一个迹象。

Cheap loans stimulated the pent-up demand,And the growth of demand and promote more bridal chamber to start construction。The United States association of building on June 18, data display,The United States June house builders confidence small to 29,For five years the highest level。Although the index is still far below vicissitudes divide 50,But the builders confidence mild rise,The U.S. housing market is a sign of improvement。

  自从2006年楼市崩溃以来,房地产行业一直拖美国经济的后腿。分析人士估计,从2006年至2009年间,楼市低迷,平均每年对美国经济增长的贡献为-0.8%。在2010年至2011年,这种拖累效应开始减少。今年以来,美国房屋销量与价格持续改善,似乎验证了分析人士在早些时候关于美国房地产或已触底的预期。

Since 2006, the property market since the collapse,The real estate industry has dragged the U.S. economy hind leg。Analysts estimate,From 2006 to 2009,The housing downturn,A year on average for American economic growth contribution for - 0.8%。In 2010 and 2011,The drag effect began to decrease。Since this year,American housing sales price and continuous improvement,Seems to verify the analysts earlier about the American real estate or has sole expected。

  许多经济学家同时指出,触底不等于迅速反弹,美国要恢复元气还有很长的路要走。一方面,美国楼市与整体经济息息相关,如果经济和就业形势恶化,楼市复苏苗头可能夭折。另一方面,尽管利率很低,但美国信贷环境依然紧张,银行不敢大量放贷,从而限制了楼市的复苏。

Many economists also pointed out,Sole is not equal to the rebound quickly,The United States to restore SAP still have a long way to go。On the one hand,The United States market and the whole economy is closely linked,If the economy and employment situation worse,The property market recovery symptom may be aborted。On the other hand,Although interest rates are low,But the United States credit environment still nervous,The bank can't a lot of lending,To limit the market's recovery。

  总之,最近的数据显示,美国楼市自由落体式的下滑已经结束,但复苏的进程会非常缓慢,人们不应对美国楼市前景过分乐观。正如美联储在不久前所指出的:“尽管有一些改善迹象,美国的楼市依然消沉。”

In a word,The latest figures show,The United States housing auto-fall decline has ended,But the process of recovery will be very slow,People don't deal with the United States market prospects too optimistic。As the fed noted in not long ago:“Although there are some signs of improvement,America's housing still depressed。”

  (本报华盛顿7月6日电)

(Our Washington July 6 (Reuters))



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