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楼市调控期待问责机制--亲稳舆论引导监测室
2012-08-19

  进入8月,国务院派往各地的督查组陆续展开工作。据了解,目前督查组已经对北京、上海、广东等地的房地产调控政策落实情况以及市场状况,进行了现场了解和收集。

Into August,The state council sent to work in an DuZhaZu all over。It is understood,At present DuZhaZu has been to Beijing、Shanghai、Guangdong real estate regulation policy implementation and market conditions,The field to understand and collection。

  业界人士分析,由于调控目标与地方政府利益不一致,本轮调控中屡屡有地方政府试图放松限购,试探中央的政策底线。据媒体报道,浙江省义乌市“限购令”自去年年底到期后就再也没有延续,出现了长达7个月的政策真空期,相关部门模糊不清的解释也难以打消公众的质疑。此次督查不仅应摸清房地产市场回暖的真实状况,作为制定后续调控政策的依据之一,还应借此契机构建起调控的巡查和问责机制,确保楼市调控取得预期效果。

Industry analysts,Due to the control target and local government interests are not consistent,This regulation has repeatedly in local government tried to relax is restricted,Test the central policy bottom line。According to media reports,Zhejiang yiwu“Is restricted to”Since the end of last year after the end of the no continuation,Appeared for seven months of policy vacuum period,Related departments vague explain also difficult to reassure the public's question。The supervision should be not only of the real estate market warms up in the real situation,As a follow-up control policies for one of the bases for,Should also take this opportunity to build up regulation of the patrol and accountability mechanism,Ensure that the property market regulating has expected effect。

  有观点认为,这轮调控之所以没有陷入屡调屡涨的怪圈,关键在于抓住了产生房价泡沫的始作俑者,对不合理需求进行了严厉打击和限制。由于目前市场仍缺乏房产税等抑制投资、投机的内在机制,要保证调控效果不会功亏一篑,还必须依赖限购、限贷等“看得见的手”。地方政府作为实际执行者,他们的积极性和态度直接决定着调控效果。在地方政府始终有着松绑调控的冲动下,如果不能对执行政策不力、房价反弹过快的地区建立起问责制度,那么调控效果必然会大打折扣,或许这也是为何调控已超过两年,但是大多数城市房价回调仍不明显,甚至又有反弹苗头的原因。

With a view,This wheel regulation is not in a tone up repeatedly repeatedly circle,The key lies in caught produce prices the foam,Unreasonable demand to the crackdown on and restrictions。Because the present market is still lack of real estate tax inhibition investment、The internal mechanism of speculation,To ensure the regulation does not the lip,Also must rely on purchasing、Limit credit, etc“Visible hand”。The local government as actual performer,Their enthusiasm and attitude directly decides the effect of regulation。The local government has all along to relax regulation under impulse,If not in the lack of policy implementation、House prices rebound overquick regions to establish the accountability system,So control effect will sell at a discount greatly,Perhaps this is why regulation has been more than two years,But most urban house prices callback is still not clear,Even and rebound symptom reason。

  尤其是,当调控触及地方政府的自身利益时,更加凸显出问责制度的重要性和紧迫性。迫于土地财政以及地区经济增速下滑的压力,地方政府打政策“擦边球”、“暗度陈仓”、“曲线救市”的小动作层出不穷,表明调控在迈入深水区后阻力不断加大。而且,在中央为应对经济下滑,强调把稳增长放在更加重要的位置后,许多地方政府又重走老路,把房地产作为拉动经济增长的主要引擎。如果地方政府既没有主动调控的动力,又缺乏问责压力,那么很可能会在政策执行上消极怠工,在市场监测和违规检查上难免会睁一只眼、闭一只眼,出现义乌市限购令这样的漏网之鱼。

especially,When touch control of the local government when their own interests,More highlights the accountability system of importance and urgency。Forced to land finance and regional economic growth downward pressure,Local governments play policy“Edge ball”、“AnDuChenCang”、“Curve save city”Little affectations emerge in endlessly,Show that regulation in entering the deep-water area after increasing resistance。and,In the central in response to the economic downturn,Emphasize holding fast growth in a more important position,Many local governments and ChongZou approach,The real estate as the fuel economic growth of the main engine。If the local government neither active regulation and control of power,And the lack of accountability pressure,So will likely in the policy implementation on demotivation,In the market monitoring and inspection of the hard to avoid can keep one eye、Close one eye,In yiwu is restricted to such escaped criminal。

  就各地的反响来看,虽然督查还没有结束,但是效果却已立竿见影。义乌市住建局于近日召集开发商开会,宣布“坚持房地产调控政策不放松”。上海市又发布通知,表示下半年开展房地产调控政策执行情况检查,对违法违规放松限购加大查处力度。事实上,早在2011年政府工作报告中,就已指出有关部门要加快完善房地产调控的巡查、考评、约谈和问责制度。7月份温家宝总理在江苏常州调研时强调,加快建立健全房地产市场调控的长效机制和政策体系。显然,建立起巡查、问责制度,也应是房地产调控长效机制的题中应有之义。

It has all come to see,Although protecting is not over yet,But the effect has immediate。Yiwu city live built bureau recently convened a meeting to developers,announced“Adhere to the real estate regulation policy not to relax”。Shanghai and published a notice,Said in the second half of real estate regulation policy implementation inspection,Illegal to relax more restricted investigation dynamics。In fact,As early as in 2011 the government work report,It has been pointed out that the relevant departments to speed up the perfect real estate regulation patrols、appraisal、Questioning and accountability system。July, premier wen jiabao stressed in jiangsu changzhou research,To speed up the establishment of a sound real estate market and modulating mechanism and policy system。obviously,Set up patrols、Accountability system,Also should be the real estate regulation of the long-term effective mechanism of the central topics in righteousness。

  当前被称为“史上最为严厉”的调控面临着巨大挑战。中国指数研究院公布的数据显示,7月份全国100个城市新建住宅平均价格环比6月上涨0.33%,其中70个城市环比上涨,只有30个城市环比下跌。不仅房价出现了反弹迹象,北京、广州等地“地王”又重现市场,购房者对于房价继续回调的预期开始逆转。而地方政府屡屡放松限购的试探,又让购房者对地方政府的态度产生了迷惑。

The current is called“The most severe in history”Regulation is facing the huge challenge。China index research institute published data display,In July 100 the city new residential average price link June rose 0.33%,The 70 city link up,Only 30 cities link down。Not only house prices appeared to rebound signs,Beijing、Guangzhou, etc“left”Reappeared market,The person that buy a house to house prices continue to callback expected began to reverse。And the local government purchasing repeatedly tempted to relax,And let the person that buy a house on the local government's attitude produce temptation。

  可以说,房地产调控又一次走到了十字路口。在各类信息充斥市场,购房者预期极为混沌之际,社会各界不仅对此次督查给予了高度关注,还寄予了厚望。在这种形势下,督查的力度和效果,反映出政府对于调控的决心。因此,此次督查既要督促限购、差别化住房信贷、税收政策等各项调控措施落到实处,还要触及实质性问题,对于落实政策不到位、执行不力的要进行问责和督促整改,对于放松限购、暗中托市的问责和督办决不能手软。另外,对于督查的结果还需及时公布,让公众知情,及时稳定市场预期。

Can say,Real estate regulation and a crossroad。The market is flooded with in all kinds of information,The person that buy a house is expected of chaos,The social from all walks of life not only to the superintendent himself gave high attention,Also had great expectations for it。In this situation,The supervision strength and effects,Reflects the government for regulation determination。therefore,The supervision should be restricted urged、Differentiation housing credit、Tax policy and so on each regulation measures into effect,Will touch the substantive question,For implementing the policy does not reach the designated position、Implementation of the poor to accountability and supervise rectification,Be restricted to relax、UK secret of accountability and handling must not thine hands be slack。In addition,For protecting consequences have yet to be released in time,Let the public know,Timely stabilize the market expected。

  地方政府的执行力度,决定着调控政策的实际效果。而只有严格的考核和问责制度,才能约束地方政府不打折扣地执行各项政策。长远来看,单靠行政高压难以实现对楼市的持续调控,必须建立起有效的市场自我调整机制,也就是要推进房产税改革,充分发挥税收杠杆作用,让市场信息更加透明,让市场因素在抑制投资、投机中发挥主力作用。如此不但能保证调控顺利执行,楼市走上稳健理性发展的轨道,同时能够降低调控的行政成本,消除房价反弹的内在压力。

Local government enforcement,Determines the regulation and control policy of the actual effect。And only strict inspection and the accountability system,To constraint to local governments not to execute discount policies。The long run,Single on administrative high pressure it is difficult to implement for the property market regulation,Must set up effective market self adjustment mechanism,Also is to promote housing property tax reform,Give full play to the tax revenue lever action,Let the market information more transparent,Let the market factors in inhibition of investment、Speculative play a main role。So not only can ensure smooth implementation regulation,To the rational development of the development of the property market stable orbit,At the same time can reduce the administrative cost control,Eliminate house prices rebound internal pressure。



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