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房价、地价再度上涨 调控或将再发力--亲稳网络舆情监测室
2012-08-19

  新华网北京8月6日电(记者罗宇凡、华晔迪)8月初,房地产市场再次成为人们关注的焦点。虽然过去的一个月中央层面多次强调坚定房地产调控的方向,但月初市场机构发布的数据依旧显示,目前房价和土地成交价格依然呈现稳步走高的态势。业内人士分析认为,结合中央此前的表态,在目前的市场态势下,调控储备政策有可能会加快出台的脚步。

Xinhuanet Beijing on August 6 (Reuters)(Reporter LuoYuFan、HuaYeDi)Early August,The real estate market once again become the focus of attention。Although the past a month the central level has emphasized many times that firm real estate regulation direction,But the market mechanism data released by the early still display,The current price and land transaction price is still present steadily higher situation。The personage inside course of study thinks,Combined with the central previous statement,In the present market under the situation,Control reserve policy may speed up the steps of introduced。

  

百城房价环比再涨调控预期增强 Hundred cities housing prices link reflow regulation is expected to strengthen

  月初,中国指数研究院发布的报告显示,7月全国100个城市(新建)住宅平均价格为8717元/平方米,环比6月上涨0.33%。其中70个城市环比上涨,30个城市环比下跌。与上月相比,环比上涨的城市个数增加25个。从数据来看,7月房价环比上涨的城市较6月有明显增多,环比0.33%的涨幅超过6月0.05%的涨幅。

early,China index research institute report shows,July 100 cities across the country(new)Residential average price for 8717 yuan/square meters,Link June rose 0.33%。The 70 city link up,30 cities link down。Compared with last month,Link up city number increase 25。From the data to see,July house prices link rising city is June have markedly increased,Link 0.33% or more than 6 months of the 0.05% increase。

  业内人士分析认为,造成7月份多个城市价格上涨的主要原因在于,首先,成交增长明显推动价格上涨。数据显示,7月份全国多地楼市成交量创调控新高。短期的供需失衡导致市场参与者的心态发生转变,恐慌性购房者增加,开发商涨价预期增强。其次,信贷政策利好逐渐显现,经过两次降息,购房成本降低拉动了部分需求的购房热情。

The personage inside course of study thinks,Cause July cities prices is the main reason,First of all,Clinch a deal growth significantly pushed up prices。Data display,In July the national more property market turnover and control high。Short-term unbalance of supply and demand led to market participants mentality change,Panic homebuyers increase,Developers prices expected to strengthen。secondly,Credit policy bullish appears gradually,After two to cut interest rates,The cost reduction pull some demand purchase enthusiasm。

  房价的止跌也引发了房地产调控进一步收紧的预期。上海易居房地产研究院副院长杨红旭表示,当前房价面临重新上涨的压力,不出新的调控措施,则下半年涨价的预期将进步增大。虽然近期监管层曾多次表态坚定楼市调控,但“调控精神要想转化为执行力,还需相关细化政策予以保障。”

House prices have sparked a reason the real estate regulation further tightening expected。Shanghai enjoysmart real estate institute vice President YangGongXu said,The current prices face the pressure of the rising again,A new regulation and control measures,The second half of the price increase is expected to progress。Although recent regulatory layer has repeatedly said firm market regulation,but“Regulation spirit to be transformed into execution,Still need to related refining policy to safeguard。”

  链家地产市场研究部研究员常清认为,政府层面对于楼市调控依旧没有放松,释放的政策收紧信号也在不断增强,如果市场进一步升温,可能会招致进一步的调控,而马上临近的“金九银十”或许会成为楼市的转折。

Chain home real estate market research researchers think a temperamental predominance,The government level for the property market regulation and control is still not relax,Release policy tightening signal and the strengthening,If the market further warming,May cause further regulation,And immediately adjacent“Gold nine silver ten”May be the turning point of the property market。

  

“地王”频现土地溢价率大幅上涨 “left”Frequency is land premium rate rises considerably

  在房价止跌回稳的同时,土地市场的异动也引发了人们对房价进一步上涨的预期。

In house prices stabilising reason at the same time,The vision of land market dynamic also initiate people to the house price further rising expectations。

  根据链家地产统计数据显示,北京、上海、广州和深圳的一线城市2012年7月住宅土地出让金为111.8亿元,环比大涨近1.7倍,成交土地宗数虽然仅为10宗,较上月减少15宗,但平均楼面价却高达7379元/平方米,环比上涨2.6倍,溢价率为33%,是继2011年3月以来,首次超过30%。

According to the chain home real estate statistics data show,Beijing、Shanghai、Guangzhou and shenzhen city a line in July 2012 residential land transfer fund for 11.18 billion yuan,Link surged to nearly 1.7 times,Clinch a deal the land Pope number although is only 10 cases,A month earlier reduce 15 cases,But the average floor price is as high as 7379 yuan/square meters,Link up 2.6 times,Premium rate is 33%,Is the since March 2011,More than 30% for the first time。

  一线城市土地出让金和溢价率上涨的幅度远远超过平均水平。除了优质地块的影响外,整体市场回暖的趋势也更为明显,例如北京郊区地块的成交也出现了高溢价和高楼面价的情况。

A line of urban land leasing fees and premium rate rising amplitude is far more than the average level。In addition to the influence of high quality block outside,The overall market warms up in the trend is more obvious,For example Beijing suburbs block clinch a deal also appeared high premium and towers of compensation。

  常清表示,近期土地市场溢价率的提高,北京、上海、广州等多个城市均出现新“地王”,虽然高溢价地块的出现与其优质性有很大关系,但在市场量价逐渐回调的阶段下,也在一定程度上带动市场预期的升温。为避免地价给房价带来的推动作用。出于楼市调控效果的考虑,不排除中央再出台有关的调控措施。

Said a temperamental predominance,Recent land market premium rate increase,Beijing、Shanghai、Guangzhou, and other city all appear new“left”,Although high premium block with the appearance of high quality has a lot to do with sex,But in the market volume and price gradually callback stage next,Also to a certain extent, drive the market expected warming。To avoid land prices to bring role。For the property market regulation effect consideration,Don't exclude the central again issued relevant control measures。

  在土地高溢价频频出现的同时,地方政府与中央的政策博弈也在进行当中。近期,在石家庄和河南省不了了之的楼市“救市”计划后,珠海和南京楼市新政策又引起广泛关注。尽管多个地方政府尝试放松限购政策都无疾而终,仍有不少城市尝试打擦边球。地方政府在投资和财政压力下屡屡出现的小动作也引发了市场预期的混乱。巩固调控成果,加强问责和监管的调控预期也在不断增加。

In land high premium frequent emergence of at the same time,The local government and the central policy game are also going on。recent,In shijiazhuang and disappear the property market in henan province“Save city”Plan after,Zhuhai and nanjing property market new policy and aroused widespread concern。Although many local governments try to relax for purchasing policy all died of old age,There are still many city try to play edge ball。The local government in the investment and financial pressure of frequent and petty action also led to market expectations of chaos。Consolidate control results,Strengthen accountability and regulatory control expectations are growing。

  

调控储备政策出台预期大增 Regulation on reserve policy is expected to soar

  尽管今年上半年房地产市场的迅速回暖存在刚需释放等客观因素,但对于房价的上涨,决策层依旧十分关注。

Although the real estate market in the first half of this year the rapid milder exist just need to release the objective factors, etc,But for the rise in house prices,Decision-making is still very concern。

  国务院总理温家宝7月初在江苏常州调研时明确提出,要把抑制房地产投机投资性需求作为一项长期政策;要抓紧研究推进房地产税收制度改革,加快建立健全房地产市场调控的长效机制和政策体系。

The state council premier wen jiabao in early July in jiangsu changzhou when research put forward,To curb the real estate speculation investment demand as a long-term policy;To take the research on real estate tax system reform,To speed up the establishment of a sound real estate market and modulating mechanism and policy system。

  7月31日召开的中央政治局会议也强调,要坚定不移地贯彻执行房地产市场调控政策,坚决抑制投机投资性需求,切实防止房价反弹。

On July 31, the central political bureau held the meeting stressed,We will unswervingly implement the real estate market regulation and control policy,Resolutely inhibition speculative investment demand,To prevent prices rebound。

  而此前的7月19日,国土资源部在京召开视频会议,就当前房地产市场形势和国土资源部、住房城乡建设部联合下发的《关于进一步严格房地产用地管理巩固房地产市场调控成果的紧急通知》进行了通报,并对下一步房地产市场调控工作进行了部署。中央坚定调控信心、完善调控方式的指向明显。

The previous July 19,The ministry of land and resources held in Beijing video conference,The current real estate market situation and the ministry of land and resources、Housing rural construction allots jointly《On further strict real estate land management consolidate the real estate market regulation results emergency notice》notifying,And the next real estate market regulation and control work of the deployment。The central firm regulation confidence、Perfect way to control the obvious。

  根据此前中央对于房地产调控政策的各种表态,在当前市场态势下,房地产调控的储备政策逐渐浮出水面的可能性大大增加。

According to the previous real estate regulation policy for all kinds of comment,In the current market under the situation,The real estate regulation policy reserves gradually surfaced possibility increase greatly。

  “当前房价反弹的预期已经形成,如果调控没有新举措,下半年抑制房价反弹的难度很大。”杨红旭表示,在目前的市场背景下,房地产调控新政策的出台已经势在必行。“综合各种因素,接下来相关部门仍可能出台一系列细化措施既传递出国家抑制房价反弹的决心,又让相关执行部门和地方政府提高政策的可操作性。”

“The current prices rebound expected has been formed,If regulation no new measures,House prices in the second half of the inhibition of the rebound very difficult。”YangGongXu said,In the present market background,New real estate regulation policy appearing has is imperative。“Integrated all sorts of factors,The related departments could still issued a series of refining measures not only transfer the national suppression house prices rebound determination,And let the implementation of related departments and local governments to raise policy maneuverability。”

  对于调控的走向,业内人士普遍认为,如果市场仍旧保持上涨的态势,在限购等现行政策不变的前提下,加大地方调控效果问责力度,加快推进房产税改革,积极引导和支持房地产企业调整产品结构,增加普通商品房的供给等措施有望很快被提上日程。

For the trend of the regulation,The personage inside course of study is generally accepted that,If the market is still keep rising trend,Be restricted in such as the premise of constant current policy,Increasing local regulation effect accountability efforts,Accelerating housing property tax reform,Actively guide and support the real estate enterprise adjust the structure of products,Increasing the supply of ordinary commercial housing measures are expected to soon be put on the agenda。



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