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二手房挂牌量缩水价格仍坚挺--亲稳网络舆情监测室
2012-08-19

  晨报记者 张昱欣 唐佳

The morning paper reporter ZhangYuXin TangJia

  近期,有不少淘二手房的客户有个共同的感觉,房东又开始“牛气”起来了。虽然部分高端住宅区域内出现房东抛售的现象,但随着二手房挂牌量出现缩减,目前市场价格仍比较坚挺。

recent,There are many tao second-hand house customers have a common sense,The landlord began to“arrogant”up。Although some high-end residential area occurs within the landlord selling phenomenon,But as the second-hand house listed in quantity reduction,The present market price is still strong。

  议价空间已收窄

Bargaining space has narrowed

  从区域板块看,浦东、普陀、闸北等区域的成交活跃度均出现了降温现象,其中浦东金桥(600639,股吧)、普陀长征以及虹口曲阳等板块的“感染”症状较为严重。汉宇地产金桥区域副总监赵文娣谈到,近期管辖内证大分行处理的1套“爆单”尤为典型,受到台风的侵袭,经纪人小陈通了几次电话才约到了买家王先生出来看房,经过房源比对后,证大家园中1套南北通透的板式2房得到了王先生的认可,便果断地付了2万元意向金。小陈随即拿着意向金冲向了房东葛先生家,但之后事情的演变却让自己傻了眼。热情有加的房东当听到需要让利5万元给买家时,其态度突然发生了180度大逆转,根本不屑桌上的意向金,并非常强硬的对小陈说,挂牌价300万元少一分钱也不行。

From regional plate look,pudong、putuo、Zhabei and other regions to clinch a deal the active degrees all appear the phenomenon of temperature,The pudong jinqiao(600639,guba)、Putuo the long march and hongkou QuYang plate, etc“infection”Symptoms serious。Han yu real estate jinqiao area vice director ZhaoWenDi talked about,Recent within the jurisdiction of the zendai branch processing 1 set“Detonation single”Especially typical,By the typhoon hit,Agent Chen through the several phone call just about to see Mr. Wang out buyers,After houses after comparison,Card all the garden of the north-south 1 set of plate type 2 room got Mr. Wang's approval,He resolutely paid 20000 yuan intention gold。Chen immediately took the intention gold hurried to the landlord Gregory house of Mr,But after the evolution of things but let oneself silly eye。Warmly landlord when heard the profits need 50000 yuan to the buyer,Its attitude suddenly happened to turn 180 degrees,Wouldn't the intention gold,And very tough to Chen said,Listing price 3 million yuan less a penny also not line。

  之后,尽管小陈曾多次努力交涉,但买卖双方均未表示出有让步的意愿,最后交易宣告搁浅。赵赵文娣说,从7月中下旬开始,区域内多数房东的议价空间已收窄,而目前接洽的购房者,其心理价的预期依旧停留在五六月,这就导致买卖双方在价格预期上存有明显的断层。

after,Although Chen has repeatedly hard bargaining,But buyers and sellers are not expressed a willingness to compromise,The last transaction declaration stranded。ZhaoZhaoWen birthdoy said,From late July began,Area most landlord bargaining space has narrowed,And the approach of the person that buy a house,Their psychological price expectations in June or may still,This will lead to buyers and sellers in price expectations have obvious fault。

  但在部分高端住宅区域内仍出现房东抛售的现象,21世纪不动产上海锐丰新古北豪宅店负责人透露,这几天板块内二手房源抛售的情况确实存在,且多为外籍房东,这类急售房源约占板块内境外房东挂牌总量的20%左右。据了解,这些抛售房源多为总价集中于600万-1000万元区间的高端产品,该些境外房东之所以抛售,主要由置换及归国两方面的因素构成,其分别占到了总数的60%与40%。不过这些让利房东对于购房者往往具有颇多要求,比如不接受贷款购房,需规定时期内一次性支付全部房款。同样的情况在浦东陆家嘴(600663,股吧)板块也有体现,近日确有韩国籍房东准备离开上海回国发展而让利抛售手中的房屋资产。其中大部分业主是在2008年以前以较低的价格在该板块入市购房的,目前板块成交均价已达4万元/平米以上,随着去年楼市高压调控下,这些业主认为该区域的投资回报率已达到一个高点,而目前房价的下滑也促进了这一情绪的发酵,但即使是“折价抛售”,相对于其购房成本仍有丰厚的回报。

But in some high-end residential area still appear the phenomenon of selling the landlord,The 21st century real estate Shanghai sharp abundant new gubei a person of extraordinary powers curtilage the store said,This few days plate inside secondhand the room source selling situation does exist,And more for foreign landlord,This kind of JiShou houses accounted for about overseas listed within plate landlord about 20% of the total。It is understood,These selling more than houses for total price focus on 6 million - 10 million yuan interval of high-end products,The some overseas landlord was selling,Mainly by the displacement and returned two factors,Separately accounted for 60% of the total and 40%。But these concessions in the landlord for the person that buy a house can often be quite demanding,Such as not to accept a loan to buy houses,Need to provisions period one-time payment of the full house money。The same situation in pudong lujiazui(600663,guba)Plate was also present,Recently is to simulate the landlord to leave Shanghai development and the profits write-downs on their holdings of housing assets。Most owner is in 2008 years ago to lower prices in the market of the plate,At present plate the price has already been up to 40000 yuan/square meters,With the property market under high pressure regulation last year,These owners think this area rate of return on investment has reached a peak,And the current price decline also promote the emotional fermentation,But even“Selling at a discount”,Relative to its purchase cost still has rich return。

  房东对价格预期并未松动

The landlord to price expected did not loose

  个别高端房源的“甩卖”成交,似乎并未在申城二手房市场引发“蝴蝶效应”。记者从中介机构了解到,受近两月楼市二手房集中成交的影响,本市多个版块的二手房房源挂牌量出现缩减。而据"网上房地产"数据显示,截至8月15日上午,上海二手住宅出售房套数为15.7万套,较今年2月中旬时减少了约1.3万套,优质房源的缺乏促使部分房东心态进一步坚挺。虽然近期楼市受政府开展调控督察及房产税可能扩征等消息影响,市场交投氛围逐步转淡,但房东对价格预期并未松动。联洋区域的部分中介门店在售房源降价抛售的数量占比不足5%,让利空间更是有限。近期仁恒河滨城有一套约150平米的3房房源挂出,其因房东已购置其他区域内的新房急需资金,故选择在此时将此房源以650万元的总价让利出售,较当前市场同质房源下调了约50万元,而这也已是近期板块内降幅最大的房源了。

Individual high-end of the houses“sale”Clinch a deal,Shanghai second-hand housing market in did not seem to cause“The butterfly effect”。Reporters learned from the intermediary agencies,By nearly two months the property market the influence of second-hand housing concentrated clinch a deal,This city more areas of the second-hand house houses listed in quantity reduction。And according to"Online real estate"Data display,As of August 15, in the morning,Shanghai second-hand housing out housing number sets for 157000 sets,This year is the middle of February has been reduced by about 13000 sets,The lack of high quality houses prompted partly landlord mentality further firm。Although the recent property market by the government to carry out regulation inspectors and housing property tax may enlarge sign and news influence,Market trading atmosphere gradually turn pale,But the landlord to price expected did not loose。LianYang area part of the intermediary shop in housing source price cut the number of selling is about less than 5%,The profits space is limited。Recent kernel Ganges penang a about 150 square meters 3 room availability hang out,If the landlord has to purchase other area of bridal chamber are in urgent need of money,So choose at this time will this suite with 6.5 million yuan price concessions in the sale,A current market homogeneity cut the houses about 500000 yuan,And this also is already within recent plate dropped most of the houses。

  记者从各中介门店了解到,近期中心区域分行整体交易量略有下浮,来客量约有20%的下滑,二手房买卖成交量与上月同期相比也出现了10%左右的回落。在季节性、买卖双方的价格预期存在断层(议价空间收窄)、楼市政策反复等多重因素升级影响的高压下,二手房成交量相比上月势必会出现一定幅度的萎缩。不过从整体走势看,8月份二手房市场的表现如不出意外将远胜过去年同期9400套(含公寓、里弄房和别墅)。因此,从某种程度上看,作为即将收尾的淡季8月,其二手房市场反季热销的热情并未此出现真正意义上的"歇夏"。

Reporters from the intermediary shop to know,The recent central region branch overall volume slightly lower,Visitor quantity about 20% of the decline,Buying and selling second-hand housing turnover compared with last month also appeared around 10% decline。In seasonal、Buyers and sellers price expected existence fault(Bargaining space narrow)、Housing policy repeated multiple factors the influence of upgrade under high pressure,Second-hand house turnover compared with last month will appear certain scope atrophy。But from the whole trend to see,August second-hand house market performance such as no accident will be far more than the same period last year 9400 sets(Including apartment、Lanes and alleys room and villas)。therefore,In some extent, see,As the final off-season August,The second-hand house market reverse season sell like hot cakes enthusiasm has not this appear in the true sense"Take a vacation in summer"。

  购房者预算150万-200万元

The person that buy a house budget 1.5 million - 2 million yuan

  目前刚性需求依旧是二手房市场的主力军,基本占到了70%左右。从客群的户籍结构看,由于受到限购令升级的影响,客户的户籍结构也相应有所变化。汉宇地产全市各分行门店的反馈情况表明,升级的限购令颁布至今,各分区管辖内门店带看或成交的非沪籍客户比例由之前的 40-50%下滑至35-45%,非沪籍客户的减少对产生整个二手房市场成交的大幅波动影响还未体现。从客群的年龄结构看,60-70%属于25-35岁阶段,根据汉宇地产研究部关于二手房研究数据显示,目前购房群体正在不断的向年轻化演变。从客群的普遍要求看,购房者的预算基本控制在150-200万元之间,此外,他们往往提出地段不要过偏、周边商圈配套较为成熟、出行较为便利等要求。

At present the rigid demand is still the main force of second-hand housing market,Basic accounted for 70%。From guest group of household structure to see,Due to the influence of restricted to upgrade,Customer's census register structure and the corresponding change。Han yu real estate the whole city each branch store feedback situation indicates,Upgrade to be restricted issued today,The area within the jurisdiction of the store to see or not clinch a deal with Shanghai nationality customer proportion by previous 40-50% decline to 35-45%,The Shanghai nationality customers to reduce the second-hand house market clinch a deal produce sharp fluctuations are not reflected。From guest group of age structure to see,60-70% belong to 25 to 35 years old stage,According to the han yu real estate research about the second-hand house research data show,At present the group are constantly to younger evolution。The universal demand from customers to see,The person that buy a house budget basic control in 150-2 million yuan between,In addition,They often put forward lot never partial、Peripheral business circle supporting relatively mature、Travel more convenient and requirements。

  从热门二手房的下表看,楼盘主要分布在中外环之间,如杨浦中原、浦东东三林以及宝山共康泗塘等均为传统刚需成交较为密集的板块。这些区域的特征主要是普遍为老居民区,周边设施配套较为齐全,符合刚需对于购房的要求。此外,这些热门二手楼盘的售价普遍在1.3-2万元/平方米,总价则控制在80万-160万元之间。

From pop second-hand house next table to see,Building are mainly distributed in the Chinese and foreign between ring,Such as the yangpu zhongyuan、Pudong east three forest and baoshan common KangSi pond are the traditional just need to clinch a deal more intensive plate。The characteristics of these areas is mainly for common old residential areas,Surrounding facilities are complete,With just need to purchase requirements。In addition,These popular secondhand building dish price generally in the 1.3-20000 yuan/square meters,Total price is controlled in 800000-1.6 million yuan between。

  TOP10

TOP10

  二手房住宅楼盘成交排名(7.1-7.31)(按成交套数)

Second-hand house residential building clinch a deal the rankings(7.1 7.31)(According to clinch a deal the number sets)

  排名 名称 区域板块 成交面积() 总套数(套) 网签均价(元/)

Ranking name area plate clinch a deal area() Total number sets(set) Net sign average(Yuan /)

  1 富友嘉园 嘉定江桥 6688 89 13,000

1 rich friend jre jiading river's bridge 6688 13,000

  2 上海康城 闵行莘庄 10530 88 12,401

2 Shanghai minhang cannes xinzhuang 10530 12,401

  3 呼玛新村 宝山共康泗塘 4347 79 15,805

Three huma xincun golconda were KangSi pond 4347 15,805

  4 金鹤新城 嘉定江桥 5497 73 12,890

4 JinHe jiading new town river's bridge 5497 12,890

  5 三林世博家园 浦东东三林 4873 65 16,101

5 three forest world expo home pudong east three forest 4873 16,101

  6 浦江世博家园 闵行浦江 4916 62 14,032

6 pujiang world expo home, minhang pujiang 4916 14,032

  7 梅陇新村 徐汇南站、长桥 3461 60 18,777

7 meilong xincun xuhui station、Long bridge 3461 60 18,777

  8 市光新村 杨浦中原 3038 58 17,301

8 city light xincun yangpu zhongyuan 3038 58 17,301

  9 泗塘新村 宝山共康泗塘 2847 54 14,608

9 si pond of saemaul undong golconda were KangSi pond 2847 54 14,608

  10 光明城市 普陀长寿 2203 49 32,108

10 light city putuo longevity 49 and 2203,108

  数据来源:汉宇地产市场研究部 注:二手房中的网签价格与实际成交价格不完全一致,仅作参考。

Data sources:Han yu real estate market research note:The net in the second-hand housing sign price and the actual transaction price not completely consistent,Are for reference only。



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