独居和空巢老人将占到54% Solitude and empty nester will make up to 54%

我国将推智能化养老服务 China will push intelligent endowment service

　　全国人大常委会原副委员长蒋正华10月29日在“首届全国智能化养老战略研讨会”上指出，智能化养老是积极应对人口老龄化的必然选择，要把智能化养老列为老龄事业发展规划，作为老龄工作的重点，以智能化引领养老服务方式转变。

Former vice chairman of the NPC standing committee JiangZhengHua on October 29, in"First national intelligent endowment strategy seminar"Also pointed out that the,Intelligent endowment is actively respond to the inevitable choice of aging population,The intelligent endowment as aging career development planning,As the focus of the elderly,Finally, with intelligent lead endowment service mode change.

　　蒋正华表示，政府应建立健全发展智能化养老的扶持政策，加强老龄信息化建设；突出智能管理服务，以老年人健康、发展为中心，实现智能养老的人性化，全面提升老年人幸福指数。

JiangZhengHua said,The government shall establish a sound development of intelligent endowment the support of policy,Strengthen the informatization construction of aging;Outstanding intelligent management service,To the elderly health/Development as the center,Intelligent endowment of the human nature,Improve the old happiness index.

　　据了解，智能化养老是运用智能控制技术提供养老服务的过程。以互联网、物联网为依托，集合运用现代通信与信息技术、计算机网络技术、老年服务行业技术和智能控制技术，为老年人提供安全便捷健康舒适服务的现代养老模式。

It is understood,Intelligent endowment is using intelligent control technology to provide old-age service process.With the Internet/Things networking to rely on,Set the use of modern communication and information technology/Computer network technology/Old service industry technology and intelligent control technology,For old people to provide safe and healthy and comfortable and convenient service of modern endowment patterns.

劳动力急剧减少 家庭养老功能弱化 Labor sharp decrease of family endowment weakening functions

独居和空巢老年人将占54% Solitude and empty nest elderly will account for 54%

　　据全国老龄办副主任朱勇介绍，我国已经进入人口老龄化快速发展阶段。2011年底，全国60岁以上老年人口1.85亿，2013年将超过2亿，2050年达到峰值4.83亿。届时，我国每三个人中就有一个老年人，占届时全球老年人口的1/4。

According to the national aging to do vice director ZhuYong is introduced,Our country has already entered an aging population rapid development stage.By the end of 2011,The 60 years or older with a population of 185 million,2013 will be more than 200 million,2050 483 million peak.the,Our country every three out of an old man,The elderly population accounts for a quarter of the world.

　　朱勇指出，我国面临巨大的养老压力，具体表现在：

ZhuYong pointed out that,China faces huge endowment pressure,Specific performance in:

　　老年人的健康水平比较低。发达国家60岁以上老年人口中，身体健康的比例超过60%，而我国只有43%左右，老年多病的问题十分突出。

Old people health level is low.The developed countries 60 years of age or older is mouth,The proportion of health more than 60%,And our country has 43% to control only,Old sick problem is very outstanding.

　　空巢老人比例高。到2050年，我国80岁及以上高龄老年人将达到1.08亿，临终无子女的老年人将达到7900万左右，失能老年人将达到1亿左右，独居和空巢老年人将占54%以上。

Empty nester ratio is high.By 2050,China 80 years old and above the old age will reach 108 million,Terminal childless elderly will reach about 79 million,Disability elderly will reach about 100 million,Solitude and empty nest elderly will account for more than 54%.

　　家庭养老功能弱化。2010年，我国家庭平均人数为3.1人，2030年将缩小到2.6人，2050年2.51人。独生子女家庭占家庭总数的37%，“4-2-1”家庭结构逐渐成为主流的结构。

Family endowment weakening functions.In 2010,,Our country family number average 3.1 people,2030 will reduce to 2.6 people,In 2050, 2.51 people.One-child families 37% of the total number of households,"The 4-2-1"Family structure gradually become mainstream structure.

　　劳动力急剧减少。自2011年起，我国劳动年龄人口开始逐步减少，2011—2050年将由9.40亿缩减到7.13亿，减少24.2%。

Sharp decrease of labor force.Since 2011,Our working age population began to gradually reduce,In 2011-2050 by 940 million will be reduced to 713 million,Reduced by 24.2%.

95%以上老人需家庭养老 More than 95% old man need to family endowment

智能化解决养老问题的必然选择 Intelligent solve the inevitable choice of pension problems

　　朱勇坦承，面对巨大的养老服务需求，中国的社会养老服务体系发展面临严峻挑战。截至2011年底，全国各类养老服务机构总床位数为 353.2万张，每千名老年人拥有养老床位仅有19.1张，离千分之三十的标准相差甚远，而且，300多万张床位中70%多的是乡镇敬老院床位，主要用于收住农村五保供养对象。

ZhuYong admits,In the face of the huge endowment service needs,China's social old-age service system development is facing serious challenges.By the end of 2011,The national all kinds of endowment service total bedspace for 3.532 million zhang,Every old people have endowment bed only 19.1 zhang,Thirty over one thousand of the standard from far,and,More than 300 beds in more than 70% of is the villages and towns gerocomium beds,Mainly used in our rural five guarantees supporting object.

　　养老服务业体制机制不完善。发展缺少统一规划，政府各部门职能交叉，权责不清，缺乏合力；政府责任不够清晰，市场机制作用发挥不够；养老服务业扶持政策不完善，民办养老服务机构发展滞缓，截至2011年底，全国各类养老服务机构共4万多家，其中大部分是公办机构，民办机构床位数只占总床位数的1／3左右。

Pension services system mechanism is not perfect.The development of the lack of unified planning,The departments of the government functions cross,Responsibility is not clear,Lack of force;The government responsibility is not clear,The market mechanism function is not enough;Pension services support policy not perfect,Private pension services development the stagnant,By the end of 2011,The national all kinds of endowment service institutions a total of more than 40000 home,Most of them are public institutions,Private institutions bedspace account for only about a third of the total bedspace.

　　居家养老政策几近空白。无论现在还是将来，95%以上的老年人都要在家里养老。但是，由于家庭小型化，家庭很难胜任养老的功能，需要政府的家庭养老政策来支撑。发达国家越来越重视居家养老，制定了一系列支持家庭养老的免税政策、津贴政策、弹性就业政策。中国除了独生子女家庭奖励政策外，其他方面的支持政策几乎是空白。

The near non-existence pension policy.No matter at present or in future,More than 95% of the elderly are at home endowment.but,Because domestic miniaturization,Family hard-charging endowment function,Need the government's family pension policy to support.The developed countries pay more and more attention to family endowment,Formulated a series of supporting the family endowment exemption policy/Allowance policy/Flexible employment policy.China except the single-child family outside the reward policy,Other aspects of support policy is almost blank.

　　养老服务人力资源短缺。目前我国大约需要1000多万养老护理人员，而全国现有养老护理员仅30多万人，其中取得职业资格的更不足10万人。

Endowment service human resources shortage.At present our country is about more than 1000 endowment nursing personnel,And the existing pension orderly only 30 more than ten thousand people,Obtain the professional qualifications of more of less than 100000 people.

　　朱勇表示，为推动智能化养老事业发展，经中国老龄办批准，中国老龄办信息中心在全国开展“全国智能化养老实验基地”建设，目的是探索模式，总结经验，逐步推广。

ZhuYong said,In order to promote the development of intelligent endowment business,The China aging do approval,China's rapidly ageing do information center in the national development"The national intelligence endowment experimental base"construction,Purpose is to explore the pattern,To sum up experience,Gradually extending to.

　　与会专家认为，智能化养老方式对于低成本应对人口老龄化，具有重要意义和积极作用。智能化养老是能够应用于居家养老、社区养老、机构养老、养生养老、健康养老、异地养老、休闲养老等任何一种养老方式的高科技集成平台，可改善各种养老方式的能力和质量。 (记者 李叶)

The experts say,Intelligent endowment way for low cost to deal with an aging population,Has the important significance and positive role.Intelligent endowment is able to used in home endowment/Community endowment/Institution endowment/Health endowment/Health endowment/Different endowment/Leisure endowment and any kind of endowment way of high-tech integrated platform,Can improve all kinds of endowment way ability and quality. (Reporter li yan)