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卫生部:流感活动超过历史高峰水平可能性不大--亲稳舆论引导监测室
2013-01-10

  中新网1月10日电 卫生部今日就2012年中国卫生十大新闻举行发布会,通报2013年全国卫生工作会议情况,卫生部新闻发言人、卫生部办公厅副主任邓海华表示,2012年4月-12月全国累计报告病例数在10例以上的流感样病例的疫情一共有45起,其中北京报告2例死亡病例,这2例都有一些基础的疾病,2012-2013年度流感流行季节的流感活动超过历史高峰水平的可能性不大。

Beijing on January 10, the ministry of health this day in 2012, the Chinese health ten held a news conference,About 2013 national health work meeting,The ministry of health spokesman/DengHaiHua, deputy director of the general office of the ministry of health says,In April 2012-12 months over the total number of cases reported in 10 cases of influenza - like the outbreak of a total of 45 cases,Beijing report 2 cases of deaths,This two cases can have some of the basic diseases,2012-2013 influenza season of flu activity over the possibility of historical peak level.

  邓海华指出,按照专家的说法,现在甲型H1N1流感已经成为了北方地区的季节性流感。全国流感监测网络的数据显示,去年12月以来,中国北方省份进入了流感的流行季节,流感样病例占门急诊病例总数的比例和流感病毒检测的阳性率,都高于2011年的同期水平,但是低于流行的高峰水平。南方省份从去年9月中旬以来,流感活动处于较低的水平。上述两个监测数据低于2011年、2010年的同期水平。监测的情况显示,从2012年3月到现在,绝大多数的省份是以H3N2为优势的毒株,北方的个别省份包括北京、山东,甲型H1N1流感病毒的比例在逐步的上升,并且成为优势的毒株,当前流行的A型H3N2和甲型H1N1以及B型流感,病毒没有发生变异,而且流行的毒株与北半球2012-2013年的疫苗株匹配性较好。

DengHaiHua pointed out that,According to experts,Now influenza a H1N1 influenza has become the northern area of seasonal influenza.Figures released by the national influenza monitoring network,Since December last year,Provinces in northern China has entered the popularity of the flu season,Flu-like cases this proportion of the total number of cases and the positive rate of influenza virus detection,Level is higher than the same period in 2011,But lower than the peak level of popularity.Southern province since the middle of September last year,Influenza activity in the lower level.The above two monitoring data lower than in 2011/The level in the same period in 2010.Monitoring the condition of the display,From March 2012 to now,The vast majority of the province is strain H3N2 for advantage,Individual provinces in the north, including Beijing/shandong,The rise in the proportion of influenza a H1N1 influenza virus in step by step,And become the advantages of strain,The current popular type A influenza A H1N1 and H3N2 and influenza B,The virus has no change,And the strain and the northern hemisphere from 2012 to 2013 of the vaccine strains is matching.

  关于疫情的报告数据,邓海华介绍称,全国的统计情况是,2012年4月-12月全国累计报告病例数在10例以上的流感样病例的疫情一共有45起,其中A型H3N2一共是29起,B型3起,甲型H1N1是3起。月度统计,去年12月1号到今年的1月6号全国一共报告了360例甲型H1N1流感病例,其中北京报告2例死亡病例,这2例都有一些基础的疾病。

Report on the epidemic situation data,DengHaiHua said,The statistics of the situation is,In April 2012-12 months over the total number of cases reported in 10 cases of influenza - like the outbreak of a total of 45 cases,The type A H3N2 altogether is 29,Type B three,Influenza a H1N1 is 3.Monthly statistics,Last year to this year's December 1 January 6 national reported a total of 360 cases of influenza a H1N1 flu cases,Beijing report 2 cases of deaths,This two cases can have some of the basic diseases.

  邓海华进一步指出,根据近期全球和我国流感疫情的形势,专家评估认为,目前北方省份已经进入了流感的高发季节,未来几周将维持在较高的水平。随着气温的降低,预计南方省份也将逐渐的进入高发季节。但是由于当前中国流感的活动强度没有超过2010年度和2011年度流行季节的流行高峰,且流感的毒株没有发生变异,流行毒株与疫苗株的匹配性较好,所以2012-2013年度流感流行季节的流感活动超过历史高峰水平的可能性不大。卫生部将继续密切关注全国以及重点省份流感疫情的形势,加强对流感疫情的监测、分析和研判,对重点省份的流感防控工作予以指导。这是关于流感的情况。

DengHaiHua further pointed out,According to the recent global and flu epidemic situation in our country,Experts assess think,At present, the province has entered the high incidence of flu season,The next few weeks will remain at high levels.With the decrease of temperature,Province in south China are also expected to gradually into the high season.But because China's current influenza activity intensity of no more than 2010 and 2011 pop the popularity of the peak season,And the strain of flu has no change,Epidemic strain is matching with the vaccine strains,So 2012-2013 influenza season of flu activity history more than the peak level of possibility is not big.Health ministry will continue to pay close attention to the national key provinces and flu epidemic situation,Strengthen the monitoring of the flu outbreak/Analysis and research to,Influenza prevention and control of important provinces work instruction.This is about the flu.


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