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防止房价反弹要打组合拳--亲民维稳网络舆情监测室
2012-07-12

  温家宝总理日前在江苏调研时强调,目前房地产市场调控仍然处在关键时期,调控任务还很艰巨,决不能让房价反弹。(见7月8日《扬子晚报》)

Prime minister wen jiabao recently in jiangsu research said,Real estate market regulation is still in critical period,Regulation is very arduous task,Never let the house prices rebound。(See July 8,《Yangtze evening paper》)

  房价反弹是近期群众的普遍担忧,这并非空穴来风。据中国指数研究院发布的《2012年6月中国房地产指数系统百城价格指数报告》显示,全国100个城市(新建)住宅平均价格比5月份环比上涨0.05%,结束了自2011年9月以来连续9个月环比下跌态势,其中涨幅在1%以上的城市有11个。不少城市房地产市场由冷转热,甚至出现排队抢房的“盛景”,这些都加剧了公众对房价上涨的预期。

House prices rebound is the recent widespread concerns about,This is not smoke。According to the Chinese index issued by the institute《In June 2012, China's real estate index system stores in price index report》shows,The country's 100 city(new)House price is higher than average up 0.05% month-on-month in May,Over since September 2011 nine consecutive drop y/y trend,Among them or in more than 1% of the city has 11。Many city real estate market by turn cold hot,Appear even line up the room“Cheng jing”,These are exacerbated the public to the expectations of rising housing prices。

  事实上房价反弹的苗头正在显现,少数地方变相放宽调控政策,央银一月内两度降息,房地产绷紧的资金链得到舒缓,投资性购房热度再现,这些都助推了房价“恢复性”上涨。可见对房价反弹的危险不可小觑,更不能漠视。

In fact the first hint of house prices rebound is emerging,A few places in disguised form control policy easing,Twice a month epicenter silver cut interest rates,Real estate tight capital chain is relaxed,Investment heat that buy a house again,These are thrusting the price“restorative”rise。Visible to the house the bounce of the dangerous cannot small gaze,More can't ignore。

  房地产市场调控两年多来能取得一些成果,关键取决于行政、金融、税收等多项紧缩政策齐上阵,打“组合拳”。在笔者看来,决不能让房价反弹同样需要齐心协力“组合拳”。

The real estate market control for more than two years to get some results,The key depends on the administration、financial、Tax and so on many tightening neat go into battle,play“one-two”。In the author looks,Never let the house prices rebound also need to work together“one-two”。

  一是要防止和纠正地方放宽调控,鼓励购房的政策“松绑”。调控“组合拳”让一些地方财政“撑不住”了,最近时见有地方政府变通政策优待买房,须坚决纠正,必须强调全局意识,小局服从大局,调控政策不得有半点松懈或“走形”。

One is to prevent and correct place relax regulation,Encourage purchase policies“easing”。regulation“one-two”Let some local finance“Could not support”the,You then have recently local government flexible policy discount for buying a house,Must resolutely put a,To emphasize the global consciousness,XiaoJu obey the big picture,Control policies may not be a little slack or“ZouXing”。

  二是需要准确、权威的信息引导。目前房地产市场信息比较混乱,真真假假,虚虚实实,发布信息的单位良莠不分,一定程度上误导公众对市场前景与走势的误判,甚至引发惊谎。须对相关信息进行整合与整顿,去伪存真,去虚存实,用真实、权威信息引领房地产健康消费。

2 it is need accurate、Authoritative information guide。Real estate market at present information chaos,true,XuXuShiShi,Release information unit throw out the baby,A certain degree of misleading the public market prospect and trends of miscalculation,Even trigger surprised lie。To integrate information must be related to rectify,true,To virtual memory real,With the real、Information leading real estate authority healthy consumption。

  三是通过宣传教育引导公众理性购房。目前有些城市房价反弹蕴藏着不少非理性因素,包括投机投资购房,非理性抬头是因为人们对房价上涨的预期增强,对稳定房价信心不足,这亟待提振公众信心,让公众看到促进房价合理回归的前景。

3 it is through the propaganda education guide public rational purchase。At present some city house prices rebound contain a lot of irrational factors,Speculative investment include the house,Irrational looked up to the rising housing prices because people expected to increase,To stabilize prices lack of confidence,This to be to boost public confidence,Let the public to see prices reasonable prospect of promote regression。

  四是加快保障性住房建设与分配。数据显示今年上半年已开工建设保障房470万套,基本建成260万套,应尽快将这些保障房分配到群众手中,某种意义上讲,保障房与商品房价格是此涨彼消的关系,保障房建得越多,覆盖面越大,越能促进房价合理回归。

4 it is to speed up the construction of affordable housing and distribution。Data showed that in the first half of this year started construction guarantee room 4.7 million sets,Basically completed 2.6 million sets,Will these security room as soon as possible should be assigned to the masses hands,Some sense,Security room and commodity house price is up and the relationship between the extinction,Ensure the fittest,The greater the coverage,The more reasonable prices can promote regression。

  五是拓宽个人资本投资渠道。房地产升温再次印证了公民个人理财渠道非常狭窄,银行利率下调,资本市场长期低迷,导致许多人认为投资房地产最能保值增值。最近国家采取多项政策措施向民间资本开放国有垄断行业,从理论上讲,个人资产也属民间资本,应享有同等待遇,但以上投资领域基本与公民个人资产无关,这很值得研究,应开渠放水,让个人投资理财有更多的选择。

Five, expanding the personal capital investment channels。Real estate warming again confirm the citizens to personal financing channel is very narrow,Bank interest rate by a,Long-term capital market downturn,Lead to many people think that the real estate investment value。The country has recently taken various policy measures to the folk capital open state-owned monopoly industry,In theory,Personal assets is private capital,Should enjoy the same treatment,But above investment fields and individual citizens basic assets have nothing to do,This is worth studying,Water should be KaiQu,Let personal investment management have more choices。



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