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上海6月二手房指数报告发布 成交量创新高--亲稳网络舆情监控室
2012-07-13

  中国经济网上海7月6日讯(记者李治国) 6月份《上海二手房指数报告发布》发布。报告显示,2012年6月,上海二手房指数为2579点,较5月上涨4点,环比上涨0.16%,涨幅比5月扩大0.16个百分点。在连续8个月下跌走平后,6月二手房指数出现反弹。

China Shanghai cew has been on 6 July,(Reporter LiZhiGuo) June《Shanghai housing index report》release。report,June 2012,Shanghai housing index for 2579 points,More may rise 4 o 'clock,Annulus comparing rose 0.16%,May expand 0.16% rise than。In the eight months after falling go flat,June secondhand the room index rebounded。

  在指数系统监测的所有板块中,81%上涨,16%下跌,3%走平。6月上海二手房成交量创下17个月来新高,表现出与一手房市场同步特征。上海二手房指数办公室认为,6月二手房的价格反弹,量价反向打破。在降息等刺激下,刚需及首次置业者之后,改善型需求加大释放,成功接力支撑楼市。随着购房者预期房价回升增强,对二手房带看量和成交量影响愈来愈大,市场中恐慌性入市显现,二手房频频提价及跳价。但价格反弹幅度微弱,远小于之前降价幅度。二手房价格回暖前景尚不明朗,下跌趋势没有改变。

In the index system of monitoring all the plates,Up 81%,Fall 16%,3% go flat。June, the volume of Shanghai housing in 17 months to new highs,Show and a room market synchronization feature。Shanghai housing index that office,6 month of secondhand the room price rebound,Price volume reverse break。In the stimulation such as cut interest rates,Just need to first time homebuyers and after,Improve type release increased demand,Successful relay support in the sector。Along with the person that buy a house prices expected back enhanced,To see and volume of secondhand the room with increasing influence,Market panic in the market to show,Housing prices and price jump again。But the price rebound rate weak,Far less than cut prices before。Secondhand the room price warmer future remains to be seen,Trend down no change。

  6月楼市政策微妙。央行6月8日起降息0.25个百分点,公积金贷款利率随之下调,同时商贷优惠利率8.5折覆盖面扩大。沪上接连收紧限购政策:6月15日起非沪籍补缴个税或社保证明购房的一律不予过户;6月27日传言单身外地人士首套购房受限,第二天上海市房管局重申沪版限购政策不变。从全国范围来说,“稳增长”下各地政府政策微调;半个月内住建部两次喊话,重申坚持楼市调控,在放松信贷和货币政策之后,管理层对楼市变化显得敏感。这一切,令楼市供需双方再次博弈。

June housing policy subtle。On June 8, the central bank cut interest rates up to 0.25%,Accumulation fund loan interest rate cut then,At the same time business loans preferential interest rate 8.5 fold coverage expanded。Shanghai continued tightening 限购 policy:June 15, on the Shanghai nationality payment of tax or social security proof of purchase shall not transfer;June 27, single non-local rumours that the first set of purchase limited,The next day, Shanghai 限购 version of Shanghai room canal reiterated that the policy remains the same。From the point of view,“Steady growth”Local government under fine-tuning;Half a month JianBu lived two propaganda,Reiterated that adhere to the property market regulation,In to relax credit and monetary policy later,Management to the property market change appear sensitive。All this,Both the supply and the demand for housing game again。

  经统计,6月,市区全部8个区及浦东陆家嘴(600663,股吧)整体上涨0.14%,涨幅比5月扩大0.13个百分点;市中心4个区及浦东陆家嘴6月整体上涨0.18%,涨幅比上月扩大0.17个百分点。其中徐汇上涨0.26%,黄浦上涨0.21%,长宁上涨0.19%,浦东陆家嘴上涨0.17%;而静安成为包括市区8个区及浦东陆家嘴在内唯一下跌的行政区,跌幅0.09%。市区二手房连续10个月后首次出现较高涨幅,是受降息刺激,购房保值心理重生,改善型客户加快进入中高端市场,由此拉动量价同向;另一原因是6月新江湾城、外滩等板块一手高端楼盘供应和成交放量,在预期见涨影响下,带动周边二手房上涨。成交增幅居前的是黄浦、静安、杨浦。

The statistics,June,The city all eight area and pudong lujiazui(600663,Shares it)The overall rise 0.14%,May expand 0.13% rise than;Downtown area and four pudong lujiazui June overall rose 0.18%,Or expanded by 0.17% than last month。One xuhui rose 0.26%,Huangpu rose 0.21%,Changning rose 0.19%,Pudong lujiazui rose 0.17%;And jing an 8 districts of the city be including and pudong lujiazui, the administrative region only fall,Fall 0.09%。Urban secondhand the room for 10 months after the first appear higher rise,Is to cut interest rates by stimulating,Purchase value psychological rebirth,Improve customers accelerate into type in high-end market,Thus pulled the same quantity and price;Another reason is a 6 month new jiangwan city、The bund sectors such as a high-end building supply and tumbled to clinch a deal,In the expected rise see under the influence,Drive the surrounding secondhand the room to rise。Clinch a deal in the growth before is huangpu、Jing an、yangpu。

  新兴城区6月整体上涨0.17%,涨幅比5月扩大0.21个百分点。其中,浦东、闵行、青浦近市区部分分别上涨0.21%、0.20%、0.18%。此次新兴城区是在连续下跌8个月后出现反弹,板块价值在挤出泡沫后得到市场肯定,总价250万至300万元的房源是成交主力。降息、首套房贷利率优惠以及年内再次降息的可能,催生首套购房主力群体看涨房价的情绪。尤其是嘉定、宝山等近市区的部分,出现新盘排队买房或者开盘当日销售过半的热销场景,让部分购房者产生恐慌心理,担心政策稍有松动房价会重新大幅上涨。此外,对于想要换房的购房者,面对降息带来的实惠也不愿再错失时机,并且偏向于选购新兴城区的次新房,以改善和提升居住环境。

New city June overall rose 0.17%,May expand 0.21% rise than。Among them,pudong、minhang、Qingpu nearly urban part rose 0.21%, respectively、0.20%、0.18%。The new city is continuous drop in eight months after rebounded,Plate extrusion bubble in value from the market for sure,Price is 2.5 million to 3 million yuan homes is main clinch a deal。Cut interest rates、The first set of mortgage rates preferential and years of may cut interest rates again,The first set of expedites the future.as the group of the price of the house is bullish mood。Especially jiading、Baoshan city such as part of the close,Appear XinPan queuing buy or sell like hot cakes on the day of the opening of the sales more than half the scene,Let the part of the person that buy a house panic psychology,Worry policy prices will loose slightly to rise sharply。In addition,Want to move rooms of the person that buy a house,Bring benefits to cut interest rates face to miss time again,And in favour of choose and buy new city new times,To improve and enhance the living environment。

  非新兴城区6月整体上涨0.18%,涨幅比5月扩大0.24个百分点。在连续10个月下跌后,非新兴城区止跌上涨,但震荡偏强,涨幅超过全市平均水平,走出了一波连续阴跌之后的较强反弹之势。如奉贤南桥上涨0.34%、金山亭林上涨0.31%、浦东临港新城上涨0.31%。浦东曹路下跌0.30%,金山朱泾下跌0.22%。其中奉贤南桥得益于土地市场回暖,住宅成交紧随其后。

The new city June overall rose 0.18%,May expand 0.24% rise than。For 10 months after the fall,The new city rising reason,But volatility partial strong,Or more than the average,Out of a continuous wave fall Yin the stronger after the potential of the rebound。Such as fengxian occurrence rose 0.34%、JinShanTing Lin rose 0.31%、Pudong new harbor city is up 0.31%。Pudong CaoLu fell 0.30%,Jinshan zhu (down 0.22%。One fengxian occurrence benefited from the land market buoyancy,Residential clinch a deal followed。

  经统计,2012年6月全市128个板块中,上涨板块103个,下跌板块21个,持平板块4个。

The statistics,In June 2012, the 128 plate,Rising plate 103,Fall plate 21,Flat plate 4。

  上涨板块6月平均上涨0.25%,比上月扩0.09个百分点。今年1月无板块上涨,随着成交量回暖,板块上涨数量也随之上升,6月上涨板块骤增为103个,是5月的3.4倍。6月,靠近中外环的一些中高档住宅区集中板块涨势较大,浦东和闵行部分板块涨幅居前,如浦东联洋上涨0.38%、闵行春申上涨0.37%、浦东三林上涨0.35%、浦东花木上涨0.34%、闵行莘闵上涨0.33%。之所以出现价格普涨,与业主受政策影响从而改变对房价预期有关。由于3月以来二手房成交持续放量,部分业主对挂牌价有所调整,加上6月央行降息利好,于是业主缩小议价空间,甚至提价3%-5%,个别案例还出现跳价。不少购房者无奈选择接受提价,以免后市涨幅上升之忧。如闵行春申板块量价齐升,成交量较上月达到翻番水平。

Rise in June rose 0.25% on average plate,Enlarge 0.09% than last month。January this year without plate to rise,Along with the volume thaw,Plate number is rising up then,June 103 to keep rising plate,Is the May 3.4 times。June,Close to some of the Chinese and foreign ring on large gains in high-grade residential plate,Part of the plate in pudong, minhang rise before,Such as pudong LianYang rose 0.38%、The minhang spring "rose 0.37%、Pudong three Lin rose 0.35%、Pudong flowers and trees rose 0.34%、The minhang xinmin rose 0.33%。The general goes up in price,And the policy implications of which changes by the prices are expected。Since march due to clinch a deal for secondhand tumbled,Part of the owner to the listed price change,On June the central bank cut interest rates and positive news,So the owner narrow bargaining space,Even raised prices 3%-5%,Individual case also appeared to jump price。A lot of the person that buy a house but choose to accept prices,Is it the sorrow rise to rise。Such as the minhang spring "plate JiSheng quantity and price,Turnover is double the level reached last month。

  持平板块数量为4个,5月减少26个。持平板块仅为长宁天山、虹桥路,闸北彭浦和宝山罗店,板块内房源价格涨跌互抵。

Flat plate number for four,May reduce 26。Flat plate is only persuaded by the tianshan mountain、Hongqiao road,PengPu and baoshan ROM shop;,Plate, expand the price drop against each other in。

  下跌板块21个,比5月减少45个。下跌板块6月平均下跌0.25%,跌幅相比5月扩大0.14个百分点。下跌板块集中于一些楼盘开发量较大的板块,如松江佘山下跌0.29%、嘉定南翔下跌0.25%。一些虽处顶级地段但成交量一直较少的板块价格也出现了下跌,如静安寺板块下跌0.24%、黄浦人民广场板块下跌0.23%。

Fall plate 21,On may reduce than 45。Fall plate June fell 0.25% on average,May expand 0.14% compared to fall。Fall plate on some of the large building back hurriedly plates,Such as songjiang sheshan fell 0.29%、Jiading nanxiang fell 0.25%。Though some place top location but volume has been less plate price also appeared down,Such as 55-minute plate dropped by 0.24%、Huangpu people's square plate dropped by 0.23%。

  上海二手房指数办公室认为,在调控政策持续不放松和降息刺激下,积压的购房需求加快释放,二手房连续3个月成交放量,而价格在8个月的下跌持平后出现反弹。事实上,近两年来楼市几乎受制于中央从紧政策,但近期地方政府则在“稳增长”下救市。在这种政策引导下,开发商高价拿地再现,成交回暖提振卖家信心,而居民降价预期在减弱。尤其是,6月8日央行的降息和存贷款利率浮动空间的加大,是一个时间节点,3年来的首次降息表明政府在调控中对于刚需及改善客的支持,随着政策发酵,楼市逐渐走出观望。不过,二手房市场出现了“业主看涨、购房者恐慌”的矛盾心态。目前,住建部所进行的对楼市走势评估和政策储备成为关注焦点。需要说明的是,在不具备足够因素上涨的环境下,二手房市场的价格反弹不会持久,二次降价或不期而至。

Shanghai housing index that office,In the control policy for not to relax and stimulation to cut interest rates,The backlog of pent-up demand to speed up the release,Secondhand the room for three months y109.52 to clinch a deal,But the price in the eight months after the fall of the flat rebound。In fact,In the last two years by the central market almost tight policy,But recent local government is in“Steady growth”Save the city under。In this policy guidance,Developers with high price to reproduce,Warmed to boost the seller confidence clinch a deal,And residents in down price cut expected。especially,On June 8, the central bank cut interest rates and interest rate increase of floating space,Is a time node,3 years of cut interest rates for the first time that the government in regulating just need to improve and the support of the guest,As policy fermentation,Property market gradually out of watching。but,Housing market appeared“Owner bullish、Homebuyers panic”Contradictory mentality of。At present,Live JianBu of market trends to evaluate and policy reserves to become the focus。Need explanation is,Do not have enough factors in the rise of the environment,Housing market price rebound don't last long,Secondary prices or unbidden。



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