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四川中原:成都市场周刊(2012.7.2-7.8)--亲稳网络舆情监测室
2012-07-17

  

1.土地市场 1. The land market

  

土地市场暂时回落 开发商拿地理性 The land market back to temporarily take developers rational

  土地市场本周暂时终止了之前的活跃势头,出现了暂时性的回落。本周供应方面无论是主城区还是郊县均沉寂。成交方面,仅郊县有四宗土地成交,而主城区一宗土地因故终止拍卖。值得一提的是,这宗因故终止拍卖的土地位于青羊区大庆路,属于城中心繁华地段,有着较高的关注度,但是最终因故终止拍卖,主要还是因为5200元的起拍楼面地价超过了竞购者们的心理预期,由此也可以反映出开发商们拿地越来越趋于理性。虽然这周土地市场相对冷清,但鉴于目前土地市场上还有多宗已经公告的优质地块,预期后期土地市场将会有所反弹,继续之前的较为火热的趋势。

The land market this week before suspended the active momentum,Appeared temporary fell back。This week in urban or suburban county supply both are silent。deal,Only suburban county has four land clinch a deal,And the main reason terminate a land auction。It is,The Pope for stopping the auction land is located in QingYangOu daqing road,Belongs to a busy section of city plaza,With a high attention,But eventually terminated for auction,Largely because the floor price 5200 yuan more than the distributing of the bidder expected,It also can reflect the developers take to more rational。Although this week land market relatively cold and cheerless,But given the land market and the high quality has declared plots,The late expected land market will bounce,Continue to the more hot trend before。

  

主城区土地供应成交信息 City land supply clinch a deal the information

  供应方面:本周主城区供应陷入沉寂。成交方面:本周主城区成交陷入沉寂,仅一宗土地因故终止拍卖。

supply:This week in silence in supply。deal:This week the city into silence clinch a deal,Only a land auction for termination。

  

主城区供应:本周主城区暂无供应 City supply:This week the city no supplies

  主城区成交:本周主城区暂无成交(详见附1表1)

Clinch a deal in:This week the city no clinch a deal(See attached 1 table 1)

  

郊县区土地供应成交信息 Suburban county district land supply clinch a deal the information

  供应方面:本周郊县供应陷入沉寂。成交方面:本周郊县成交了4宗土地,分别位于新津,龙泉,郫县。值得一提是拿下新津县花源镇两宗土地的北大资源集团,是北大方正集团旗下专门从事房地产开发,商业地产运营、物业经营管理的综合性集团。此次拿地也是他们第一次进入成都房地产市场,他们的进入也会使得市场竞争在未来更加的激烈。

supply:This week in suburban county supply silence。deal:This week to clinch a deal in the suburban county 4 land,Located in XinJin,longquan,PI county recently。Worth mentioning is to win the xinjin spend source town two land resources group of Peking University,As the north founder group, specializes in real estate development,Commercial real estate operation、Property management comprehensive group。This is the first time they take to the real estate market in chengdu,Their into also makes even more in the future market competition of fierce。

  

郊县区供应:本周郊县暂无供应 Suburban county area supply:This week the suburban county no supplies

  郊县区成交:本周郊县区出让4宗国有建设用地使用权,净地面积共计366.29亩,约合24.42万平方米,可建面积约67.55万平方米。(详见附1表2)

Suburban county area to clinch a deal:This week the suburban county area four cases of state-owned construction leaseholds,Net area totaling 366.29 acres,$244200 square meters,But building area is about 675500 square meters。(See attached 1 table 2)

  

2.一手商品住宅市场 2. A commodity residential market

  

一手住宅供应再度下滑 整体低位震荡 A housing supply fell again whole shakeouts

  据房管局数据显示,本周主城区有9个住宅项目领取预售许可证,较上周增加1个。

According to data show room canal,This week the city have nine residential projects get open to booking licence,Last week a increases an。

  本周主城区商品住宅供应1659套,供应面积为15.2万平方米,供应套数环比下降30.1%,供应面积环比下降24.6%。(注:本文供应量参考本周取得预售证项目,所以与实际供应项目可能存在误差)。本周成都主城区供应共11个预售证,其中9个为住宅项目预售证。本周一手住宅供应量小幅波动,下滑趋势明显。由于夏季为传统淡季,在某种程度上开发商对市场保持观望的态度,所以后期并不排除房企在资金压力下供应集中放量的现象,很有可能增加住宅供应量,并且仍然以刚需为主。

This week the commodity residential house in supply 1659 sets,Supply area of 152000 sq. Meters,Supply a cycle of annulus comparing fell 30.1%,Supply area of annulus comparing fell 24.6%。(note:This paper supplies the reference made this week to open to booking card program,So with the actual supply project possible error)。This week in chengdu were 11 opens to booking a card supply,9 of for house project opens to booking a card。This week a housing supply small-scope fluctuation,To decline significantly。With the summer for traditional slack,In a way to keep the market developers wait-and-see attitude,So does not rule out a room in the late enterprises under pressure on money supply rare phenomenon,Very may increase housing supply,And still to just need to give priority to。

四川中原:成都市场周刊(2012.7.2-7.8)

  

一手住宅成交反弹 淡季或继续波动 A housing rebound or continue to clinch a deal the off-season fluctuations

  据房管局数据显示,本周主城区商品住宅共成交2282套,成交面积为21.48万平方米,成交套数环比上涨97.23%,成交面积环比上涨93.51%. 进入淡季之后商品房成交量本应趋于平稳,但本周出现反弹,原因或如下。第一,上周央行再次降息,这个利好信息或继续促进了成交。第二,各种利好的信息继续发酵,使得房价在媒体舆论中有抬头的趋势,对购房者“卖涨不卖跌”的心理起到了逼单下单的作用,于是购房者们纷纷出手成交。预计后期总体成交趋势将趋于平稳,但偶尔出现波动也属正常现象。

According to data show room canal,This week the commodity residential house in total of 2282 to clinch a deal,Clinch a deal the area of 214800 sq. Meters,Clinch a deal a cycle of annulus comparing rose 97.23%,Clinch a deal the area of annulus comparing rose 93.51%. After this, the volume of commodity house into the off-season should tend to be stable,But this week rebounded,Reasons or the following。The first,Last week the central bank cut interest rates again,The good news or continue to promote the clinch a deal。The second,All kinds of good information continue to ferment,House prices in the media that public opinion has looked up in the trend,To the person that buy a house“Sell up not to sell down”Psychological played a force single order of role,So the buyers have shot a deal。The overall trend is expected late clinch a deal will be smooth,But the occasional fluctuation is normal phenomenon。

四川中原:成都市场周刊(2012.7.2-7.8)

  

各行政区成交量纷纷下跌 The administrative region volume declined

  本周各行政区中,各行政区成交量都纷纷上涨。其中武侯区上升幅度最大,本周成交356套,环比上涨157.97%,成交量最高的区域为高新区,在本周共成交632套,环比上涨48.71%。

This week in the administrative region,The administrative region volume would have to rise。WuHouOu increase of the largest,Clinch a deal this week 356 sets,Annulus comparing rose 157.97%,The highest volume for high-tech area,In this week of 632 set clinch a deal,Annulus comparing rose 48.71%。

四川中原:成都市场周刊(2012.7.2-7.8)

  

3.二手商品住宅市场 3. Second-hand commodity residential market

  

二手住宅成交下滑 评估计税政策深度影响市场 Second-hand housing downturn assessment tax policy to clinch a deal the depth affect the market

  据房管局数据显示,本周主城区二手住宅共成交1217套,成交面积为10.12万平方米,成交套数环比下降56.47%,成交面积环比下降59.18%;本周二手住宅成交量开始明显下滑。由于二手房评估指导税已经开始实施,二手房的购房成本因此上升,购房者的购买意愿受到一定影响,成交量也随之下降。加之现在已经进入楼市淡季,预计二手房成交量将趋于平稳,维持现在的水平保持在低位运行。

According to data show room canal,In this week of second-hand housing clinch a deal of 1217,Clinch a deal the area of 101200 sq. Meters,Clinch a deal fell by 56.47% month-on-month cycle,Clinch a deal the area of annulus comparing fell 59.18%;This week, the volume of second-hand house began to decline significantly。Because secondhand the room assessment guide tax has started,The purchase cost so rising housing,The person that buy a house willingness to buy is affected certainly,Volume also fall subsequently。And now has to get on the property ladder off-season,Housing is expected to moderate turnover will,To maintain the current level in the low post keep running。

2012年7月2日至7月8日,日均二手住宅成交量为174套,环比上周下降129.3%。2012年7月2日至7月8日,日均二手住宅成交量为174套,环比上周下降129.3%。 July 2, 2012 on July 8,Average daily volume for 174 sets of second-hand housing,Annulus comparing fell 129.3% last week。四川中原:成都市场周刊(2012.7.2-7.8)

  

各行政区齐齐下跌 Top of the administrative region fell

  本周各行政区成交量纷纷下降,受二手房评估税的影响,成华区本周成交量跌幅最大,共成交181套,环比下跌60.74%。成交套数最多的金牛区环比跌幅也达51.29%,成交套数为245套。

This week, the volume of the administrative region in decline,The influence of the tax assessment by secondhand the room,HuaOu volume fell into this week is the largest,Clinch a deal with 181 sets,Annulus comparing fell 60.74%。Most of the cycle of jinniu district, clinch a deal 51.29% month-on-month decline also,Clinch a deal for 245 sets of cycle。

四川中原:成都市场周刊(2012.7.2-7.8)

  

4.一周小结、预测 4. A week summary、forecast

  

一周小结 Week summary

  

土地市场暂时回落 开发商拿地理性 The land market back to temporarily take developers rational

  土地市场本周暂时终止了之前的活跃势头,出现了暂时性的回落。本周供应方面无论是主城区还是郊县均沉寂。成交方面,仅郊县有四宗土地成交,而主城区一宗土地因故终止拍卖。值得一提的是,这宗因故终止拍卖的土地位于青羊区大庆路,属于城中心繁华地段,有着较高的关注度,但是最终因故终止拍卖,主要还是因为5200元的起拍楼面地价超过了竞购者们的心理预期,由此也可以反映出开发商们拿地越来越趋于理性。虽然这周土地市场相对冷清,但鉴于目前土地市场上还有多宗已经公告的优质地块,预期后期土地市场将会有所反弹,继续之前的较为火热的趋势。

The land market this week before suspended the active momentum,Appeared temporary fell back。This week in urban or suburban county supply both are silent。deal,Only suburban county has four land clinch a deal,And the main reason terminate a land auction。It is,The Pope for stopping the auction land is located in QingYangOu daqing road,Belongs to a busy section of city plaza,With a high attention,But eventually terminated for auction,Largely because the floor price 5200 yuan more than the distributing of the bidder expected,It also can reflect the developers take to more rational。Although this week land market relatively cold and cheerless,But given the land market and the high quality has declared plots,The late expected land market will bounce,Continue to the more hot trend before。

  

一手住宅供应再度下滑 整体低位震荡 A housing supply fell again whole shakeouts

  据房管局数据显示,本周主城区有9个住宅项目领取预售许可证,较上周增加1个。

According to data show room canal,This week the city have nine residential projects get open to booking licence,Last week a increases an。

  本周主城区商品住宅供应1659套,供应面积为15.2万平方米,供应套数环比下降30.1%,供应面积环比下降24.6%。(注:本文供应量参考本周取得预售证项目,所以与实际供应项目可能存在误差)。本周成都主城区供应共11个预售证,其中9个为住宅项目预售证。本周一手住宅供应量小幅波动,下滑趋势明显。由于夏季为传统淡季,在某种程度上开发商对市场保持观望的态度,所以后期并不排除房企在资金压力下供应集中放量的现象,很有可能增加住宅供应量,并且仍然以刚需为主。

This week the commodity residential house in supply 1659 sets,Supply area of 152000 sq. Meters,Supply a cycle of annulus comparing fell 30.1%,Supply area of annulus comparing fell 24.6%。(note:This paper supplies the reference made this week to open to booking card program,So with the actual supply project possible error)。This week in chengdu were 11 opens to booking a card supply,9 of for house project opens to booking a card。This week a housing supply small-scope fluctuation,To decline significantly。With the summer for traditional slack,In a way to keep the market developers wait-and-see attitude,So does not rule out a room in the late enterprises under pressure on money supply rare phenomenon,Very may increase housing supply,And still to just need to give priority to。

  

一手住宅成交反弹 淡季或继续波动 A housing rebound or continue to clinch a deal the off-season fluctuations

  据房管局数据显示,本周主城区商品住宅共成交2282套,成交面积为21.48万平方米,成交套数环比上涨97.23%,成交面积环比上涨93.51%.

According to data show room canal,This week the commodity residential house in total of 2282 to clinch a deal,Clinch a deal the area of 214800 sq. Meters,Clinch a deal a cycle of annulus comparing rose 97.23%,Clinch a deal the area of annulus comparing rose 93.51%.

  进入淡季之后商品房成交量本应趋于平稳,但本周出现反弹,原因或如下。第一,上周央行再次降息,这个利好信息或继续促进了成交。第二,各种利好的信息继续发酵,使得房价在媒体舆论中有抬头的趋势,对购房者“卖涨不卖跌”的心理起到了逼单下单的作用,于是购房者们纷纷出手成交。预计后期总体成交趋势将趋于平稳,但偶尔出现波动也属正常现象。

After this, the volume of commodity house into the off-season should tend to be stable,But this week rebounded,Reasons or the following。The first,Last week the central bank cut interest rates again,The good news or continue to promote the clinch a deal。The second,All kinds of good information continue to ferment,House prices in the media that public opinion has looked up in the trend,To the person that buy a house“Sell up not to sell down”Psychological played a force single order of role,So the buyers have shot a deal。The overall trend is expected late clinch a deal will be smooth,But the occasional fluctuation is normal phenomenon。

  

二手住宅成交下滑 评估计税政策深度影响市场 Second-hand housing downturn assessment tax policy to clinch a deal the depth affect the market

  据房管局数据显示,本周主城区二手住宅共成交1217套,成交面积为10.12万平方米,成交套数环比下降56.47%,成交面积环比下降59.18%;本周二手住宅成交量开始明显下滑。由于二手房评估指导税已经开始实施,二手房的购房成本因此上升,购房者的购买意愿受到一定影响,成交量也随之下降。加之现在已经进入楼市淡季,预计二手房成交量将趋于平稳,维持现在的水平保持在低位运行。

According to data show room canal,In this week of second-hand housing clinch a deal of 1217,Clinch a deal the area of 101200 sq. Meters,Clinch a deal fell by 56.47% month-on-month cycle,Clinch a deal the area of annulus comparing fell 59.18%;This week, the volume of second-hand house began to decline significantly。Because secondhand the room assessment guide tax has started,The purchase cost so rising housing,The person that buy a house willingness to buy is affected certainly,Volume also fall subsequently。And now has to get on the property ladder off-season,Housing is expected to moderate turnover will,To maintain the current level in the low post keep running。

  

预测:市场总体稳定 偶尔可见波动 forecast:The total market stability with occasional fluctuations

  本周的土地市场供应成交量均出现了下滑,鉴于之前土地市场连续数周的火热态势,现在的暂时回落属于正常现象。但从高价地块因故终止拍卖的情况来看,开发商拿地已经愈发显得理性。目前市场上还有多宗已经公告的优质地块,预计后期土地市场将延续之前的回暖势头,并在一段时间之类保持高位运行,但土地的溢价现象较之前或有所降低。

This week's land market supply volume all have declined,In view of land market before three weeks of hot trend,Now the temporary back attribute normal phenomenon。But from the high price for stopping the auction block situation,Developers take to have increasingly be reasonable。Now on the market and the announcement of the plot has high quality,The late is expected to land market will continue the momentum before reverting to,And in a period of time and to remain high,But the land before a premium phenomenon or reduced。

  一手住宅市场本周成交量大于供应量。本周供应量较上周有所下滑,由于已经进入了淡季,开发商在推盘节凑上逐渐放缓了脚步,持观望态度。预计后期供应量将保持平稳,即使出现了波动,也或多为刚需产品推盘入市所致。同样是淡季,本周成交量却有所反弹,央行再次降息的信息促动了购房者们下单的决心。由于将准降息的利好信息还继续在市场中发挥着作用,即便是淡季,预计商品房的成交量将维持在现在的水平,不会出现明显的波动。

This week in the housing market volume greater than supply。Supply is down from this week last week,Because have entered the off-season,Developers in push plate section gather together to is slowing pace,A wait-and-see attitude。Supply is expected late will keep stable,Even the appearance of the volatility,Also for just need or more products on offer by entering the market。The same is off-season,But this week, the volume of bounce,The central bank cut interest rates again information the order of the buyers props to the determination。Because of the good news will cut interest rates must also continue to play a role in the market,Even off-season,The volume of sales is expected to commodity house, will remain in the current level,Won't appear obvious fluctuations。

  

-附1- -with 1-

  

土地公告、成交信息 Land announcement、Clinch a deal the information

四川中原:成都市场周刊(2012.7.2-7.8)



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