2012年上半年，南京楼市成交量达到31132套，比去年同期上涨了6成多。与此同时，历经调控的市场开始有楼盘微幅提高房价。中央连续强调调控不放松，地王却重出江湖。是陷阱还是转机？是触底的反弹还是短暂的回暖？楼市总是迷雾重生。【直播：陷阱？转机？2012南京楼市务实高端论坛】

In the first half of 2012，Nanjing property market turnover reached 31132 sets，Rose more than the same period last year more than six into。At the same time，After the market began to have control of micro and improve the building house prices。The central continuous emphasis on regulation not to relax，But star Sylvester stallone。Is the trap or transfer？Is a touch on the rebound or is it a thaw？Housing is always fog rebirth。【live：trap？connecting？2012 nanjing property market pragmatic high-end BBS】

　　在市场踏在十字路口的特殊时期，365地产家居网联合网尚研究机构特别策划“陷阱？转机？2012年南京楼市务实高端论坛”，从南京楼市最权威、真实数据出发，点评上半年楼市风云，在数据研究的基础之上，探讨下半年的走势。

In the market on the crossroads of the special period，365 real estate home JuWang joint nets is still research institutions special planning“trap？connecting？2012 years nanjing property market pragmatic high-end BBS”，The most authoritative from nanjing property market、Real data of，In the first half and comments on property market，On the basis of research data，Discusses the trend of the second half。

　　大家最为关心的话题，下半年南京楼市的房价走势是看涨还是看跌？365地产家居网做了一份网络调查，93份有效问卷中，看涨58人，看跌7人，不好说18人。

You the most about the topic of，The second half of the property market prices of nanjing is a bullish or bearish trend？365 real estate JuWang home a network survey，93 valid questionnaires，Bullish 58 people，Put seven people，Bad to say 18 people。

　　对次此，李智认为，在地价不跌的情况下，房价跌价的可能性是很难的。最有可能的格局就是“慢慢调”。“我认为现在的格局下，我们国家现在这样的体制下，领导人让房价下跌的毅力比上涨的毅力更大。因为在地价不跌的情况下房价是不会跌的，在这样的格局下房价跌的话是很难的。我们国家现在是左右摇摆，没有哪个领导人有毅力把房价调到位，调到位的话需要非常大的抗压能力，面对经济的下滑。现在的市场其实非常清楚，大家应该看得很清楚，和股价很类似，股价和房价是一样的道理。我们看到现在可以分成三大派，第一个叫小打滚，就是小刚需，小派头，小刚需有什么特点呢，就是手里只有这么多钱，只能买这个房子，开发商一涨价我买不起就不买了，这是小刚需的特点。”

For the time，Li zhi think，Don't fall in price，House prices the possibility of depreciation is difficult。The most likely is the pattern“Slowly the”。“I think the present pattern，Our country now such a system，Leaders let the falling house prices rose more than the perseverance perseverance。Because in the land price not fall under the situation of house prices is falling，In such a pattern house prices fell words is hard。Our country now is wavering，No leaders have will put in place the house prices，You need to put in place the very big compression capability，Facing the slowdown in the economy。Now the market actually very clear，You should see it clearly，And the share price is very similar，Stock and property prices is the same way。We see now can be divided into three big pie，The first call the small roll around，Xiao gang is to，Small purports to，What characteristics should be xiao gang，In his hand is only so much money，Can only buy the house，Developers for a price I can't afford not to buy，This is xiao gang the characteristics of need。”

　　“楼市的主力军，大块头是改善型，改善型要付60%的首付，有部分人他现在支付能力不行，还有一部分人叫刚改的人群，比如说小孩上学了等等，这些都起来的话房价会被拉起来的。所以我们现在看到房市的价格底部应该出现了，但是它很难拉起来，很难拉起来的原因是改善型的人群他没有能力入市等等这样的情况，我们看到房市是由钱和人堆起来，如果没有足够的钱，前几年他是用银行的钱堆起来，如果没有钱堆起来，人有买房的意愿，但是没有钱，他进入市场很难维持。但是从今年开始市场回暖了，但是他们上涨的力度有多大，其实不是很大的。还有一个国家也在监控，如果价格反弹等等再出政策的可能性也是有的，也不是说没有这样的做法。我认为目前楼市房价是小幅看涨，底部出现了。”

“Property market the main force of，Big type is to improve，Improve to pay 60% of the corner，Some people now he's ability to pay no，One of the people that just change the crowd，For example the child go to school and so on，These words are up prices will be pulled up。So we now see the bottom of the housing price should appeared，But it is hard to pull up，It is difficult to pull up is the cause of the type of people he did not improve ability and so on that market，We see the housing market is by money and sort it up，If there is not enough money，A few years ago he was with the money of the bank piles，If have no money to pile up，The will of the people have to buy a house，But no money，It is difficult for him to enter the market。But from the beginning of this year the market warms up，But how much of the rise in their efforts，In fact is not very great。And a country are also monitoring，If prices rebound and so on to the possibility of a policy is also there，It's not that no such practices。I think the present market price is a modest bullish，Bottom appeared。”

　　龚子桂表示赞同，他认为现在的房地产库存量比较大，针对库存量我们按照现在的利息来算，现在买房子不涨价已经是赚钱了。还有市场马上要出让四十亿土地，在这样的背景下供应在增加，我认为未来一段时间内供需应该是相对匹配的，在供需相对平等的情况下，价格上会有一定的上涨。（365地产家居网 李琳滢）

GongZiGui agreed，He thought that the present estate inventories is larger，In the interest of our inventory according to now to calculate，Now to buy a house prices have not is making money。And immediately the market to four billion land，In this context of the increase in supply，I think the future within a period of time should be relatively matching of supply and demand，In the supply and demand of relatively equal，The price will have certain to rise。（365 real estate home JuWang LiLinYing）