7月第一周成交超3100套，延续6月高成交水平 The first week of July of 3100 super clinch a deal，Last June high level clinch a deal

　　概述：7月第一周(07.02-07.08)，北京市二手住宅成交量为3146套，环比下降了31%，，同比6月第一周下降了3%。成交价格为23192元/平方米。

this：The first week of July(07.02-07.08)，Beijing second-hand housing volume for 3146 sets，New homes dropped by 31%，，The first week of June, compared to the 3% decline。Clinch a deal the price is 23192 yuan/square metre。

一、成交量：6月第四周成交量达3146套，环比降31% a、volume：6 month around the first volume of 3146 set，31% month-on-month drop

　　成交量分析：7月第一周，二手房住宅成交量为3146套，同比和环比均呈现下降的趋势，但月初周成交量仍然维持在3200套左右成交，可见当前市场成交仍然较高，预计7月份成交将会维持6月份的高位水平，依然可能维持在1万套以上。

Volume analysis：The first week of July，Volume for 3146 sets of residential housing，Up and all the downward trend annulus，But still remain in the early weeks volume of 3200 or so a deal，The current market higher still visible clinch a deal，In July, is expected to clinch a deal will remain high in June，Still can stay in more than 10000 sets。

二、成交均价：成交均价23192元/平方米 two、The price：The price is 23192 yuan/square metre

　　成交均价分析：7月第一周，北京市二手房成交价格为23192元/平米，环比基本持平，同比6月第一周价格涨4.7%。连续多月成交量维持高位的情况下，价格呈现上涨趋势，预计7月份整体价格较6月份将略有上涨。

The price analysis：The first week of July，Beijing housing for $23192 to clinch a deal the price/square meters，Flat month-on-month，The first week of June compared prices rose 4.7%。For more than a month to maintain high volume，The price rise on the trend，The overall price is expected in July in June will be a slight rise。

三、市场分析：6月高水平成交得以延续，价格缓慢上涨 three、Market analysis：June high level to clinch a deal to continue，Prices rising slowly

　　据“链家地产”市场研究部统计，至7月8日，北京市二手房网签量为3253套，其中工作日成交579套，与6月份工作日成交基本相当，延续了6月份的成交趋势。

According to“Chain home real estate”Market research statistics，On July 8，Beijing secondhand the room nets sign quantity is 3253 sets，One working day to clinch a deal of 579，And in June the basic quite clinch a deal working days，Continue the trend in June to clinch a deal。

　　7月初央行再次降息，连续两次的降息后，消费者对于未来房价走势的信心继续增强，预计7月份全月成交量与6月份相当，维持在1.1-1.2万套左右，而从成交均价来看，业主挂牌价上调，且议价的难度加大，未来价格将呈现缓慢上涨。

Central Banks cut interest rates again in early July，After two consecutive rate cut，Consumer prices for the future trend of the confidence to continue to strengthen，In July, the volume of the month is expected in June and quite，Maintain at 1.1-12000 pieces，And from the price and see，Owner listing price rises，And the difficulty of the bargaining increase，The future will present the price rise slowly。

四、市场热点：温家宝再次表态“决不能房价反弹”，调控再次面临考验 four、Market hot spots：Wen jiabao said again“Never house prices rebound”，Control the test again

　　7日上午，温家宝就楼市调控再次表态，“要毫不动摇地推进房地产市场各项工作，促进房价合理回归，决不能让房价反弹”。这已经是温家宝总理多次强调严格调控，抑制房价上涨。

7 morning，Wen jiabao is property market regulation said again，“Will unswervingly promote real estate market each work，Promote the rational regression house prices，Never let the house prices rebound”。This is the premier wen jiabao has repeatedly stressed the strict regulation，Inhibit prices rise。

　　3月份以来房地产市场呈现成交量全面上涨趋势连续多月高成交量促使市场对未来房价上涨预期增强，消费者购房积极性提升；而需求增加又促使消费者对于市场价格走势信心增强，形成一个恶性循环。尤其是对于二手房市场来说，业主可以根据自身的预期上调挂牌价，这对于二手房市场发达的一线城市来说，价格上涨的压力增加。

Since march, the volume of real estate market presents comprehensive rise trend more than a month to continuous high volume of future market prices expected increase，Consumer buys a house enthusiasm ascension；And increase demand and prompt consumers to market price trend confidence，Form a vicious circle。Especially for secondhand the room for the market，The owner can based on their expectations for the price increase，The housing market for the city as a developed line，The pressure of the rising price increase。

　　“链家地产”市场研究部陈雪表示，目前来看，需求短期内并不会有明显转变，长时间的高成交对于二三线城市的价格影响并不十分显著，一方面二三线城市是以新房为主体，新房以价换量的趋势并没有改变。另一方面，二三线城市相对比较简单的市场结构，对于房价的助推作用较弱。

“Chain home real estate”Market research ChenXue said，So far，In the short term demand will not have an obvious change，Long time high clinch a deal for 2 three city price influence is not very significant，On the one hand two three line city is bridal chamber as the main body，Bridal chamber to price the amount of change trend has not changed。On the other hand，The city is relatively simple three lines of market structure，For the prices of thrusting action are relatively weak。

　　陈雪表示，房价存在上涨预期并且在当前不断增强的城市，归根结底是北京以及上海。如果这两个城市的价格出现反复，可能将会成为全国市场的未来走势。因此当前控制房价的重点依旧是北京以及上海这样的市场环境复杂、成交体量大、且开始出现价格回升迹象的城市。若7、8月份连续高成交的话，成交带动价格上涨的作用将会更加明显，相关城市重新提出政策抑制成交可能再次被列入考虑的范围之内。

ChenXue said，House prices rising expectations in the current existence and the growing power of the city，In the final analysis, it is Beijing and Shanghai。If the price of the two cities appeared again and again，Will likely become a national market future trends。So the current control key of the price of the house is still Beijing and Shanghai such complicated market environment、Clinch a deal the quantity big、And began to appear the price picks up signs city。If 7、August continuous high clinch a deal words，Clinch a deal the rising price of driving role will be more obvious，Related to propose the policy inhibit city clinch a deal might again taken into account range。