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业内称“稳增长”不是“稳房价” 楼市若异动调控必升级--亲稳网络舆情监测室
2012-07-29

  新华社记者罗宇凡、华晔迪 19日,国土资源部在京召开视频会议,就当前房地产市场形势和国土资源部、住房城乡建设部联合下发的《关于进一步严格房地产用地管理巩固房地产市场调控成果的紧急通知》进行了通报,并对下一步房地产市场调控工作进行了部署。中央坚定调控信心、完善调控方式的指向明显。业内人士普遍认为,如果楼市出现异动、房价大幅反弹,房地产调控势必将进一步从严。

The xinhua news agency LuoYuFan、HuaYeDi 19,,The ministry of land and resources held in Beijing video conference,The current real estate market situation and land and resources、Jointly issued by the ministry of construction of urban and rural housing《On further strictly real estate management real estate market regulation of land consolidation of emergency notice results》Reported the,And the real estate market regulation next makes a deployment。The central firm control confidence、The obvious way to perfect the regulation。Industry insiders generally thought,If the property market appear reshuffled、House prices rebound sharply,Real estate regulation will be further strictly。

  

房价若大幅反弹 调控或再升级 If house prices rebound sharply regulation or to upgrade

  通知指出,近期房地产和土地市场出现的一些波动,虽未改变市场整体格局,但市场运行的复杂性和不稳定性在增加,房地产市场调控仍然处在关键时期,任务还很艰巨。通知内容几乎就是围绕土地控制展开,政府下半年将对地方供地节奏及价格进行严格把控,加大处理屯地的力度,同时要求各地严格执行房地产市场调控政策,擅自调整放松或被问责。

Notice points out that,The recent real estate and land market of some of the volatility there,Though not change market integral pattern,But the market operation complexity and stability is on the increase,The real estate market regulation is still in a critical period,The task is still arduous。Notice the content is almost land control around on,In the second half of the government to place for rhythm and price to strictly control,Increase the strength to handle the chariot,Also requires all strictly carry out the real estate market adjustment and control policies,Adjust the relaxation or without authorization by accountability。

  链家地产副总裁林倩认为,从通知的政策指向不难看出,接下来各地方政府极可能陆续出台巩固调控效果的相关举措。

The vice President LinQian chain home real estate that,The policy of the notice from point to see not hard,The local government is likely to consolidate control effect comes on stage in succession of relevant measures。

  林倩认为,此前地方政策多有调整,虽然被叫停,但也产生了一定的负面影响。此次通知直接明确了调控政策已经没有放松的空间,甚至还有从紧的可能,为整个下半年的政策定下了从紧的基调。

LinQian think,After many local policy adjustment,Although have been stopped,But also brought some negative effect。The notice made clear the control policy has directly no relaxation of space,And even the possibility of tight,In the second half of the policy for the entire set the tone of the tight。

  “今年相关部委已多次强调调控政策不动摇,可见中央对于房地产调控态度坚决。虽然刺激刚性需求是合理的,但过度放松很容易使得在刚性需求层面产生透支消费。限购及信贷差异化依然是政策底线。未来地方政府需加紧解决"促刚需"与"稳预期"之间的矛盾,确保市场稳定发展。”林倩说。

“This year related ministries has many times that control policy not be moved,Visible for real estate firm control of the central attitude。Although stimulate rigid demand is reasonable,But excessive relaxation is easy to make in the rigid demand level produce overdraw consumption。限购 and credit differentiation is still policy the bottom line。Local governments should be solved quickly in the future"Just need to promote"and"Firm expected"The contradiction between the,Ensure that the market stability and development。”LinQian said。

  

“稳增长”不是“稳房价” “Steady growth”not“On house prices”

  进入2012年,随着“稳增长”目标的提出,各地对房地产投资拉动和财税收入的依赖性进一步增强,从而出现地方政策微调不断,且力度进一步加大的趋势。

In the 2012 years,as“Steady growth”The proposing of the goal of,Of all the real estate investment pull and financial income the dependence of the further strengthened,Thus presents place constantly fine-tuning,And further increase the strength of the trend。

  除了原有的购房入户、提高公积金贷款额度、提高普通住宅标准等政策外,扬州对个人购买成品住房提供房款4‰-6‰的政府奖励、福建户籍新政放宽城镇落户条件、重庆大幅提高公积金贷款额度等,均明显超过了之前政策微调的幅度。购房者对政策松动的担忧不断升级。

In addition to its purchase of the door、Improve the accumulation fund loan amount、Improve the average house standard etc policy outside,Yangzhou to individuals purchase products provide 4 per thousand housing payments 6 ‰ of the governmental reward、Fujian census register New Deal in easing town conditions、Chongqing increase accumulation fund loans, etc,Before the were significantly more than the range of the fine-tuning。The person that buy a house to loose policy concerns escalated。

  “稳增长”离不开房地产行业的健康发展,但这并不意味着“稳增长”目标的实现要以动摇房地产调控为代价。北京中原地产市场研究部研究总监张大伟表示,在今年提出“把稳增长放在更加重要的位置”的同时,中央也强调了“稳定和严格实施房地产市场调控政策”的基本精神。房地产调控政策仍然需要坚定不移地执行和贯彻,这既是中国房地产业健康稳定发展的内在需要,更是经济结构调整、转变经济发展方式的必然要求。

“Steady growth”Without the healthy development of the real estate industry,But this does not mean that“Steady growth”The realization of the target to be moved to real estate regulation for the price。Beijing central plains real estate market research director of research ZhangDaWei said,Put forward in this year“BaWen growth in a more important position”At the same time,The central also emphasized“Stability and strictly carry out the real estate market adjustment and control policies”The basic spirit of the。Real estate control policies still need unswervingly implement and implement,This is both healthy and stable development of real estate of China's internal needs,But the economic structure adjustment、Transformation of the mode of economic development the request inevitably。

  在房地产市场周期性回暖的大背景下,中央再次明确强调房地产调控的力度不能动摇,充分体现出“稳增长”并不等于“稳房价”,宏观经济的回稳并非是要靠刺激房地产市场来拉动。这对于稳定市场预期有着至关重要的作用。

In the real estate market warms up in the periodic background,The central again emphasized the strength of real estate regulation clearly cannot be moved,Fully reflected“Steady growth”Is not equal to the“On house prices”,Macroeconomic rose is not want to rely on stimulating the real estate market to pull。This for stable market expectations have a vital role。

  

调控长效机制亟须完善 Long-term effective mechanism of regulation is perfect

  中国房地产学会副会长陈国强对记者表示,中国的房地产问题从来都不是一个单纯的行业问题,在房地产高速而又畸形发展背后,暴露出的是长期以来形成的不合理的经济结构和经济发展方式。推进中国房地产业的健康发展,需要建立起更具市场化的长效调控机制。

China real estate society vice-chairman Chen guoqiang told reporters,China's real estate problem has never been a simple industry problem,In high speed and real estate development and deformity behind,Exposed is formed for a long time of the irrational economic structure and economic development mode。Promote the healthy development of real estate industry in China,Need to build more market of long-term, control mechanism。

  国务院总理温家宝7月初在江苏常州调研时明确提出,要把抑制房地产投机投资性需求作为一项长期政策”;要抓紧研究推进房地产税收制度改革,加快建立健全房地产市场调控的长效机制和政策体系。

The state council premier wen jiabao in early July in jiangsu changzhou when research put forward,The inhibition of the investment real estate speculation needs as a long-term policy”;To pay close attention to the study of real estate tax system reform,Speed up and improve the regulation of the real estate market mechanism and policy system。

  事实上,从2011年初本轮调控开启之时,建立健全房地产市场调控的长效机制和政策体系就已经提上了日程,在“限购”“限贷”等调控手段之外,包括房产税、大中城市住房信息联网等政策也开始了加紧试点和推进。

In fact,In early 2011, this regulation of open,To establish and perfect the regulation of the real estate market mechanism and policy system has been put on the agenda,in“限购”“Limit credit”Adjustment and control means such as outside,Include real estate taxes、Large and medium cities housing information networking and other policies have also started to pilot and propulsion。

  不可否认,以“限购”为代表的调控政策在遏制房价过快上涨的过程中起到了不可替代的关键性作用,但从长远看,带有明显行政色彩的调控手段迟早要被市场化的手段所取代。随着市场周期性回暖的到来,前期“限购”取得的政策效果正在逐步被消化,要巩固调控成果,在遏制投资、投机性需求的同时推动房地产市场的健康发展,需要更多常态化的政策手段和更多市场化的调控措施。

undeniable,to“限购”As a representative of the control policy makers in the process of overheating in housing prices have played an indispensable key role,But in the long run,A clear of administrative color control measures should be market-oriented means sooner or later replaced。With the arrival of the periodical market warms up,early“限购”The policy effect is obtained by the digestive gradually,To consolidate control results,Back investment in、The speculative demand and promote the healthy development of the real estate market,Need more normal policy means of market regulation measures and more。



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