本报记者 李会报道

Our reporter li will report

　　7月以来全国楼市成交量再现全面上涨，而价格也呈现上浮趋势。在目前经济形势尚不乐观的情形下，会有楼市调控的新政策出炉吗？如果有新政出炉，还有哪些“招数”可用呢？

July the country since the property market turnover represent overall rise，But the price also presents the upward trend。In the present economic situation is not optimistic case，There will be new policy from the property market regulation？If there is a New Deal gives heat，And what“way”Available?？

　　北京中原市场研究部统计数据显示，7月上半月，全国主要的54个城市合计成交高达12.98万套，比上月同期上涨13.4%，再次创造了近两年调控以来的成交量新高。

Beijing central plains market research statistics show，July first half，The national major 54 cities as high as 129800 sets aggregate clinch a deal，Than the same period last month rose 13.4%，Once again created nearly two years since the high volume control。

　　对于7月楼市的显著变化，北京中原地产市场研究中心总监张大伟向《中国产经新闻》记者表示，最主要的原因还是信贷政策的变化。

In July the housing market significant change，Beijing centaline property market research center director to ZhangDaWei《Chinese newspaper sankei shimbun》reporters，The main reason or credit policy changes。

　　7月6日起，中国人民银行下调金融机构人民币存贷款基准利率。金融机构一年期贷款基准利率下调0.31个百分点，其他各档次存贷款基准利率及个人住房公积金存贷款利率相应调整。这已经是今年以来的第二次降息，且距离上一次降息还不到一个月。

On 6 July, the，The people's bank of China cut financial organ renminbi benchmark interest rates。Financial institutions the benchmark one-year lending rate by 0.31%，Other each class the benchmark interest rates and individual housing accumulation fund loan rate adjusted accordingly。This is the second time this year to cut interest rates，The last time and distance rate cut less than a month。

　　以贷款总额100万元、20年期的等额本息法计算，两次降息累计月供减少298元，总支出减少71520元；二套房月供累计减少364元，总支出减少87360元。

With loans of 1 million yuan RMB、20 years period of principal and interest waiting for the forehead method，Two cuts on a decrease of 298 yuan for the total，Total spending to reduce 71520 yuan；Two suites the month for the accumulative total reduced 364 yuan，Total spending to reduce 87360 yuan。

　　张大伟认为，两次降息后，购房者不仅实际支付能力增加，对房价的预期也出现变化，入市积极性提高。

ZhangDaWei think，After two cuts，The person that buy a house is not only the actual capacity to pay increase，House prices also appear to expect changes，Entering the market enthusiasm improve。

　　上海易居房地产研究院院长杨红旭则表示，楼市一旦起来，就会持续上冲多月，房价反弹的压力正在加大，靠“喊”效用不大，推出新政势所难免。

Shanghai enjoysmart real estate research institute President YangGongXu said it，Property market once up，Will continue to surge more than a month，House prices rebound is increasing pressure，by“shout”Little gain，The hard to avoid the potential launch New Deal。

　　不过，上半年的经济数据刚刚出台，宏观形势不容乐观，在这样的情形下，调控新政出台的可能性有多大呢？

but，For the first half of the economic data has just issued，Macro situation is not optimistic，In this scenario，The possibility of new regulation on how much？

　　有媒体报道称，国务院正组织多路调研机构摸底楼市现状，希望搞清楚两大问题：一是如此严格的限购政策下，房价为何还会回升？二是如果房价继续上涨，政策将怎样应对。

Media reports said，The state council is more research institutions and organizations baseline property market situation，Hope to make clear two big problems：One is so strict 限购 under the policy，Why would pick up house prices？2 it is if house prices continue to rise，How will the policy to deal with。

　　“如果房地产价格在短时间之内出现迅猛上涨，那么国家出台新政的几率还是比较大的。”中投顾问房地产行业研究员韩长吉向《中国产经新闻》记者表示，在目前复杂多变的经济形势下，中央政府必须协调稳增长与稳调控之间的平衡，政策选择更加进入两难境地，调控新政的推出与否还是要根据房地产具体发展情况来定，但是，在当前GDP不断下降的趋势下，国家可能会逐渐把政策重心转移到稳增长上来。

“If real estate prices in the short time that the rapid rise in there，So the country has issued New Deal chance or larger。”The real estate industry has HanChangJi researchers to consultant《Chinese newspaper sankei shimbun》reporters，In the complex and changeable economic situation，The central government must coordinate steady growth and stability of the balance between regulation，Policy choice more into the dilemma，The launch of the new regulation is to be based on the real estate or whether or not the specific situations，but，In the current GDP falling under the trend，Countries may gradually transferred to steady growth focus policy came up。

　　杨红旭也向《中国产经新闻》记者表示，经济不好，推新政会有顾忌。“但总归需要出一个"通知"，至于内容上有多少新措施，另当别论。”

YangGongXu also to《Chinese newspaper sankei shimbun》reporters，Economic bad，Push New Deal will have scruples。“But at the need to give a"notice"，As for how many new measures on the content，Another matter。”

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