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社科院专家:政府应继续坚持房地产宏观调控政策--亲稳舆论引导监测室
2012-08-01
国际在线报道(记者 李晓萍):自2010年进行的宏观调控以来,中国的房地产市场在低迷之后今年上半年有趋于回暖的态势,中国社科院专家在23日发布一份住房报告时认为,尽管面临经济增长压力,政府仍应继续坚持包括限购在内的调控政策,以确保房地产市场回归理性。
International reported online(Reporter LiXiaoPing):Since the 2010 years since the macroeconomic regulation and control,China's real estate market in the first half of the year after the downturn has a tendency to thaw the situation,Experts in 23 days by the Chinese academy of social sciences to release a report that when housing,Although the face of economic growth pressure,The government should continue to insist on 限购, including control policy,To ensure that the real estate market back to reason。
当天,中国社会科学院财经战略研究院发布了一份2012年中期《中国住房发展报告》,对今年上半年房地产市场总体形势、金融、土地等进行分析,也预测下半年的调控将增加复杂性和难度。撰写报告的中国社科院城市与竞争力研究中心主任倪鹏飞说:“今年上半年市场走势偏离调控目标,主要是宏观政策微调导致的预期调整和市场恐慌引起的,不是宏观政策微调实际作用导致的结果,但这一回涨的变化给下半年的调控增加了复杂性和难度。”
The day,The Chinese academy of social sciences financial strategy research institute released a the middle of 2012《China's housing development report》,For the first half of this year the real estate market overall situation、financial、The analysis of land,Also predicted in the second half of the regulation will increase complexity and difficulty。To write a report by the Chinese academy of social sciences of the city and competitiveness research center director NiPengFei said:“In the first half of this year the market trends, deviation control target,Main is fine-tuning the expected to macro adjustment and markets panicked,Not macro fine-tuning the result of actual effect,But the HuiZhang changes in the second half of the year to increase the complexity and difficulty of regulation。”
自今年年初以来,中国房地产市场的成交量有所上升,尤其是5、6月份,一些城市的房地产成交量同比、环比涨幅显著,土地交易也出现了新的“地王”,引起多方关注。
Since since earlier this year,China's real estate market rise in the volume of sales,Especially 5、June,Some of the city's real estate volume up、Annulus comparing or significant,There is new land deal“royal”,Cause much attention。
从经济整体形势来看,中国今年上半年经济增长速度乏力,GDP增速低于8%,出口、投资、消费都面临增长压力。中央政府已经表示要对宏观政策进行预调微调,中国人民银行也已经两次降低银行存贷款利率,并调低商业银行存款准备金率以释放流动性。
From the overall economic affairs,China's economic growth rate in the first half of this year fatigue,GDP growth of less than 8%,export、investment、Consumption growth are facing pressure。The central government has said to the macro policy of presetters fine-tuning,The people's bank of China has two reduce bank interest rate,Down and commercial bank deposit reserve rate to release liquidity。
虽然有担忧认为银行资金会流入房地产投资和投机领域,但倪鹏飞认为,银行资金面宽松并不意味着房地产资金紧张局面会得到明显缓解,银行仍对房地产行业贷款实施差别化政策。6月末,金融机构人民币房地产贷款增速比上季度末高出0.2个百分点。
Although there are concerns that the bank money into real estate investment and speculative field,But NiPengFei think,Bank financing area loose does not mean that real estate funds the situation will get significant relief,The bank is still on the real estate industry implementation of policy loan menas。6 month,Financial institutions RMB real estate loan growth was 0.2% higher than the quarter。
中国中央政府多个部门最近也再次强调要坚持房地产调控政策不动摇。倪鹏飞认为,基于宏观环境和房地产市场短期基本判断来看,楼市整体供大于求,下半年只要政策得当,住房市场调整仍有望趋向价格缓慢下降的“软着陆”。
China's central government more department has recently also again to adhere to the real estate control policy not be moved。NiPengFei think,Based on the macro environment and the real estate market short-term basic judge and see,The overall housing market supply has exceeded demand,The second half as long as policy is properly,The housing market adjustment are still expected to slow down the price of the trend“Soft landing”。
倪鹏飞:“下半年在价格上,要扭转一度回涨的趋势,使之重新回到总体回落的方向上来。要强化和完善宏观调控政策,扭转房地产回涨的局面,防止报复性反弹,及时预防和化解金融风险,确保房地产市场回归理性和软着陆。”
NiPengFei:“In the second half price,To reverse the trend of the HuiZhang once,To return to the direction of overall back up。To strengthen and improve macroeconomic regulation and control policy,Real estate HuiZhang reverse the situation,To prevent reprisal rebound,Timely prevention and defuse financial risks,Ensure that the real estate market back to reason and a soft landing。”
这位专家还提出了要完善政府问责机制、实施差别化金融政策、完善税收政策、加强住房保障在内的多个建议。他认为,当前最重要的是继续实施调控政策:“当务之急是扭转预期,稳定市场,要继续从严执行调控不动摇,堵塞和纠正各种企图改变政策行为,直到达到我们的目标为止。”
The experts also puts forward to perfect the government accountability mechanism、Implement differentiation financial policy、Improve tax policy、Strengthen housing safeguard, a number of Suggestions。He thinks,At present, the most important is to continue to implement control policies:“The urgent task is to turn expected,Stable market,To continue to perform strict regulation not be moved,Congestion and correct all kinds of attempt to change policy actions,To achieve our goal so far。”
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