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受“不打折”刺激 百城房价环比又见涨--亲稳舆论引导监测室
2012-08-05
中国指数研究院1日发布报告显示,7月全国100个城市(新建)住宅平均价格为8717元/平方米,环比6月上涨0.33%,自上月止跌后再次环比上涨。其中,70个城市环比上涨,30个城市环比下跌。
China index academy 1 issued report shows,July in over 100 cities(new)Residential average price for 8717 yuan/square metre,November 6 month rose 0.33%,Since last month after reason again rise in November。Among them,70 a city rising annulus,30 cities annulus comparing decline。
据统计,与上月相比,7月环比下跌的城市个数减少25个,跌幅在1%以上(含1%)的有7个城市,较上月减少5个;涨幅在1%以上(含1%)的有22个,较上月增加11个。同比来看,全国100个城市住宅均价连续第4个月下跌,跌幅为1.77%,比上月缩小0.13个百分点。
According to the statistics,Compared with last month,And the number of the city fell y/y reduce 25,Fall by more than 1%(Containing 1%)Have seven cities,Fell month on month five;Rose by more than 1%(Containing 1%)With 22,Last month a increase 11。Up to see,The country's 100 city residential average fell for the fourth consecutive months,Down 1.77%,Than down to 0.13% last month。
7月份,北京、上海等十大城市住宅均价为15470元/平方米,环比上月上涨0.27%,与去年同期相比下跌2.32%,连续第7个月同比下跌,跌幅持续缩小。
July,Beijing、Shanghai ten cities housing average price for 15470 yuan/square metre,Annulus comparing rose 0.27% last month,Down 2.32% compared with the same period last year,7 consecutive months over a decline,Decline continued narrow。
开发商取消折扣上调房价是主因 Developers cancel discount prices rise is possible
报告分析指出,总体来看,7月100个城市的住宅平均价格自上月止跌后再次环比上涨,同比跌幅收窄,开发商取消折扣上调房价是主因。
The report pointed out,overall,July 100 city housing average prices since last month after reason again rise in November,Year-on-year fall narrow,Developers cancel discount prices rise is possible。
报告指出,近期央行连续降息、降准,新增贷款明显增加,对首次置业及改善性需求均起到一定程度的刺激作用。
The report points out that,Recently the central bank to slash interest rates、Drop must,New lending increased significantly,For first time home buyers and improve sex demand are play a certain degree of stimulation。
“除针对刚需市场的中低价位项目成交情况好转外,部分品牌房企开发的高端项目由于定价合理、品牌影响力大和改善性需求逐渐入市,近期成交量也明显回升。”报告说。
“In addition to the market in just need low price project better deal outside,Part of the development of enterprises brand room high-end projects because the price is reasonable、Brand influence sexual needs and improve gradually entering the market,Recent volumes are also obvious picks up。”The report said。
在成交量的带动下,一方面,开发企业的市场预期好转,主动调高价格或取消折扣,另一方面,高端市场的走热也拉高了市场整体价位,使得7月百城价格再次上涨。
Driving in volume,On the one hand,Development of the enterprise market expected better,Active raise prices or cancel the discount,On the other hand,High-end market go heat also pulled the overall market price,That July stores in the price rise again。
“在正常的市场情况下,只要成交量回升,价格是肯定会上涨的,并不会出现个别专家所说的量涨价跌或者量涨价停滞的现象。”北京中原地产张大伟说。据他观察,最近几个月的成交量复苏已经使得很多城市的房价有明显上涨,部分城市房价已经接近历史最高点。
“In normal market conditions,As long as the volume to bounce back,The price is sure to rise,Does not appear individual experts say prices fall or the amount of the price of stagnation phenomenon。”Beijing centaline property ZhangDaWei said。According to his observation,In recent months, the volume of the recovery has led many cities have significantly higher house prices,Parts of the city house prices have already been close to record。
他分析认为,虽然从目前市场的发展来看,房价在年内再跌的可能性接近于零。但是,从最近各地及国家部委的13次辟谣可知,房地产调控不会松动,地方微调一旦过度,政府肯定会有预调应对,所以目前来看市场过度反弹的可能性很小。
He analyzed that,Although from the point of the development of the market at present,House prices in the years the possibility of any lower close to zero。but,From all over the state ministries and recent 13 times that rumor,Real estate not loose regulation,Local fine-tuning once excessive,The government will have to deal with under attack,So it seems excessive bounce the possibility of a small market。
十大城市新房二手房价环比均上涨 Ten cities second-hand house prices are rising new projects
据统计,7月北京、上海等十大城市住宅均价为15470元/平方米,环比上月上涨0.27%。具体来看,重庆(主城区)涨幅居前,环比上涨1.57%,成都、广州、天津、南京、杭州涨幅在0.2%-0.8%之间,深圳、武汉、北京、上海涨幅在0.1%以内。
According to the statistics,July Beijing、Shanghai ten cities housing average price for 15470 yuan/square metre,Annulus comparing rose 0.27% last month。Specific to see,chongqing(city)Or the first,Annulus comparing rose 1.57%,chengdu、guangzhou、tianjin、nanjing、Hangzhou or in between 0.2% and 0.8%,shenzhen、wuhan、Beijing、Shanghai or within 0.1%。
同比来看,十大城市平均价格下跌2.32%,是连续第7个月同比下跌。其中,9个城市同比下跌,下跌城市个数与上月持平。其中,天津跌幅接近6%;成都、重庆(主城区)、上海、杭州、南京、武汉跌幅介于1%-5%之间;广州、深圳跌幅在1%以内;北京同比上涨0.18%,是十大城市中唯一同比上涨的城市。
Up to see,Ten cities average prices fell 2.32%,For months over 7 is falling。Among them,Year-on-year drop in nine cities,Down the number of city the previous month's。Among them,Tianjin fallen nearly 6%;chengdu、chongqing(city)、Shanghai、hangzhou、nanjing、Wuhan fall between between 1% and 5%;guangzhou、Shenzhen fall within 1%;Beijing rose 0.18% year-on-year,Is the only ten cities rise compared to the city。
另据统计,除天津外,7月份其他9大城市二手住宅价格环比均上涨。具体来看,杭州涨幅居前,环比上涨2.90%,南京、北京、重庆、广州、上海5个城市涨幅在1%-2%之间,成都、深圳、武汉涨幅在0.5%-1%之间,天津环比下跌0.74%。
Another according to the statistics,In addition to the tianjin,Other big city in July 9 house prices are rising secondhand annulus。Specific to see,Hangzhou or the first,Annulus comparing rose 2.90%,nanjing、Beijing、chongqing、guangzhou、Shanghai five cities in rise between 1% and 2%,chengdu、shenzhen、Wuhan or in between 0.5% and 1%,Tianjin month-on-month fall by 0.74%。
同比来看,十大城市主城区二手住宅平均价格下跌2.69%,跌幅比上月缩小1.12个百分点,各城市与去年同期相比均下跌。具体来看,杭州同比跌幅最大,为10.98%,天津、成都、深圳、上海和重庆5个城市跌幅在5%-8%之间,南京、武汉、广州和北京的跌幅较小,均不超过4%,北京跌幅最小,为1.00%。
Up to see,Ten cities in second-hand house prices fell by 2.69% on average,Drop down to 1.12% than last month,Each city were down compared with the same period last year。Specific to see,Hangzhou year-on-year fall is the largest,10.98%,tianjin、chengdu、shenzhen、Shanghai and chongqing five cities in fall between 5% and 8%,nanjing、wuhan、Guangzhou and Beijing small drop,Are not more than 4%,Beijing least fall,1.00%。
7月主要城市 The main city on July
成交量再创新高 Volume hit a record high
记者1日从北京中原地产了解到,7月全国主要的54个城市签约量再创新高,接近28万套,比创造最近两年新高的6月(成交量26.1万套)再涨7%。就北京而言,7月北京楼市连续2月热销项目,8成项目均价上行,个别项目均价上涨超过5%。
Reporter 1 centaline property from Beijing to know,July the major of the 54 cities signing hit a new high quantity,Close to 280000 sets,To create the most high of nearly two years than 6 months(Volume of 261000 sets)And rose 7%。In Beijing,July 2 consecutive month Beijing property market sell like hot cakes project,8 into project average price goes up,Individual project average up more than 5%。
据北京中原地产统计,前7月,北京新建住宅签约累计60339套,同比2011年的52839套,上涨了14.2%。
According to Beijing central plains real estate statistics,Before July,Beijing new residence signing up to 60339 sets,Compared with 2011 of the 52839 sets,Up 14.2%。
“连续1个多月的两次降息,对购房者的影响非常大。市场继续释放购房者,不仅实际支付能力增加,购房者对房价的预期也出现变化,看跌的购房者明显减少,入市的积极性明显提高。”北京中原地产张大伟说。
“For more than one month of two cuts,The influence of the person that buy a house is very big。The market continues to release the person that buy a house,Not only the actual capacity to pay increase,The person that buy a house to house prices also appear expected changes,Put buyers were obviously reduced,The enthusiasm of the entry improved significantly。”Beijing centaline property ZhangDaWei said。
他告诉记者,7月份北京热销楼盘项目中价格上行的占比达到8成,仍进行优惠折扣的项目明显减少。
He told reporters,In July, Beijing sell like hot cakes in the building project upward price accounts for up to eight than into,The project is still going discount significantly less。
据统计,最近2个月北京签约套数均超过30套的住宅项目合计有56个,这56个项目中,在7月份的销售签约均价相比6月份,均价上涨的有44个,下调的仅有12个。其中,44个涨价的项目在7月份签约量为4343套,占整体56个项目总签约量的73.5%。
According to the statistics,The last 2 months Beijing more than 30 sets are signing a cycle of the residential projects have a total of 56,This 56 projects,In the July issue of the sales contract than average in June,The average price rise with 44,The only 12 cut。Among them,44 prices in July of project contract for 4343 sets,The whole of 56 project always sign the amount to 73.5%。
并且,这56个项目中,单月均价上涨超过5%的有18个项目,剔除部分项目均价上行是因为房源升级导致外,整体市场的价格上涨幅度在7月份明显加快。
and,This 56 projects,Average monthly performance rose more than 5% of 18 project,Eliminate all price goes up because of the project to upgrade the homes,The overall market price rises obviously faster in July。
记者 于祥明
Reporter YuXiangMing
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