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7月北京二手住宅网签量创18个月来新高--亲稳网络舆情监控室
2012-08-06

  伴随首次置业的购房需求和部分改善类购房需求集中入市,7月份北京二手住宅网签量再创新高。

With first-time home buyers of pent-up demand and part of improving the pent-up demand concentrated market,In July, Beijing second-hand housing nets sign hit a new high quantity。

  根据北京住建委网站公布的网签数据显示,7月份(截止28日)北京二手住宅网签量已经突破1.5万套大关,网签总量达15135套,与6月份同期的网签量相比上涨了26%,与去年7月份同期的网签量相比更是大幅上涨了76.4%。按照目前日均541套的成交速度,7月全月的网签总量突破1.6万套已无悬念,总量或将接近1.7万套,创自去年2月份以来18个月网签量新高。

Beijing is built appoint website according to the nets sign data shows,July(Globe 28,)Beijing second-hand housing nets sign volume has reached 15000 sets mark,Nets sign totaled 15135 sets,And the same period in June the nets to sign up 26% compared to the amount,And in July last year in the same period of nets sign quantity is more than a 76.4% rise sharply。According to the current average of 541 sets of clinch a deal the speed,The month of July 16000 sets of the total net sign breakthrough has no suspense,Total amount or will be close to 17000 sets,And since last February 18 months since the signing of a record high net。

  随着二手住宅成交量的回暖,房价开始止跌回稳。根据伟业我爱我家(博客,微博)市场研究院的数据统计,7月份(截止28日),北京二手住宅成交均价为21900元/平米,环比6月份均价上涨0.8%,但是与去年同期相比房价下跌了12.6%。

Secondhand residence with volume of buoyancy,House prices start late reason。According to cause I love my family(blog,Micro bo)Market research institute of statistics,July(Globe 28,),Beijing second-hand housing the price for 21900 yuan/m2,In June, up 0.8% month-on-month average price,But compared with the same period last year house prices fell 12.6%。

7月北京二手住宅网签量创18个月来新高
北京全市二手住宅成交量价走势 Beijing the second-hand housing price volume trend

  伟业我爱我家集团副总裁胡景晖分析表示,近两三个月伴随成交量的回暖,房价开始止跌回稳,个别热点区域的房价甚至出现了明显上涨的迹象。这使得自去年限购等待观望至今的不少购房人对房价继续下跌不再抱有希望,等待观望气氛逐渐被恐慌性气氛所取代,首次置业的刚性购房需求,以及部分改善性购房人群纷纷出手购房。与此同时,贷款利率的接连两次下调,也更加坚定了这部分人群的购房意愿,促进了成交量的上涨。

Cause I love my family group vice President HuJingHui analysis said,Nearly two or three months with volume of buoyancy,House prices start late reason,Individual hot spots house prices even there is an obvious signs of rising。This makes 限购 since last year, wait and see many of the person that buy a house so far to house prices continue to fall no longer hope,Wait and see atmosphere gradually replaced by panic atmosphere,First-time home buyers of rigid pent-up demand,And some of the crowd shots in succession to improve buy the house。At the same time,There are two times the loan interest rate cut,Also strengthened this part of the purchase of the crowd will,Promote the rise of the volume。

  随着近两三个月来房价的小幅上涨,房价将要反弹的市场预期造成了市场恐慌性购房情绪蔓延。但是胡景晖认为,未来房价不会大幅反弹,购房人切莫受恐慌性购房情绪影响,还是要冷静客观理性出手购房。

With nearly two or three months to a modest rise in house prices,House prices are going to rally the market expectations caused the market panic spread mood that buy a house。But HuJingHui think,The future house prices won't rebound sharply,Do not suffer the person that buy a house purchase mood influence to panic,Or to calm objective rational moves the house。

  胡景晖表示,一方面,楼市宏观调控的大原则没有改变,而且下半年的执行力度或将从紧,所以下半年楼市调控不可能再出现像08年底09年初那种由限制买房到鼓励买房这种原则性变化,房价不可能出现反弹。

HuJingHui said,On the one hand,Property market of macroeconomic control principle no big change,And in the second half of the enforcement or will be tight,So the second half property market regulation could no longer appear like the end of the early 09 08 by buy a house to buy a house this limit to encourage change of principle,House prices can't rebounded。

  另一方面,目前楼市成交量节节攀升的火热局面不会维持太久,随着去年限购以来积蓄下来的首次置业的刚型购房需求逐渐释放殆尽,而在目前严格限购的情况下新的购房需求的再生速度有十分缓慢,所以下半年随着购房需求量的逐步萎缩,楼市将逐步降温,二手房业主对房屋定价也将更趋于理性,房价不会大幅反弹。

On the other hand,At present, the volume of the hot housing market uptick situation won't last for long,With 限购 savings down since last year for the first time home buyers just type of pent-up demand is gradually released to danger,And in the present 限购 strictly under the condition of pent-up demand new the regeneration of the speed has very slowly,So the second half with the purchase demand has steadily declined,Property market will gradually cooling,Secondhand the room owner to the housing price will also tend to be more rational,Prices do not rebound sharply。

  此外,胡景晖表示,下半年的新房市场供应量将明显多于上半年,市场供大于求的买方市场格局将更加稳固,不会因为严重的供不应求矛盾而引发房价的大幅反弹。

In addition,HuJingHui said,In the second half of the new home market supply will significantly more than the first half of the year,The market supply of the buyer's market pattern will be more stable,Not because the supply of serious contradiction and cause house prices rebound sharply。



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