难见量涨价跌

It's hard to see quantity price fall

　　中指院分析，近期央行连续降息、降准，新增贷款明显增加，对首次置业及改善性需求均起到一定程度的刺激作用。

Middle finger court analysis，Recently the central bank to slash interest rates、Drop must，New lending increased significantly，For first time home buyers and improve sex demand are play a certain degree of stimulation。

　　除针对刚需市场的中低价位项目成交情况好转外，部分品牌房企开发的高端项目由于定价合理、品牌影响力大和改善性需求逐渐入市，近期成交量也明显回升。

In addition to the market in just need low price project better deal outside，Part of the development of enterprises brand room high-end projects because the price is reasonable、Brand influence sexual needs and improve gradually entering the market，Recent volumes are also obvious picks up。

　　北京中原市场研究部统计数据显示：7月全国主要的54个城市签约量再创新高，接近28万套，比创造最近两年新高的6月成交量26.1万套再涨7%。

Beijing central plains market research statistics show：July the major of the 54 cities signing hit a new high quantity，Close to 280000 sets，To create the most nearly two years than a volume of 261000 to June rose 7%。

　　一线城市的表现更加明显，7月北京新建住宅签约套数为11959套，在惯例的7月淡季成交量继续维持在高位。累计前7月，北京新建住宅签约60339套，同比2011年同期的52839套上涨了14.2%。

A line the performance of the city is more apparent，July Beijing new residence signing a cycle of 11959 units，In the practice of July off-season volume continue to remain high。Accumulative total before July，Beijing new residence signing 60339 sets，Compared with 2011 in the same period of 52839 set up 14.2%。

　　据链家地产市场研究部统计，7月北京市二手住宅成交量为17130套，环比6月上涨25.8%，同比去年7月上涨99.7%，涨幅接近1倍，为2011年调控以来的最高值，成交均价为23210元/平方米，为今年以来首次超过23000元/平方米。

According to the real estate market research statistics chain home，July secondhand residence of Beijing volume for 17130 sets，November 6 month rose 25.8%，In July last year rose 99.7% year-on-year，Were nearly 1 times，For 2011 years since the regulation of the peak，The price is 23210 yuan/square metre，For the first time since this year more than 23000 yuan/square metre。

　　无论是来自单个城市还是全国多个城市的统计都显示，量涨价跌只会存在于短暂过渡期，而量价齐涨正逐渐成为楼市的主流。

Whether from a single city or national many city statistics show，Quantity price fall will only exists in short transitional period，And quantity and price rise is becoming all the mainstream of the property market。

　　调控加码预期渐强

Regulation beat expectations are becoming stronger

　　7月31日召开的中央政治局会议已经定调，下半年仍要坚决抑制房价反弹。此前国务院已经派出8个督查组摸底全国房地产市场，目前量价齐涨的态势渐明，也给后期市场走向以及调控是否加码划上了一个更大的问号。

On 31 July meeting of the central political bureau meeting has been setting the tone，The second half is still must firmly suppress house prices rebound。The state council has previously sent 8 a DuZhaZu touch bottom national real estate market，At present all the posture of the quantity and price rise gradually Ming，Also to market trends and regulation late whether drew a pyramid to a larger question mark。

　　上海易居房地产研究院副院长杨红旭表示，如果调控不加码，房价只有一种可能步入持续上涨通道。若加码，有碍稳增长。不管加码与否，房价都已度过最低点。

Shanghai enjoysmart real estate, vice President of the institute YangGongXu said，If control don't beat，House prices be only into a sustained rise in the channel。If the pyramid，Interferes with the steady growth。No matter whether or not the pyramid，House prices are already through its lowest point。

　　伟业顾问市场发展部总经理袁阳告诉记者，从近期地王的诞生、地方政府的政策微调、各地的快速回暖情况，政府均做出了快速反应，对楼市的一举一动实时把控。

Weiye consultant market development, general manager YuanYang told reporters，From a recent royal birth、The local government policy fine-tuning、The rapid thaw all over，The government are made rapid response，About the housing's every move the real-time control。

　　袁阳认为，若市场继续大幅上涨，并带动房价回调上涨，政府还将出台更严厉的调控措施，不会让初见成效的调控功亏一篑。

YuanYang think，If the market continues to rise sharply，And drive prices rising callback，The government will also issued tougher regulation measures，Won't let wins initial success regulation failed。

　　还有消息称，与房地产调控有关的部门仍然手握部分储备政策，准备在适当时机推出，包括二手房交易税费的提高以及扩大房产税试点和对存量空置房屋征税等。

Sources have also claimed that，And the real estate regulation relevant departments, still holds part of the reserves policy，Ready to launch at the right time，Including secondhand the room trade taxes improving and expanding housing property tax pilot and of old houses vacant tax, etc。

　　链家市场研究部常清告诉记者，未来楼市出现过度反弹的可能性较小。政府层面对楼市调控依旧没有放松，释放的政策收紧信号也在不断增强，马上临近的 “金九银十”或许会成为楼市的转折。

Chain home market research temperamental predominance told reporters，The future market less likely excessive bounce。The government is still no regulation about the housing level to relax，The release of the policy tightening signal and the strengthening，Immediately adjacent “Jin jiuyin 10”May be the turning point of the property market。

　　2011年下半年以来，累计已有40个城市对政策做了“微调”，主要手段包括调整普通住房标准、提高公积金贷款额度、实施购房补贴或购房落户政策等。其中，多数地方微调政策都被未被叫停。

Since the second half of 2011，Total to 40 cities have a policy“fine-tuning”，The main method including the adjustment common housing standards、Improve the accumulation fund loan amount、Implementation of the subsidy or buys a house purchase in policy, etc。Among them，Most local fine-tuning policy are not have been stopped。

　　但从国务院调研情况，各地方均向督察组表示将严格执行房地产调控政策，地方打擦边球情况也将伴随中央定调而减少。北京住建委相关负责人最近就表示，对于5、6月份市场所谓的“量价齐升”，及时采取了对企业的约谈和告诫，在商品房预售审批过程中进行价格引导和监督。

But the investigation from the state council，The place to DuChaZu said all will strictly enforce the real estate control policies，Place outside a situation will accompany the central pitch and reduce。Beijing is built appoint relevant person in charge of the said recently，For five、In June the so-called market“JiSheng quantity and price of”，To take the enterprise interviews and warning，In the commodity house opens to booking in the process of examination and approval price guidance and supervision。