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良药苦口利于病 房地产经受调控阵痛--亲稳网络舆情监控室
2012-08-10

  为防止我国房地产行业泡沫化,保持经济发展的结构相对合理,当前执行的房地产调控政策不能放松

To prevent our real estate industry turning into a bubble-and,Keep the economic development of the relatively reasonable structure,The execution of the current real estate control policy can't relax

  2012年5月以来,房地产交易市场出现相对回暖现象,地方政府更是屡次“试水”微调政策,因此,持续两年多的“最严”房地产调控政策的走势引人关注。

Since May 2012,The real estate market appears relatively thaw phenomenon,The local government is more often“Try water”Fine-tuning policy,so,For more than two years“The most severe”Real estate control policies on the movements of the remarkable。

  7月7日温家宝总理在江苏调研时,再次就房地产调控问题表态,“要毫不动摇地继续推进房地产市场各项调控工作,促进房价合理回归,决不能让房价反弹,造成功亏一篑。”

On July 7, prime minister wen jiabao in jiangsu research,Is real estate control again say,“Will unswervingly to continue to push forward the real estate market various control work,Promote the rational regression house prices,Never let the house prices rebound,Cause failed。”

  随后,珠海传出连夜叫停“松绑限购令”的消息。与此同时,国家统计局新闻发言人盛来运表示,房地产调控不能放松,调控房地产虽然说短期对经济增长产生影响,但是更有利于国民经济更持续健康地发展,特别是对防止房地产泡沫化对经济的长期发展的冲击很有好处。

then,Zhuhai rushed out to stop“限购 easing to”news。At the same time,The national bureau of statistics spokesman filled to transport said,Real estate regulation can't relax,Although short-term in regulating the real estate on the economic growth have an impact,But more conducive to the national economy more sustainable development,Especially to prevent real estate to the long-term development of the economic turning into a bubble-and the impact of the good。

  事实上,多位业内专家曾向记者表示,楼市调控政策已经持续实施近10年之久,其效果明显,房价目前呈现稳中有降的趋势。最重要的是,在中国城市化过程中产生的房地产泡沫正在被逐渐戳破,投资性需求也正在被挤出。

In fact,Many industry experts have told reporters,Property market regulation policy implementation has been nearly 10 years,The effects are evident,House prices is at a steady reduction in the trend。The most important is,In the process of urbanization in China from the real estate bubble is being pierced them gradually,The investment demand is also being pushed out。

 

 调控效果明显 Control effect is obvious

  投资性需求被挤出 Out of the investment demand

  值得注意的是,政府对房地产市场的一系列调控政策,主要是抑制投机性需求,而对于自住需求予以政策支持和保障。

Note the,The government of the real estate market of a series of adjustment and control policies,Mainly is to keep the speculative demand,And for self living demand gives policy support and guarantee。

  2003年,中央政府开始针对房地产市场的结构性问题采取措施,包括对购买高档房、别墅或者第二套以上商品房的人,适当提高首付比例等。

2003 years,The central government on real estate market structural problems take measures,Including the buy high-grade houses、Villa or second set above commodity house,An appropriate increase in low proportion, etc。

  2005年起,抑制房价过快上涨的调控措施明显加大力度,措施的立体性更强。3月底,国务院办公厅下发《关于切实稳定住房价格的通知》,围绕打击供给环节和消费环节的炒作行为展开。

Since 2005,Restrain overheating in housing prices control measures obviously strengthened,Measures of solid stronger。By the end of march,Issued by the general office of the state council《About the house price stability to notice》,The supply and consumption link around blow in the link of hype on behavior。

  2006年5月,国务院常务会议通过有针对性的六项措施(简称“国六条”),新一轮房地产调控大幕开启。此后,调控政策一条比一条严厉,从土地供应、货币政策、税费等多个政策领域施加压力,房价也开始起起落落。

May 2006,The standing committee of state council through the targeted six measures(Referred to“The six countries”),A new round of real estate regulation curtain open。Since then,Control policies than a a strict,From land supply、Monetary policy、Taxes, and other policy areas pressure,House prices have started to ups and downs。

  2011年1月,史上最“严厉”的楼市调控政策——“新国八条”出台,限购措施浮出水面。实施1年多来,各主要城市房价回落明显,商品房新开工面积、销售面积增速都所有回落。

January 2011,In the history“severe”In the housing market regulation policy--“Article 8 new countries”issued,限购 measures rise to surface。Implementation of more than a year to,The main city house prices will fall significantly,Commodity house new commenced area、Sales growth area are all down。

  “目前来看,房地产调控确实取得了效果,一些投资性需求正在被挤出,房价‘稳中有降’,刚需正逐渐得到满足。”一位业内专家向记者表示。

“So far,Real estate regulation does have effect,Some investment needs are being pushed out,House prices‘Stability have fall’,Just to satisfy is gradually。”One industry experts to reporters。

  

增加保障房供给 Increased security room supply

  是稳定房价的基础性措施 Is the foundation of the house price stability measures

  对于今年5月以来的楼市回暖,有分析人士认为,现在部分城市的房价已经出现反弹,如果房价再度恢复快速上涨势头,可能会使调控措施功亏一篑。

For since may of this year's housing thaw,Have analysts said,Now part of the city property prices have rebounded,If house prices rise rapidly momentum back again,May make the adjustment measures the lip。

  也有业内人士向本报记者表示,在我国城镇化的进程中,由农村转移到城市的就业人口、大学毕业新生等新增劳动力群体都有大量的住房需求,如果这一需求难以满足,将不利于我国的城市化进程。

Also have the professional to our correspondent said,In the process of urbanization in our country,From rural to urban employment population transfer、Graduated from university of new labor groups such as new there are a large number of housing needs,If it is difficult to meet the demand,Will not benefit of urbanization of our country。

  为此,保障房和廉租房的作用就至关重要。

For this,Ensure the function and (for the room is very important。

  该人士进一步解释说,我国保障房政策“夯实”了住房的基础供给量,这些住房推向市场后,低收入群体的住房难问题将大大缓解。另外,这一政策和抑制投机性需求、稳定商品房供给相结合,形成三位一体的宏观调控体系,对抑制房价过快上涨,已起到作用明显。如果该政策推进得当,后市房价难有大幅的波动。

This personage further explained,Ensure China room policy“ramming”The foundation of the housing supply,These housing to the market,Low-income housing difficult problems will greatly ease。In addition,This policy and curb speculative demand、Stable commodity house supply combined,Form the trinity of macroeconomic regulation,To control the house prices rise rapidly,Already have obvious effect。If the policy promote correctly,After a sharp fluctuations to house prices。

  尽管如此,仍有业内人士担忧房价会全面反弹。不过,中国房地产学会副会长陈国强对本报记者分析说,房价大幅反弹的可能性不大。因为市场整体上还是供大于求的形式,房企的库存量依然很高。如果开发商大幅提价,市场不见得会买账,反而是开发商会因此失去一部分市场份额。据此,陈国强预计,下半年开发商依旧会采取“以价换量”为主的销售策略。

Even so,Still have the professional concerns prices would fully rebound。but,China real estate society vice-chairman of our reporter said Chen guoqiang analysis,House prices are likely to rebound sharply。Because the market is overall supply of form,Room the inventory of enterprises is still high。If developers greatly raised the price,The market is not necessarily going to buy it,Instead, development chamber of commerce is part of lost market share。accordingly,Chen guoqiang is expected to,The second half is still take developers“To change the price of”Give priority to sales strategy。

 

 房地产调控不动摇 Real estate regulation not be moved

  有利经济长远发展 Favorable economic long-term development

  事实上,上述业内人士进一步向记者强调,楼市目前尚未全面回暖,因为商品房开工面积、投资金额等的增速明显下滑。虽然二季度以来,开发商的投资情绪相对乐观不少,但在土地市场的动作仍然非常谨小慎微,如非优质地块,其出手意愿并不强烈。

In fact,The above the personage inside course to further emphasize the reporter,Property market is not yet full thaw,Because commodity house commenced area、Investment amount of a significant slowdown in growth。Although since the second quarter,Developers are relatively optimistic mood investment many,But in land market movements still very timid,Such as the high quality plot,The moves will not strong。

  为巩固来之不易的调控成果,中央政府继续严格执行调控政策的态度十分坚决。尽管地方政府为获得财政收入,频频试水放松限购,但均以“叫停”告终。

To consolidate the hard-won control results,The central government continues to strictly carry out the attitude control policy is very firmly。Although the local government to obtain financial income,Try to relax 限购 water again and again,But all with“called”end。

  盛来运也向媒体坦言,房地产调控不能放松,因为其更有利于国民经济更持续健康地发展,特别是对防止房地产泡沫化对经济长期发展造成冲击有好处。

Cheng to transport also said to the media,Real estate regulation can't relax,Because it is more advantageous to the national economy more sustainable development,Especially to prevent long-term economic development of real estate turning into a bubble-and the impact of good。



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