全景网8月10日讯 2012博鳌房地产论坛于8月8日-11日在中国海南博鳌亚洲论坛大酒店隆重举行，本届论坛主题为“平衡与发展 可持续的中国房地产”。在今日上午举行的议题演讲中，瑞士信贷董事总经理、亚洲区首席经济分析师陶冬发表了题为《全球经济、中国经济及房地产展望》的演讲。

Panorama nets on August 10-2012 boao real estate BBS in August 8-11 in China hainan boao Asia BBS hotel was held，The BBS theme“Balance and sustainable development of China's real estate”。In today's morning in a speech at the issue，Credit suisse director general manager、Asia chief economic analysts TaoDong published the title《The global economy、China's economic prospects and real estate》speech。

　　陶冬认为，长远来看，中国房价必有一跌。他举出具体例子，上海的房价已经到了东京房价的水平，而上海人的收入只有东京人的1/5；如果海南岛能够把今天所有存量房地产按照今天的价钱卖出去，海南岛可以收上来的钱足以买下一个小岛，一个叫曼哈顿的小岛，海南不需要再作中国的旅游中心了，咱们一口气做“全球金融一哥”算了。

TaoDong think，The long run，China will have a house prices fell。He cite specific examples，Shanghai house prices have reached the level of house prices in Tokyo，And in spite of the income, only 1/5 of the people in Tokyo；If the stock to hainan island today all real estate price according to today's，Hainan island can receive the money enough to buy up a small island，A call Manhattan island，Hainan don't need to be China's tourist center，Let's do a“Global financial one”Forget it。

　　陶冬表示，中国的房地产早晚会出现一个调整，下一个比2008年最低的一个点在三四年之后发生。

TaoDong said，China's real estate early party appear a adjustment，The next 2008 years than one of the lowest points in three or four years later happen。