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北京楼市后续仍有调控重手?--亲稳舆论引导监测室
2012-08-16

北京楼市后续仍有调控重手?7月北京新房成交价微跌 但部分中心城楼盘冲“5”迹象明显 July Beijing bridal chamber clinch a deal valence micro drop but part of the center tower plate impact“5”Obvious signs

  7月北京新房成交量和成交均价最终出台,虽然统计上数据微跌,但不少买房者却听到了“涨声”一片。面对连续几个月的量价齐升,从严调控再次被政府反复强调。

July Beijing bridal chamber volume and the price finally come,Although the statistical data on micro drop,But many home-buyers but heard“Up sound”A piece of。In the face of the continuous several months JiSheng volume and price,Strictly control once again reiterated by the government。

  北京部分楼盘冲“5”

Beijing part of the estate impact“5”

  中国指数研究院8月1日公布数据显示,2012年7月,全国100个城市(新建)住宅平均价格为8717元/平方米,环比6月上涨0.33%,自上月止跌后再次环比上涨。北京、上海等十大城市住宅均价为15470元/平方米,环比上月上涨0.27%,涨幅低于全国平均水平。

China index research institute promulgated on August 1, data shows,In July 2012,The country's 100 cities(new)Residential average price for 8717 yuan/square meters,Link June rose 0.33%,Since last month after reason to link up。Beijing、Shanghai ten cities housing average price for 15470 yuan/square meters,Link up 0.27% last month,Or is lower than the national average。

  而其他的数据来源则表明,北京房价暗流涌动。北京中原市场研究部统计数据显示,7月北京新建住宅签约套数为11959套。相比余温犹存的“热六月”,7月新房成交的数量微跌0.2%,成交均价也由6月的21726元跌至20551元。

While other sources of data indicates that,Beijing house price the undercurrent。Beijing central plains market research department statistics show,July Beijing new housing contract number sets for 11959 sets。Compared with the highlights of culture“Hot June”,July bridal chamber to clinch a deal the quantity of micro fell 0.2%,The price is 21726 yuan by June dropped to 20551 yuan。

  虽然数据上微跌,但现实则是涨声一片。根据统计,最近两个月,签约超过30套的住宅项目合计有56个,其中7月份签约均价比6月份上涨的有44个。不少买房人是在一片“涨声”中仓促入市。以至于华远地产(600743,股吧)董事长任志强近期指出:“房地产最坏的时期已经过去,且今后仍然有发展空间。”

Although data on micro drop,But the reality is a sound a slice of。According to statistics,The last two months,Contract more than 30 sets of residential projects have a total 56,The signing in July than in June average rising with 44。A lot of to buy room person is in a“Up sound”Rush in the market。That huayuan real estate(600743,guba)The chairman RenZhiJiang pointed out that in the near future:“Real estate the worst period is over,And in the future there is still space for development。”

  其中,作为京城高端住宅的主要集结地,西城区房价最为抢眼,诸多高端楼盘售价大有冲击5万势头,红山世家均价为4.5万元,凯迪尚府的售价也在4.1万元,朱雀门单价已经高达4.9万元。

the,As the high-end residential main rendezvous,Xicheng district grab an eye most house prices,Many high-end building price greatly impact 50000 momentum,Hongshan family average price for 45000 yuan,Heidi is mansion of will be priced at 41000 yuan,Rosefinch door unit price has been as high as 49000 yuan。

  “在正常的市场情况下,只要成交量回升,价格是肯定会上涨的,并不会出现个别专家所说的量涨价跌或者量涨价停滞的现象。”北京中原市场研究部张大伟表示。

“In normal market circumstances,As long as the volume rebounded,The price is sure will go up,Does not appear individual experts said quantity price fall or quantity price stagnation phenomenon。”Beijing central plains market research ZhangDaWei said。

  开发商遭到约谈

Developers were questioning

  面对5-6月份的量价齐升,中央派出督查组赴16省市检查调控执行,上海随即颁发相关通知加大限购等检查力度,成为此轮督查第一个配合中央发文强调调控的地方政府。

In the face of 5-6 months of quantity and price of JiSheng,The central DuZhaZu sent 16 provinces and cities to check control execution,Shanghai immediately issue related notice increase the examination such as purchasing power,Become the wheel of protecting the first with the central dispatch stressed regulation of local government。

  而从信贷金融方面来说,中山市宣布8月1日起公积金贷款认房又认贷,贷款利率上浮 10%,贷款额度有所降低。这是连续几个月以来各地方政府从公积金角度放松贷款之后,头一次收紧公积金政策的情况。这一象征意义在于,此轮调控加码不仅可以从执行力度上加强,也有可能在限贷上有所作为。

And from the financial credit terms,Zhongshan announced on August 1, recognition of accumulation fund loan room and recognize credit,Loan interest rate rise 10%,Loans reduced。This is continuous several months the local government from the provident fund loans to relax after Angle,The first tightening accumulation fund policy。This symbol significance lies in,This round of regulation pyramid can not only strengthen the enforcement,There could also be possibilities in the credit limit to as。

  北京也顺势对在售楼盘进行行政限价。住建委也对各企业报送的预售商品住房价格进行了行政限价。北京住建委表示,为了使北京房价合理回归,北京将继续从严执行住房限购政策。面对5-6月份量价齐升的情况,住建委采取了对企业进行约谈和告诫的方法。

Beijing also conveniently in the sale of building administrative price。Live is built appoint also to each enterprise the pre-sale commercial housing price administrative price。Beijing is built appoint said live,In order to make the Beijing house price reasonable regression,Beijing will continue to strictly implement housing purchasing policy。In the face of 5-6 month deal price JiSheng situation,Live is built appoint take the enterprise to carry out the questioning and warned method。

  中银国际地产研究院袁琳认为,目前政策收紧仅仅体现在执行力度加强之上,预计未来出台新政策的可能性也并不大,总体而言对市场影响较小,8月淡季不淡仍将延续。

Boc international real estate institute YuanLin think,At present policy tightening just reflected in enforcement on strengthening,The expected future the possibility of new policies is not big,Overall on the market small impact,August off-season not light will still continue。

  后续仍有调控大棒

Subsequent still have control stick

  虽然短期内出台调控新政策的可能性不大,但政府手中的调控手段明显没有穷尽。近日,扩大房产税试点范围和取消预售制度的讨论再起。

Although in the short term on regulating the new policy is unlikely,But the government hand control means obviously will have no end。recently,Expand housing property tax pilot range and cancel pre-sale system discussion comeback。

  社科院日前发布了《中国住房发展(2012年中)报告》,报告中建议政府在目前开发商商品房库存量较大的条件下,适时取消期房预售制度,利于控制开发商资金链促其快建快销。

Academy has released《China's housing development(2012 years)The report》,Reports suggest the government in the present commercial housing developers under the condition of large inventory,Timely cancel the forward delivery housing pre-sale system,To control the developer fund chain promote the fast built fast pin。

  早在2009年的时候,有专家向政府提及取消预售制,抑制房地产的过热发展。现在政府调控到了一个新的时期,社科院又将取消预售制提了出来。

As early as in 2009,Some experts to government mentioned cancel pre-sale system,Inhibition of real estate development overheating。Now the government regulation and control to a new period,Cass and will cancel pre-sale system carry out。

  除此之外,近日扩大房产税试点范围的声音也再次响起。但对于这一举措,市场认同度不高。中国房地产研究会副会长胡志刚就认为,房产税不能全面开花。有城市开始试点房产税来平抑价格,比如上海、重庆,但取得的效果并不理想。房产税的全面征收还有待深入的研究。

In addition,Recently expanded housing property tax pilot range of voice rang again。But for the move,Market identities is not high。China's real estate research board vice-chairman HuZhiGang will think,Housing property tax can't full flowering。Are the city began to pilot house property tax to stabilize prices,Such as Shanghai、chongqing,But taking effect is not ideal。Property tax levy comprehensive remains to be further research。

  新闻链接

News link

  浙江义乌回应

Zhejiang yiwu response

  取消楼市限购令:

Cancel the property market to be restricted:

  限购新政尚在研究中

Purchasing the New Deal is still in the study

  本报讯(记者孙昌銮)近日,有多家媒体报道称,浙江省义乌市已经于去年底取消了楼市“限购令”,现在无论义乌本地人还是外地人,想买几套房都可以。昨日,有义乌官员对此回应称,所谓义乌取消“限购令”是因为该政策已经于去年底到期,政府并未对外宣布要取消限购令,目前新政策还在研究中。

Report from our correspondent(Reporter SunChangLuan)recently,Have several media reports say,Zhejiang yiwu has cancelled the property market in the end“Is restricted to”,Now regardless of yiwu locals or foreigners,Want to buy some suite can。yesterday,Have yiwu officials respond to say,The so-called yiwu cancel“Is restricted to”Because of this policy has in the end maturity,The government has not announced to be restricted to cancel,At present the new policy is in the study。

  2011年3月21日,义乌曾出台《关于进一步贯彻落实房地产市场调控政策的实施意见》,其中规定自发布之日起至2011年12月31日,义乌及外市居民家庭可在义乌新购买一套商品住房,对已在义乌新购一套商品住房的居民家庭及外市居民家庭,暂停其在义乌新购住房。该规定被称为义乌版的“限购令”。去年底,住建部曾发文要求已设定限购期限的城市要继续延续政策,限购政策今年继续执行。

March 21, 2011,Yiwu ever published《On further implementation of the real estate market regulation and control policy of the implementation opinions》,Since the provisions of the publication day to December 31, 2011,Yiwu and WaiShi households can buy a set of new in yiwu commodity housing,For already in yiwu new bought a set of commercial housing residents family and WaiShi households,Suspend its in yiwu new purchase housing。This regulation is called yiwu version“Is restricted to”。end,Live JianBu once deemed requirement already set time limit for purchasing the city will continue to continue policy,Purchasing policy this year to continue。

  昨日,记者以购房者名义致电义乌拨浪鼓花园、望族锦园等多家在售的楼盘后获悉,虽然当地房管部门没有明确对外宣布取消“限购令”,但目前义乌确实处于住房限购令的真空期。从今年初开始,义乌已不再继续执行限购一套的做法,消费者可购买任意套数房子。不过,有售楼处工作人员强调,多买的话只能一次性付清,第三套房开始不让贷款。

yesterday,Reporter in the name of the person that buy a house at yiwu rattle garden、Distinguished family brocade garden, a number of other buildings in the sale after that,Although the local real estate management department announced no clear cancel“Is restricted to”,But the present yiwu is a restricted housing to vacuum period。Start from earlier this year,Yiwu is no longer restricted to continue a practice,Consumers can buy any number sets house。but,A sales department staff stressed,Many words can only buy a lump sum,The third suite began to not let loans。

  昨日,义乌市委宣传部的一名工作人员对“取消限购令”一事回应称,政府并没有对外宣布取消限购令,而是该政策去年12月31日到期后还没有推出新的政策,目前限购的新政策还在研究中,还需要有一个过程,但具体情况他不是很清楚。随后,记者多次致电义乌市住建局,但未获回应。

yesterday,Yiwu municipal party committee propaganda department of a staff“Be restricted to cancel”Responded that the,Government has not announced is restricted to cancel,But the policy last December 31, after maturity is not a new policy,The new policy is restricted at present still in the study,Also need to have a process,But the specific situation he is not very clear。then,Many times reporter at yiwu live built bureau,But did not get a response。

  义乌是中国经济最发达的县级市之一,其房价近年来也居高不下,去年多个楼盘均价超过2万元,而记者所咨询的目前在售的楼盘的价格大多在1万元到2万元之间。2011年6月,义乌曾拍出39545元/平方米楼面价的地王。有业内人士称,在房地产调控政策之下,义乌的房价较高峰跌去20%。今年上半年成交也较为清淡,成交面积同比下降44%。但近几月,义乌楼市有回暖迹象。

Yiwu is the most developed China's economy is one of the cities,The house prices in recent years is also high,Last year mansions average more than 20000 yuan,And the reporter consulting current in the sale price of building mostly in 10000 yuan to 20000 yuan between。In June 2011,Yiwu has patted 39545 yuan/square meters left of the floor price。The personage inside course of study says,In the real estate regulation policy under,Yiwu house prices fell 20% to a peak。In the first half of this year to clinch a deal is relatively light,Clinch a deal area 44% year-on-year drop。But in recent months,Yiwu market has warmed signs。



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