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通过公共投资的均衡化影响房价--亲民维稳网络舆情监测室
2012-08-19

  公共投资对不同区域和城市房价有着重要的影响,由此,要想避免大城市房价继续上扬,就要缩小大城市与中小城市在公共基础设施投入上的巨大差距。

Public investment for different regional and urban house prices have important influence,this,If we want to avoid the big cities housing prices continue to rise,Will reduce big cities and small and medium-sized city in public infrastructure into the large gap。

  出差到重庆,当地朋友跟我说重庆的房价这些年虽然也涨了三四倍,但普遍均价现处于每平方米七、八千元左右的水平,靠河的也只在一万元上下。与北京动辄三四万的房价相比,差距还是很明显。同样是直辖市,为什么房价差距如此之大?这不得不引发人去思考。

Business trips to chongqing,The local friends told me that chongqing house price years although also rose by three or four times,But general average price of every square metre is in seven、Eight thousand yuan level,On the river in ten thousand yuan only up and down。And Beijing silk, frequently prices compared,The gap is still very obvious。Is also a municipality directly under the,Why do prices gap so big?This have to cause people to think。

  中国的房地产业在过去十年,经历了猛涨与调控交织的复杂发展过程,回头来看,房价大致呈现了以下两个总体特征:一是不管大中小城市,房价普遍上涨;二是上涨幅度呈现了区域与城市的差异性。

China's real estate industry in the past ten years,Experienced rockets and regulation mixed complex development process,Look back to see,House prices generally presents the following two general characteristics:One is whether medium and small cities,House prices generally rise;The second is present in advancing the differences of the region and the city。

  对于第一个特征的解释相对来说已经比较清晰:货币发行机制失衡导致货币总量和流动性过剩,而收入分配不均衡和投资渠道狭窄又迫使大量社会投资涌向房地产领域,最后导致全国普涨的局面。

For the first characteristics of relatively has clear explanation:The currency issue mechanism unbalance leads to monetary aggregates and excess liquidity,And income distribution disequilibrium and investment channel is narrow and forced a lot of social investment flocked to the real estate industry,Finally lead to the situation of the national general goes up。

  对于第二个特征的解释则较为多样,涵盖了从成本、区位到需求的多种角度。

For the second feature explanation is more variety,Range from the cost、Location to the needs of a variety of Angle。

  比如从成本构成来看,房子的成本基本上由土地成本、建造成本和税费组成。税费构成和比例全国各地的差异并不大。但要说起建造成本,在重庆这样的山城盖房子,成本肯定要比北京高。抛开地价能否决定房价的复杂关系不说,在同样的市场冷热程度下,北京的地价大大高于重庆,对两者的房价差异还是有很重要的影响。

For example, from cost structure to see,The house cost basically by land cost、Construction cost and taxes composition。Taxes composition and proportion of all parts of the country is not big difference。But to speak of construction cost,In chongqing this mountain city building a house,Cost will be better than Beijing high。Put aside land prices can decide the complicated relationship don't say,In the same market under hot and cold degree,Beijing is much higher than the price of chongqing,To the house price difference still have a very important influence。

  那么,地价差异从哪里来?按说重庆山城,要找块平地都难得,土地资源禀赋不如平原地区的北京,地价差异那么大,这就需要从区位来作解释了。房地产业界的人都知道一句话:影响房价的三个主要因素是———区位、区位、区位。地理学对区位的定义是一个地理位置与其周边事物的联系,似乎把周边各类影响因素一网打尽,只能从现实案例的比较中来看看哪些区位因素是最重要的。

so,Land price differences come from?Ordinarily mountain city chongqing,To seek a piece of flat land is rare,Land resources endowment as plain area of Beijing,Land price difference so big,This needs from location to explain。The real estate industry people know a word:Affect the prices of three main factors is -- - location、location、location。Geography location to the definition is a geographical position and its surrounding things contact,Seems to be that the surrounding all kinds of influence factors flash search,Only from the comparison of the real case to see which locational factor is the most important。

  重庆较好地段的房价在每平方米一万元左右,浙江有一些县城的房价都高过这个数,更不用论杭州、宁波、温州这样的城市。东部地区县城房价高过西部直辖市水平,体现的正是东中西部的经济区位差异。在浙江的板块经济发展模式下,县域经济繁荣,消费能力强,房价自然就高,这就是结合需求角度来解释的。另一个例证,浙江金华是地级市,它的房价比下辖的义乌市要低很多,这种例子在中国很少见,究其原因,同样是两地财政收入的差距。

Chongqing good lots of house prices in every square metre ten thousand yuan,Zhejiang has some county home prices are higher than the number,Without more of hangzhou、ningbo、Wenzhou such a city。The eastern region county town house prices above the level of the western municipalities directly under,Which symbolizes the east economic location difference。In zhejiang plate economic development mode,County economic prosperity,Consumption ability,House prices nature is high,This is combined with demand Angle to explain。Another example,Zhejiang jinhua is suggested,Its house prices lower than the yiwu city has many,This example is rare in China,Investigate its reason,The same is the gap between the two financial income。

  整体经济活力可以解释区域房价的差异,那么同一区域内,除金华这种特例外,城市等级越高,房价及其涨幅也越高如何解释呢?有一些专家提到过,要从公共基础设施和社会服务投资的差异来解释。我国各城市掌握的行政资源和调动社会资源的能力往往和城市行政级别相关,越是大的城市越有能力优先获得政府的财政或者社会投资来开展城市的公共基础设施建设。就像北京有中国最好的教育、医疗水平,公共交通投入也大,到省里面,省城的基础设施和社会服务水平超过地级市,地级市又好过县城。

The overall economic vitality can explain the difference of regional house prices,So the same area,In addition to the jinhua this special exception,The higher the city level,House prices and the rise high how explanation?Some experts mentioned,From the public infrastructure and social service investment difference to explain。Every Chinese city master administrative resources and mobilize social resources ability often and urban administrative levels related,The big city is more has the ability to priority to receive government financial or social investment to carry out the city public infrastructure construction。As Beijing has the best Chinese education、Medical level,Public traffic input is big also,To province inside,Provincial capital infrastructure and social service level more than locally administratered level,City and county better。

  这种差异导致大城市对中小城市的住房需求具有一种吸出效应,县城的富裕人群把孩子送到市里或省城去接受教育,更富一些的直接送到北京来读书。需求随着城市行政级别和公共投入的不同呈现等级化差异,所以就形成了不同城市涨幅不一的现象。其实由此也可以解释区域的差异,东部发达地区财政收入高,公共投入也多,像义乌这样一个县级市地方财政收入比青海省的还要高。

These differences lead to big cities to the housing needs of small and medium-sized cities have a kind of suction effect,County rich people, to send their child to kindergartens or provincial capital city to accept education,Some of the more rich directly sent to Beijing to study。Demand with city administrative levels and public investment different grading present differences,So they have formed the different city or different phenomenon。In fact this can also explain regional differences,The developed region in the eastern high fiscal revenue,Public investment also many,Like yiwu such a county-level cities of local fiscal revenue more than qinghai province high。

  公共投资对行政级别不同的区域城市房价有着重要的影响,由此也可以得到一个启示,要想避免大城市房价继续上扬,就要缩小这些城市与中小城市在公共基础设施上的巨大差距。当然不是说让这些城市变糟糕,而是要加大对中小城市的基础设施建设的投入,提高当地社会服务水平,人们在本地就可以接受到好的教育与医疗服务,享受完备的基础设施,考虑到大城市的高房价与污染、拥堵等负面因素,通过公共投资的均衡和城市生活质量的均等化来降低部分大城市的巨大吸引力,由此起到从整体上均衡房价的作用。

Public investment administrative level to different regional city house price has the important influence,It also can get a revelation,If we want to avoid the big cities housing prices continue to rise,Will narrow the cities and small and medium-sized city in public infrastructure the large gap。Of course not to say that these cities become worse,But to increase for small and medium-sized city infrastructure construction investment,To improve the service level of local society,People in the local can receive good education and medical service,Enjoy complete infrastructure facilities,Considering the high prices in big cities and pollution、Congestion and negative factors,Through the public investment balance and the quality of urban life equal to reduce some big cities the attractions,Thus have overall balance the role of house prices。



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