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资金压力或迫保障房规模调整--亲稳网络舆情监控室
2012-08-22

  保障建设规模或因沉重的地方财政压力而调整。据悉,住建部此前要求各地根据实际情况,自行拟定并上报未来三年的保障建设计划,近期地方政府已陆续将数据上报,但最终数据低于预期。

Security room construction scale or because of heavy local financial pressure and adjustment。It is reported,Live JianBu after all requirements according to the actual situation,To develop and report to the next three years of security housing construction plan,The local government has been recently reported data,But the final data below expectations。

  业内人士认为,这可能导致住建部调低“十二五”期间建设3600万套保障性安居工程的目标。据估算,在今年超过1.5万亿元的保障房建设资金中,地方政府和社会机构筹集的资金占比超过80%。而在土地出让收入下滑、融资渠道有限的情况下,地方政府的保障房建设资金面临捉襟见肘的困境。

The personage inside course of study thinks,This can lead to live JianBu turn down“1025”During the construction of 36 million sets of indemnificatory comfortable housing project goal。It is estimated,In this year, more than 1.5 trillion yuan safeguard room in the construction funds,The local government and social institutions to raise funds accounted for more than 80% than。And in the land transfer income decline、The financing channels limited circumstances,Local government guarantee room construction funds faced with the plight of rebuilding。

  

资金缺口巨大 Huge funding gap

  事实上,今年保障性安居工程建设任务确定为700万套,本身就是调整后的结果。此外,随着近期保障房空置和分配乱象被披露,3600万套保障房建设任务的确定是否得到了有效论证,也开始成为社会讨论的焦点。

In fact,This year indemnificatory comfortable housing project construction tasks identified as 7 million sets,Itself is adjusted results。In addition,With the recent security room vacant and distribution of the mess is disclosed,36 million set of security housing construction task to determine whether got valid argument,Has become the focus of debate society。

  今年被认为是保障房建设压力最大的一年。按照要求,2012年全国要新建保障性安居工程700万套,基本建成500万套。尽管建设规模比去年略低,但算上去年1000万套建设规模的结转部分,未来保障房建设的资金压力仍然较大。有业内人士测算,要完成今年的保障房建设任务,所需资金将超出去年1.5万亿元的规模。

This year is believed to be the biggest safeguard room construction pressure a year。According to the requirement,The 2012 national to new indemnificatory comfortable housing project 7 million sets,Basically completed 5 million sets。Although construction scale slightly lower than last year,But last year is 10 million sets of the construction scale of carry forward,The future security room construction funds is still greater pressure。The personage inside course of study estimates,To complete this year's security room construction task,The funds required for the will exceed 1.5 trillion yuan last year the scale。

  上述资金中的大部分,需由地方政府筹集。今年年初,住建部住房保障司副司长张学勤曾明确,中央保障房建设补助资金将超1500亿元。虽高于去年,但与整体资金需求量相比,仅占一成左右的比例。有超过1.3万亿的保障房资金需要地方政府、社会机构和保障对象筹集。

The above most of the money,By the local government to raise。Earlier this year,Live JianBu housing safeguard department deputy director general ZhangXueQin was clear,The central security room construction subsidy funds will exceed 150 billion yuan。Is higher than last year,But the whole capital demand and compared,The proportion of accounted for only ten percent or so。There are more than 1.3 trillion security room funds need to local government、Social institutions and safeguard object raise。

  中国房地产学会副会长陈国强向记者表示,在各类保障房项目的建设中,棚户区改造、经济适用房和限价房的建设本身就带有商品房开发的性质,资金问题相对容易解决。真正需要关注的,是廉租房和公租房的资金来源。

China's real estate society vice-chairman Chen guoqiang told reporters,In all kinds of security housing project construction,Shantytowns transformation、Economy is applicable the room and price room construction itself with the nature of the commodity housing development,The problem of funds is relatively easy to solve。Really need to focus on,Is low rent housing rent, and the source of funds。

  以公租房为例,今年我国计划建设公租房230万套,占保障性安居工程建设总规模的32.9%,为历年来的最大规模。尽管今年有关部门拨付了660亿元的专项资金,但业内人士仍然认为不足以缓解燃眉之急。

And renting a house, for example,This year China plans to construction and rent 2.3 million sets,The construction of indemnificatory comfortable housing project total scale of 32.9%,Over the years for the most large scale。Although this year, relevant departments of the allocated 66 billion yuan of special funds,But the personage inside course of study still think enough to ease the burning issue。

  “建设230万套公租房,所需资金至少在4000亿-5000亿元的规模。”北京某开发企业负责人向记者表示,单靠两级财政拨款,肯定不足以完成上述任务,必须依靠社会资金。去年北京曾注资100亿元成立公租房运营机构,并获得银行授信。但从全国来看,类似的尝试仍然很少。

“Construction of 2.3 million sets and renting a house,The funds required for the at least 400 billion - 500 billion yuan scale。”Beijing some development enterprise person in charge told reporters,Only depending on the two levels of financial appropriation,Sure enough to accomplish these tasks,Must rely on social capital。Last year, Beijing has 10 billion yuan capital injection was established public rental operation mechanism,And access to bank credit。But nationally,Similar try still very few。

  事实上,即便存在一定的利润,企业建设保障房的积极性并不高。这位开发商表示,算上运营和维护成本,以及配套的商业和公建部分,保障房建设的实际成本要明显高于测算成本。且对于租赁型保障房来说,收益率低,投资回报周期较长,使得企业不敢大规模投入建设。

In fact,Even if there are some profit,Enterprise construction security room's enthusiasm is not high。The developers say,Including operation and maintenance costs,And form a complete set of business and public part,Security room construction to actual cost is obviously higher than that of the calculation cost。And to lease type guarantee for room,Yields low,Investment return period is longer,Makes the enterprise can't large-scale investment construction。

  这也道出了保障房建设的一个资金困境:引进社会资本难度大。据了解,当前保障房建设任务大多由国企开发商承担,民企通常以“配建”的形式参与。一些企业还坦言,在保障房建设中存在“亏本”现象。

It also recognizes safeguard room construction of a fund predicament:Introduction of social capital is difficult。It is understood,The current security room construction task by state-owned enterprises most developers assume,Corporation usually in“PeiJian”Participate in the form of。Some companies also admits that,In ensuring existing in the construction of the room“At a loss”phenomenon。

  

地方财政吃紧 Local finances

  当前保障房建设资金,仍以财政拨款和其他专项资金为主。按照现有规定,除土地出让金收益的10%外,个人住房房产税试点地区取得的房产税收入、部分国有资本收益和城市维护建设税收入也将用于保障房建设。财政部还规定,今年增加的地方政府债券收入要优先用于保障性安居工程。但多数业内人士认为,与巨额的资金需求相比,这些“涓涓细流”能提供的支持恐有不足。

The current security room construction funds,Still with financial appropriation and other special funds is given priority to。According to the existing provisions,In addition to the land grant fee income 10% outside,Personal housing housing property tax pilot areas achieved real estate revenue、Part of the state-owned capital gains and urban maintenance and construction tax revenues will also be used in security room construction。The ministry of finance also provides,This year the increase of local government bonds income should be used in preference to indemnificatory comfortable housing project。But most of the personage inside course of study thinks,And a huge sums of money than demand,these“Trickles through”Can provide support perhaps have deficiency。

  作为保障房重要资金来源的地方财政,同样在楼市调控下面临巨大压力。财政部数据显示,上半年全国国有土地使用权出让收入11430亿元,同比减少4342亿元,下降27.5%。受此“拖累”,不少地方的财政收入增幅大幅缩水。

As a safeguard room important capital source of the local finance,Also in the property market under control are faced with great pressure。The ministry of finance data display,In the first half of the transfer of state-owned land use right income is 1.143 trillion yuan,Up a decrease of 434.2 billion yuan,Fell by 27.5%。By this“drag”,Many local fiscal revenue growth down considerably。

  记者近期调研得知,一些地方公务员的工资需要通过银行贷款发放,这足见地方财政压力之紧迫。

Reporters learned that the recent research,Some places need to pay civil servants through bank loans,This indication of local financial pressure pressing。

  “很多地方的保障房建设,只是完成了开工部分而已,资金不足导致后续建设情况并不乐观。”北京某知名咨询机构负责人向记者表示,若地方财政收入持续面临不足,很可能影响到保障房建设进度和竣工任务的完成。

“In many places the safeguard room construction,Just finished part just start,Insufficient funds led to the subsequent construction situation is not optimistic。”Beijing some famous consultation organization person in charge told reporters,If the local finance income continuous facing shortage,Is likely to affect the security room construction progress and completion of the task。

  该人士表示,一些地方政府将企业自建的宿舍、公寓,以及个别商品房项目纳入保障房统计中,便是保障房资金支出不足的表现之一。他还认为,在保障房建设的统计中,普遍存在“水分”。

This personage expresses,Some local governments will enterprise self-built dormitory、apartment,And individual commodity house project into the security room in statistics,Is the lack of capital expenditure safeguard room one of performance。He also thinks,In the guarantee of the construction of the room in statistics,widespread“moisture”。

  事实上,在有限的财政支出中,地方政府需拿出相当规模用于偿还庞大的地方债务。审计署的报告显示,我国已迎来地方债的偿债高峰期,今年全国共有1.84万亿元地方债务到期,部分地方的债务偿还对土地出让收入的依赖较大。

In fact,In the limited in the fiscal expenditure,The local government should take out quite scale used to pay huge local debt。The report shows,China has welcomed the local debt debt peak,This year's total of 1.84 trillion yuan of local debt maturity,Part of the local debt repayment to the land transfer income depends on the larger。

  对于正处在结构调整和房地产调控阶段的经济来说,地方财政缩水很可能成为常态。上述咨询机构负责人认为,经过本轮楼市调控,通过大规模卖地来支持地方财政的发展模式恐将改变,企业拿地也会愈加理性。因此,未来几年土地收入可能保持相对较低的水平,这也会在一定程度上“拖累”地方财政收入,并影响保障房资金的支出。

For is in structure adjustment and real estate regulation stage for the economy,Local finance shrink may well become a normal。The consulting agency officials think,After the epicycle market regulation,Through the mass of sale to support the local finance development pattern fear will change,The enterprise take the earth will be more rational。therefore,The next few years the land income may remain relatively low level,This would also to a certain extent“drag”Local fiscal revenue,And affect security room capital expenditure。

  

规模可能调整 Scale may adjust

  资金困境可能成为影响保障房建设规模调整的重要因素。据记者了解,今年5月,住建部发出通知,要求各地根据各自情况,自行拟定并上报未来三年(2013年-2015年)的保障房建设计划,以期对保障房建设情况作出中期评估。

Money trouble may be influence safeguard room construction scale adjustment of the important factors。According to reporter understanding,In may this year,Live JianBu notice,Requires all according to their situation,To develop and report to the next three years(In 2013-2015)Safeguard room construction plan,In order to ensure room construction to make mid-term assessment。

  据悉,近期各省已将上述数据陆续报至住建部,但上报的数量低于原定计划。不少分析人士认为,结合地方政府的实际情况,未来保障房的建设规模可能做出调整。

It is reported,Recent provinces have the above data in succession to live for JianBu,But the number of reported lower than the original plan。Many analysts believe that,Combined with the actual situation of local government,The future security room construction scale may make adjustments。

  按照现有计划,“十二五”期间,我国保障性安居工程建设规模为3600万套,到“十二五”末覆盖20%的城镇居民。事实上,在去年完成1000万套保障性安居工程建设任务后,今年提出的700万套建设目标,本身就是调低后的结果。

According to the existing plan,“1025”period,Our country indemnificatory comfortable housing project construction scale for 36 million sets,to“1025”End cover 20% of urban residents。In fact,In the finished last year 10 million sets of indemnificatory comfortable housing project construction task,Put forward this year 7 million sets of construction goal,Itself is the result of lower after。

  在陈国强看来,这样的调整很有必要。“3600万套建设任务的提出,恐怕缺乏细致的论证。且在指标的分配上,并未充分考虑到地方政府的实际需求。”

In Chen guoqiang seems,This adjustment is necessary。“36 million sets of the task of construction is put forward,I'm afraid the lack of meticulous argumentation。And in the allocation of index,Did not fully considering the actual demand of the local government。”

  近期,河南省审计厅披露的一项对全省6个省辖市保障性安居工程的审计结果显示,6个省辖市廉租房的空置率高达51%,同时还有4000多户家庭被审计出违规享受保障房待遇。

recent,Henan province ShenJiTing revealed a for the six cities indemnificatory comfortable housing project audit results show that,Six cities of the housing vacancy rate reaches as high as 51%,At the same time, there are more than 4000 families were audit out illegal enjoy security room treatment。

  然而,保障房空置的问题绝非是个别现象。业内人士表示,即便是在外来人口较多的北京,部分保障房项目也存在入住率低的现象。

however,Security room vacant problem is by no means individual phenomenon。The personage inside course of study says,Even in the floating population more Beijing,Part of the security room program also exists the phenomenon of low occupancy rate。

  山东某市住建部门负责人向记者表示,该市的居民自有住房率高、外来人口少,今年却被分配到数千套廉租房的建设任务,无法做到与需求的准确对接。有业内人士指出,由于房屋普查数据的缺失和人口流动性增加,地方政府很难准确计算出保障房的真实需求,从而也难以针对这些需求启动保障房建设。

Shandong city live built department person in charge told reporters,The inhabitants of the city has its own high occupancy rate、Floating population less,This year it was assigned to the construction of low-rent houses thousands of task,Couldn't do it and demand accurate butt。The personage inside course of study points out,Due to the lack of housing census data and population increase liquidity,The local government is difficult to accurately calculate the safeguard room real demand,And according to these needs to start safeguard room construction。

  去年年底,住建部部长姜伟新曾透露出调整的可能性。他在答复全国人大关于城镇保障性住房建设和管理工作情况进行专题询问时表示,“十二五”规划的3600万套保障房,根据实际情况,或会调整变化。

By the end of last year,Live JianBu minister he had revealed the possibility of adjustment。In his reply to the National People's Congress about town indemnificatory housing construction and management work to carry out special inquiry, said,“1025”Planning 36 million sets of safeguard room,According to the practical situation,Or will adjust change。

  据了解,在国务院督查组的本轮督查中,了解保障房建设和分配情况是一个重要方面。有业内人士认为,这次督查发现的情况,可能作为未来保障房建设规模调整的依据。(记者 张敏)

It is understood,The state council DuZhaZu in the epicycle in supervision,Understand security room construction and distribution is an important aspect。The personage inside course of study thinks,The findings of supervision,May for future security room construction scale adjustment basis。(Reporter ZhangMin)



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