昨天，国家统计局公布数据显示，虽然房价同比下降的城市仍在增加，但是从更能反映房价走势的环比数据来看，7月份房价环比上涨的城市数量显著增加，新建商品住宅(不含保障性住房)环比价格上涨的城市有50个，占比超过70%。市场分析人士认为，楼市的反弹已成共识，但反弹力度还在可控范围内。

yesterday，The national bureau of statistics released data show，Although house prices lower than a city is still in the increase，But from the more can reflect the house price movements link data to see，July house prices link to rise significantly increased the number of cities in the，New commodity residential house(Does not contain the indemnificatory housing)Link prices in city has 50，Accounted for more than 70% than。Market analysts believe that，The property market rebound has become a consensus，But the rebound strength is still in controllable range。

全国情况 The national situation

七成城市房价上涨 Urban house price rising seventy percent

　　今年1-6月，全国新房环比涨价的城市分别为0个、4个、8个、3个、6个和25个。7月，这一数字大幅反弹，比6月增加了25个。与6月份相比，70个大中城市中，价格较上月下降的城市有9个，持平的城市有11个，上涨的有50个，超过上半年总和。7月也成为了自2011年5月以后房价上涨城市最多的一个月。从价格涨幅看，7月份新建商品住宅环比价格上涨的城市中，涨幅均未超过0.7%。

1 - June this year，The bridal chamber link price city were 0、four、eight、three、6 and 25。July，The digital rebound sharply，More than 6 months increased 25。Compared with June，In 70 large and medium-sized cities，Price is down last month the city has nine，At the city has 11，Rising have 50，More than in the first half of the total。July also became since May 2011 prices after the city a maximum one month。From the price rise see，July new commodity housing link prices in the city，Or were not more than 0.7%。

　　二手房市场方面，与6月份相比，70个大中城市中价格下降的城市有20个，持平的有12个，上涨的有38个，比6月份增加7个，创近一年多来的最高。环比价格上涨的城市中，涨幅均未超过2.2%。同比看，70个大中城市中，价格下降的城市有59个，上涨的有11个。7月份，同比价格上涨的城市中，涨幅均未超过2.5%，涨幅比6月份回落的城市有6个。

Second-hand housing markets，Compared with June，70 large and medium-sized cities prices fall in the city has 20，At the twelve，There are 38 to rise，Increase than June 7，Gen nearly more than a year to the highest。Link prices in the city，Or were not more than 2.2%。Up to see，In 70 large and medium-sized cities，The decrease in the prices of city has 59，Rising 11。In July，Up prices in the city，Or were not more than 2.5%，Or than June dropped city have six。

北京数据 Beijing data

二手房涨幅超新房 Second-hand house or super bridal chamber

　　就北京的数据来看，7月新房和二手房价格环比双双上涨。新建商品住宅方面，今年7月本市新建商品住宅价格同比下跌1.0%，环比涨幅为0.3%，涨幅与上月持平；二手房方面，7月本市二手房价格环比也上涨0.3%，涨幅比上月增加0.1个百分点，同比下降2.5%。

Beijing data to see，July bridal chamber and the second-hand house price link both rise。New commodity housing aspects，In July this city new commodity housing price fell 1.0% year-on-year，Link up 0.3%，Or the previous month；Second-hand house aspects，July the city second-hand house price link also rose 0.3%，Or more than 0.1% increase last month，2.5% year-on-year drop。

　　作为一线城市的代表，北京7月房价走势也代表了许多一线城市的房价走势。从一线城市数据看，指标连续两月环比全面上涨，其中二手房价格上涨幅度明显超过新建住宅。北京、上海和广州7月份的新建商品住宅销售价格环比分别上涨了0.3%、0.1%和0.2%，二手房价格环比分别上涨了0.3%、0.2%和0.7%。

As a representative of the city line，Beijing on July house prices also represents the trend of many a line city house price movements。From a line city data to see，Two consecutive index rising comprehensive y/y，The second-hand house prices significantly more than new housing。Beijing、Shanghai and guangzhou July new commodity residential sales price link up 0.3% respectively、0.1% and 0.2%，Second-hand house price link up 0.3% respectively、0.2% and 0.7%。

解读 interpretation

调控政策从严执行大幅反弹希望不大 Regulation policy strictly execute rebound sharply hope not

　　链家地产市场研究部常清认为，从数据上看，7月房价环比上涨的城市较6月明显增多，整体房价止跌态势基本形成。7月多城市房价上涨主要有两方面原因：一是成交增长明显推动价格上涨，7月份全国购房需求爆发明显，多地成交量创调控新高。

Chain home real estate market research that temperamental predominance，From the data on the，July house prices link rising city is a significant increase in June，The whole house prices situation basic formation reason。July city house price rising more than there are two main reasons：One is to clinch a deal growth significantly pushed up prices，The outbreak in July the pent-up demand significantly，Many high volume and regulation。

　　7月下旬，国务院派出8个督查组赴16省市检查房产调控落实情况，8月6日，督查工作正式宣告收官。业内普遍认为国务院督查行动将为后续储备政策出台做准备。

Late July，The state council sent eight DuZhaZu 16 provinces and cities to check real estate regulation to carry out the situation，6 August，The work of protecting an officially declared。The industry generally believe that the state council action of supervision for subsequent reserves to prepare policies。

　　北京中原市场研究部总监张大伟表示，稳增长压力下，中央坚持调控的决心从未动摇，调控政策大幅加码的可能性小，从目前整体经济发展情况来看，对房地产的依赖依然很大，而且本轮市场复苏主要是因为信贷出现宽松，并非房地产本身政策松绑。若已有政策能从严执行，则市场不具备大幅反弹的条件。

Beijing central plains market research department director ZhangDaWei said，Steady growth under pressure，The central insist on control determination never moved，Regulation policy significantly less likely to pyramid，From the overall economic development situation，The dependence of real estate is still great，And this market recovery is mainly because credit appear loose，Not real estate policy easing itself。If you have already policy can strictly implement，The market does not have the condition of rebound sharply。