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温州炒房客笑称“崩盘”只是传说 或转战商业地产--亲稳舆论引导监测室
2012-08-26

  中新网杭州8月22日电(记者 夏毅 实习生 吴佳蔚)对于,近日网传温州炒房团对阵“史上最严厉”房地产调控,其结果“全军覆没”、“血本无归”的说法,一位重量级温州房客陈海(化名)笑着告诉中新网记者,用“崩盘”来形容温州炒房团的现状并不恰当,准确地说应该是少数人的“退市”和多数人的“转战”,而内陆城市和商业地产将是他们接下来的投资重心。

Hangzhou local fars news agency reported on August 22 (xinhua) --(Reporter XiaYi interns WuJiaWei)for,Recently the wenzhou and form a group against“In the history of the most severe”Real estate regulation,The results“Completely annihilated”、“Lose everything”that,A heavyweight wenzhou Fried tenants Chen hai was(alias)Smile and tell a reporter,with“crash”To describe the present situation of wenzhou form a group is not appropriate,Accurately said it should be a minority“delisted”And most people's“fought”,And the inland city and commercial real estate will be their next investment center of gravity。

  陈海是温州炒房团的一名大股东,最早进入房地产领域是2001年。据他透露,温州炒房团中近70%的炒房客已做好伺机抄底的准备。

Chen hai was is wenzhou form a group's a big shareholders,The first into the real estate field is 2001 years。According to his revealed,Wenzhou form a group of nearly 70% of Fried tenant ready to bided copy the bottom preparation。

  “当时出于置办婚房的需要,我和我太太购买了一套100多平米的商品房。之后发现房价上涨的幅度远远超出了大家的想象,于是便有了投资房地产的想法。”陈海道出了最初的炒房原因。

“When out of stock up on marriage room needs,My wife and I bought a set of more than 100 square meters of commercial housing。Then find that the house prices rising amplitude far beyond people's imagination,Then there is the idea of the investment real estate。”ChenHaiDao out of the original form a reason。

  虽然大多数人认为“房价完全是温州人"炒"出来的”,但在他看来,温州人之所以“炒房”正是因为看到了房地产行业商机无限的市场前景,属于“看涨买进”,而非有意“哄抬房价”。

Although most people think“House prices are completely wenzhou people"Fried"Out of the”,But in his opinion,Wenzhou people have“form”It is because see the real estate industry market prospects and opportunities,Belong to“Bullish buy”,Rather than to“Whooping house prices”。

  

温州炒房客:“崩盘”只是个传说 Wenzhou Fried tenants:“crash”Is just a legend

  2012年上半年,为巩固房地产调控成果,中央政府坚持房地产调控不动摇,继续坚决抑制投资投机需求,对触及到限购限价底线的举动严防死堵。

In the first half of 2012,To consolidate the real estate regulation results,The central government adhere to the real estate regulation not be moved,Continue to firmly inhibition investment speculative demand,To reach the purchasing price bottom line move take strict precautions against death plugging。

  如此高压政策下,自2012年1月起,全国十大重点城市成交面积环比几乎全面下跌。中国房地产数据研究院数据显示,今年上半年,杭州曾出现近69.50%的跌幅,为重点城市之最;截至7月,温州新房价格比2010年房价最高位时,下降约30%—40%。这导致许多温州炒房客出现不同程度的亏损。

So high pressure policy,Since January 2012,National top ten key city clinch a deal area link almost complete fall。China's real estate data research data shows,In the first half of this year,Hangzhou has been nearly 69.50% decline,As the key of the city;By July,Wenzhou new house prices in 2010 when house prices in the top position,Drop about 30% - 40%。This led to many wenzhou Fried tenants appear different degree of loss。

  不过,陈海也表示,说崩盘是夸大其辞,的确有部分投资者逐渐脱离了炒房团,回归本业,但大多数温州炒房客并没有全部撤资。“目前,有70%的炒房客已准备好伺机抄底。”

but,Chen hai was also said,Said crash is exaggerated,Have some investors gradually from the form a group,Regression inheritance,But most of the wenzhou Fried tenant does not have all pull the plug。“At present,70% of the Fried tenant ready to bided copy the bottom。”

  在记者的调查中,陈海的观点也得到了其他温州炒房客的赞同。“虽然我们在温州、上海等地的物业减持幅度达到50%,甚至80%以上,但保留物业的数量依旧可观,其升值空间也非常大。”一位炒房客告诉记者。

With the reporter's investigation,Chen hai was point of view also got other wenzhou Fried tenants approval。“Although we in wenzhou、Shanghai property to reduce their holdings of amplitude reached 50%,Even more than 80%,But the number of retained property is still significant,The appreciation space also is very big。”A Fried tenants told reporters。

  陈海告诉记者,温州炒房团因房价下调的亏损不超过10%,失足主要缘于民间借贷。

Chen hai was told reporters,Wenzhou form a group for house prices falling losses not more than 10%,Slip the main resulting from folk loan。

  

转战投资重心:内陆城市和商业地产 Fought investment focus:Inland city and commercial real estate

  从2003年至今,温州炒房团经历了全球金融危机的严寒,顶住了国家房产调控的重压,其队伍逐渐发展壮大,又在商业激流中谋求转型,堪称市场经济的一朵奇葩。

From 2003 to now,Wenzhou form a group experienced a global financial crisis in the cold,The national real estate regulation against overpressure,The team have been developed,And in the business in the stream of seeking transformation,Market economy is a rarity。

  来自温州中小企业促进会的统计数据显示,2008年到2010年期间,温州在房地产市场的资金规模约为1000亿元,而历史最高峰达到2000亿元。

From the wenzhou small and medium-sized enterprise association of the statistical data shows,During 2008 to 2010,Wenzhou real estate market in the capital scale is about 100 billion yuan,And the highest in history up to 200 billion yuan。

  “我们接下来的主要投资重心会从长三角等沿海大城市向内陆城市迁移,同时也要从住房投资转战商业地产及大宗物业领域。”陈海坦言,随着国家一轮接一轮的房地产调控政策出台,使得商品住房投资的吸引力日益消退,反观商业地产项目,“政策几十年如一日”,具有不限购不限贷、可投资性强、回报期长等优势。

“We the next major investment will focus from the Yangtze river delta and other coastal cities to inland city migration,At the same time, but also from the housing investment from commercial real estate and bulk property field。”Chen hai was said,Along with the country round after round of real estate regulation policies,Make commodity housing investment attraction increasingly subsidise,In commercial real estate project,“Policy dozens of years as one day”,Do not be restricted with unlimited credit、But investment strong、The advantages of the long return period。

  陈海认为,温州资本之所以对房地产行业青睐有加,不仅仅是由于该行业可在较短的投资周期内获得较高回报率,更是因为目前确实“无合适的投资出路”,因此,才加剧了温州资本的“热钱化”,同时促成了温州炒房团的诞生。

Chen hai was think,The real estate industry of wenzhou capital to add favour,Is not only because the industry can be in a relatively short period of investment period get a higher rate of return,But because at present indeed“No suitable investment way”,therefore,Only exacerbated the wenzhou capital“Hot money change”,At the same time led to the birth of wenzhou form a group。

  

专家声音:温州炒房团太过乐观 Experts voice:Wenzhou form a group is too optimistic

  对于温商“过分”的乐观,一些专家也表示了自己的担忧。杭州双赢置业营销机构总经理章惠芳则称,温州资本转战商业地产可能面临“生在黄金地,未有黄金价”的尴尬。“商业地产有很长的投资回报周期,意味着一旦投资下去,还要经历漫长的运营,这对投资者的专业性是种考验,不是所有温商想炒就能炒得起来的。”

For temperature quotient“too”optimistic,Some experts also expressed his concern。Hangzhou win-win real estate marketing agencies ZhangHuiFang general manager, said,Wenzhou capital move commercial real estate may face“Born in gold to,No yellow gold”awkward。“Commercial real estate has a long investment return period,Means that once investment down,Experience even a long operation,The investors' professional is a test,Not all temperature traders want to fry can fry have to up。”

  中国指数研究院杭州分院研究总监曹旭东也认为,温州炒房团当下需关注的应是其自身如何解套而非抄底。“这很有可能是炒房客们希望他人能尽快接盘而所放出的"烟雾弹",商业地产领域也仅部分实力较雄厚的温商能顺利转入。”

China index research institute hangzhou branch director of research CaoXuDong also think,Wenzhou then need to be paid attention to form a group should be their own how to solution set of rather than copy the bottom。“This is likely to be Fried tenant hope others can as soon as possible flange and emitted"Smoke bomb",Commercial real estate is only part of the actual strength is abundant temperature quotient can smoothly into。”

  曹旭东还表示,目前商业地产亦处于历史高位,投资风险相较于住房是有过之而无不及。

CaoXuDong also said,The commercial real estate also at record highs,Investment risk compared with housing betters。



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