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专家预计癌症发病率未来10年还将走高--亲稳网络舆情监控室
2013-01-16
编者按:癌症已经连续五年成为北京市民的“头号杀手”!昨天本报发出这一报道后,引起读者的广泛关注。我们身边罹患癌症的人为什么越来越多?癌症高发的势头什么时候才能遏制住?癌症如何才能预防?不幸患了癌症又该如何对待?我们何时才能不再谈癌色变……从今天起,本报记者将约请专家,针对这些问题,为读者一一作答。
Editor's note:Cancer has five consecutive years become the citizens of Beijing"Number one killer"!This newspaper yesterday issued the report after,Draw the reader's attention.Our side cancer what more and more people?Cancer high-risk momentum when then can contain live?How to prevent cancer?Unfortunately cancer and how to treat?When we can no longer talk about cancer colour change...From this day onwards,Our reporter will invite experts,In the light of these problems,One answer for readers.
连续五年,北京市民的头号健康敌人一直是癌症。这个势头能很快逆转吗?北京市肿瘤防治研究办公室副主任王宁给出的答复不乐观:“10年之内,发病率肯定下不来;10年之内能进入平台期就不错了。”而专家的预测数据也给王宁提供了佐证:预计到2033年,中国人肺癌的发病会出现“井喷”,预计会有1800万人口患上肺癌,这个数字与北京、上海等大城市目前的人口数量基本相当。
Five consecutive years,The citizens of Beijing's health has been the enemy of cancer.The momentum can quickly reversed?Beijing cancer prevention and control research is deputy director of the office of the Wisconsin reply is not optimistic:"Ten years,Incidence sure doesn't go down;Ten years can enter the platform period is good."But experts predict data also provide the evidence to Wisconsin:It is estimated that by 2033,Chinese lung cancer incidence will appear"blowout",Is expected to have 18 million people suffering from lung cancer,The number and Beijing/Shanghai and other cities of the current population is basic.
为什么未来北京的癌症发病率会继续走高?王宁说,一个很主要的原因是人口老龄化。北京恶性肿瘤监测数据显示,50岁以后人群恶性肿瘤发病率逐渐升高,80岁达到发病的高峰,由此看来,如果北京市人口老龄化趋势得不到缓解,未来10年癌症发病图的曲线就不会掉下头来,而是会继续上升。
Why the future of Beijing cancer incidence of a disease will continue to go up?Wisconsin said,A very main reason is an aging population.Beijing malignant tumor monitoring data shows,After the age of fifty people malignant tumor incidence increased gradually,The 80 - year - old reach the peak,So it,If the trend of population aging is not ease,The next 10 years cancer graph curve will not off his head,But will continue to rise.
癌症的发病不是一朝一夕的事儿。北京大学肿瘤医院胃肠外科武爱文副主任说,从癌症发病的原因来看,发病人群接触和面对有毒有害因素是个长期积累的过程,从某种角度讲,癌症的发生有点像“慢性中毒”,致癌因素逐渐影响人的基因等遗传物质,先是“量变”而后发生“质变”,最终变成了癌。举个例子:像胃癌的发生,大多是在不良饮食和不良生活习惯等长期影响下,导致慢性胃炎逐步出现癌前病变和癌变,这个过程通常需要十多年甚至数十年。此外,值得关注的是,年轻化也是近年癌症发病的重要趋势之一,不过,具体原因尚不清楚,似乎和生活习惯、工作压力、遗传因素等综合因素有关。
The pathogenesis of cancer overnight thing.Beijing university tumour hospital gastrointestinal surgery, deputy director wu aiwen said,From the cause of the cancer to see,The crowd contact and in the face of the poisonous and harmful factors is a long-term process of accumulation,From a certain point of view,The occurrence of cancer is a bit like"Chronic poisoning",Carcinogenic factors gradually affect the person's genes and genetic material,first"quantitative"Then happen"Qualitative change",Eventually become a cancer.For example:As the occurrence of gastric cancer,Mostly in the bad diet and lifestyle and long-term influence,Lead to chronic gastritis step by step in precancerous lesions and cancer,The process is usually need more than ten years or even decades.In addition,There is concern,Young is an important trend in recent years one of the cancer,but,The reasons are unclear,Seems to be and living habits/Working pressure/Genetic factors, such as the comprehensive factors.
恶性肿瘤是威胁人类健康和生命的重要疾病之一。除了头发、牙齿和手指(脚趾)甲以外,几乎人体所有的部位、器官和组织都可以发生肿瘤。在众多的癌症种类中,最常见的就是肺癌。此外,还有一些多年前少见的癌症,现在成了高发癌。王宁介绍说,上世纪70年代,肺癌排在第一位,其次是胃癌、食管癌,这些上消化道癌症被称为“穷人癌”,在发展中国家比较常见。肝癌位居第四位,当时主要由肝炎引起;乳腺癌位居第五位。30多年前,下消化道癌症——结直肠癌甚至不能挤进前五名。现在,结直肠癌已经上升为第二位。武爱文说,结直肠癌,尤其是结肠癌是一种城市病,大鱼大肉吃得多,高蛋白、高脂肪饮食,运动减少,长期刺激结肠黏膜细胞,会诱发癌症。
Malignant tumor is a threat to human health and the life of one of the important diseases.In addition to the hair/Teeth and fingers(toes)Outside a,Almost all the parts of the human body/Organs and tissues can happen tumor.Among the many types of cancer,The most common is lung cancer.In addition,Some years ago a rare cancer,Now with a high incidence of cancer.Wisconsin said,In the 1970 s,Lung cancer the first in line,The second is the stomach/Esophageal cancer,The upper gastrointestinal cancer is called"Poor carcinoma",More common in developing countries.Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in the fourth,At that time the main cause by hepatitis;Breast cancer in fifth place.Thirty years ago,The digestive tract cancer, colorectal cancer can't even squeeze into the top five.now,Colorectal cancer has risen for the second.Wu said aiwen,Colorectal cancer,Especially colon cancer is a kind of city disease,Eat more fish and meat,High protein/High fat diet,Motion to reduce,Long-term stimulus colonic mucosa cells,Can cause cancer.
各种“腺”的癌在最近10年也出现了增长。最近10年来,与激素水平相关的癌症,如乳腺癌、前列腺癌、甲状腺癌等发展迅猛。36年来,乳腺癌始终稳坐女性癌症的头把交椅。王宁表示,本市城区乳腺癌的发病率
various"gland"The cancer in recent ten years also appeared growth.In recent ten years,And hormone level related to cancer,Such as breast cancer/Prostate cancer/The rapid development of thyroid cancer, etc.36 years,Breast cancer always sit tight in the head of the female cancer the best.Wisconsin says,The city city the incidence of breast cancer
明显高于郊区,这同现代女性大多晚育、不生育、拒绝母乳喂养或哺乳期较短、缺乏锻炼以及激素水平等诸多因素有关。同时,甲状腺癌成为发病增速最快的癌症,近10年平均增长率为14.2%。专家分析,这可能与现在检出技术提升有关。影像学检查技术的发展使得甲状腺癌的检出率大为提高,很多人都是在体检中发现甲状腺肿大,到医院进一步检查后确诊。好在甲状腺癌大多发现的比较早,治愈率比较高。
Is obviously higher than that of the suburbs,With the most modern woman childbirth/barren/Refuse to breastfeeding or lactation period shorter/Lack of exercise and hormone levels, and many other factors.At the same time,Thyroid cancer become the fastest growth of cancer,Nearly ten years has grown at an average rate of 14.2%.Expert analysis,This may and now detection technology to promote the.Radiographic inspection technology development makes the thyroid cancer detection rate rises greatly,A lot of people are found in medical thyroid enlargement,To the hospital after further inspection diagnosis.In thyroid cancer found most early,Cure rate is higher.
相关新闻 Related news
西城今起启动五癌免费筛查 Wl today start five cancer free screening
从今天起至3月15日,西城西长安街社区卫生服务中心启动肺癌、乳腺癌、大肠癌、上消化道癌、肝癌“五癌”高危人群免费筛查。
From this day onwards to March 15,,Wl west changan street community health service center to start the lung cancer/Breast cancer/Colorectal cancer/Upper gastrointestinal cancer/Liver cancer"Five carcinoma"Free screening high-risk groups.
40至69岁本市户籍常住居民(已确诊的肿瘤患者或患有其他严重疾病者除外),可就近选择西长安街社区卫生服务中心及其下属翠花社区、灵境社区和互助社区3家社区卫生站填写调查问卷进行评估,被确认为“五癌”高危人群者将可预约前往北京友谊医院免费进行相应癌种筛查。免费筛查名额有限,请符合条件的市民尽早报名。西长安街社区卫生服务中心电话为:66015873。(记者 贾晓宏 文并图)
Forty to 69 permanent residents registered permanent residence of this municipality(Has been diagnosed with cancer patients or other serious diseases except those),Can choose the nearest west changan street community health service center and its subordinate cui flower community/Lingjinghutong to community and mutual community three community clinic evaluate filling out a questionnaire,Identified as"Five carcinoma"The high risk population who will make an appointment to Beijing friendship hospital free accordingly of cancer screening.Free screening seats are limited,Please meet the conditions of the public register as early as possible.West changan street community health service center for the telephone:66015873.(Reporter JiaXiaoHong text and figure)
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