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调控政令严 房价难有大反弹——近期太原楼市面面观--亲稳网络舆情监测室
2012-07-25
中央坚持楼市调控政策,继续巩固楼市调控成果,旨在抑制房价反弹,促进房价合理回归。在这样的大背景下,太原楼市下一步何去何从?
The central adhere to the property market adjustment and control policies,Continue to consolidate market control results,To curb the house prices rebound,Promote the rational regression house prices。In this background,Taiyuan property market where to go next?
7月13日,记者走访了省城的多个楼盘售楼部,一探销售情况。
July 13,,The reporter interviewed more than the provincial capital building dish of sales,See sales。
上午九点半,在位于长风桥东的恒实地产紫金谷售楼中心,已经有两家人分别拿着户型图向置业顾问了解情况。记者问起了去年以来的房价限购政策对于开发商的影响,该置业顾问坦言,去年年底是开发商最难熬的时期。但是,进入今年情况逐渐好转,尤其是到了6月份已经有了一定的回暖迹象,整个6月份卖出了大约40套房子。
At 9:30 a.m.,At the destination in the study on the purple and gold center of the valley,Already two family with a family respectively to home buyers consultant figure to understand。The reporter asked him about the house prices since last year 限购 policy for the influence of the developers,The home buyers consultant said,The end of last year is the most difficult time of developers。but,Into this year the situation is getting better,Especially in June to there is some signs of buoyancy,The June sold about 40 house。
在位于长风街建设路口的万科紫台售楼中心,虽然已经接近中午,但是依然有四五个人在看房。柔和的灯光,祥和的乐曲,看房者坐在沙发上了解情况。置业顾问郝先生同样表示,去年年底的确是开发商最为寒冷的时期,当时有购房者前来看房,第一句话不是问当前价格多少,而是问今天降了多少。但是到了今年,尤其是前段时间央行连续调息,楼市有所松动。7月底和8月底,万科房地产将会有两个新楼盘开盘,今年下半年还会有其他楼盘陆续开盘。
In the construction of the crossroads located in changfeng street vanke purple Taiwan center,Although has been close to noon,But still have four or five people in the apartment now。Downy lamplight,Peaceful music,The checking sit on sofa to understand。Home buyers consultant Mr Hao also says,The end of last year is indeed the most developers cold period,When the person that buy a house to come to the apartment now,The first words not ask how much the current price,But ask how much down today。But in this year,Especially some time ago to the central bank for breath,Eased market。At the end of July and August,China vanke real estate will have two new building opening,The second half of this year will have some other building opened in succession。
记者了解到,楼市调控政策对于地产商、开发商而言有一定影响。省城一家房地产公司的负责人告诉记者,像万科、恒大等全国知名房企,有资金支撑,强调速度和规模,可以通过打折促销等方式吸引买房者,从而实现资金快速回笼,然后再去买地开发新项目,强调规模效应。而大量的中小房企,尤其是山西本土的一些房企,更多的是持观望态度。另一家房地产公司的负责人表示,楼市调控政策对于房地产商而言影响有大有小,虽然最寒冷的时期已经度过,但是整个市场仍处于“冬季”。如果商品房市场成交萎缩的话,有的房地产商可能会寻求商业地产投资等,以规避风险。
The reporter understands,Market control policy for developers、Developers have certain effect。A real estate company to the head of the provincial capital, told reporters,As China vanke、Evergrande famous room of the country such as enterprises,Have the funds to support,Emphasizing speed and scale,Can through the sale promotion attract homeowners,So as to realize the rapid cage funds,And then to buy the land development new project,Emphasize the scale effect of the。And a lot of little rooms in enterprises,Especially some of the enterprises in shanxi local room,More is a wait-and-see attitude。Another of the real estate company head says,Market control policy for the real estate business impact for is big is small,Although the most cold period have spent,But the market is still in“winter”。If commodity house market clinch a deal atrophy words,Some real estate business may seek commercial real estate investment, etc,To avoid risk。
从开盘数量上,也能看出些端倪。据搜房网数据监控中心统计,截至6月26日,太原上半年共有38个楼盘开盘,同比下跌17.4%。在经过2011年下半年市场的浓厚观望期后,从2012年开始,开发商的推盘可谓是步步为营。2012年一季度的开盘项目数量较少,而且其中很多项目的开盘时间一拖再拖,开发商动作谨慎保守。二季度开盘数量增长明显,5月开盘楼盘更是高达12个,截至6月26日,开发商已开盘7个项目,而在月底计划开盘的楼盘还有13个之多。7月份预计有15个项目开盘。
From the opening number,Can also see that some clue。According to search room net data monitoring center statistics,By June 26,,In the first half of taiyuan with 38 a building opening,Year-on-year fall by 17.4%。In the second half of 2011 after years of watching after strong market phase,From 2012 to,Developers push it's plate covet petty。In 2012 the number of smaller opening quarter project,And many of the project procrastinated opening time,Developers action cautious conservative。In the second quarter of open quotation number increased substantially,May open quotation building dish is as high as 12,By June 26,,Developers have opened seven projects,And at the end of the month plan open quotation building and 13。In July 15 projects are expected to open quotation。
今年以来,太原楼市在1、2月份表现低迷,然后在3、4、5月份节节攀升。6月份,受央行降息影响,表现更是高昂。
Since this year,Taiyuan property in 1、Lacklustre in February,And then in three、4、Uptick in May。June,Central Banks cut interest rates by the impact,Performance also high。
记者了解到,今年1—6月份,太原市商品住宅成交均价分别为7738元/平方米、7724元/平方米、8186元/平方米、8559元/平方米、8598元/平方米、8022元/平方米;而根据中国指数研究院发布的数据,今年1—6月份,省城房价均价分别为5743元/平方米、5700元/平方米、5656元/平方米、5573元/平方米、5684元/平方米、5777元/平方米。这一价格囊括了普通商品住宅、别墅、经济适用房的报送价格。
The reporter understands,1-June this year,The price for the commodity residential house in taiyuan city respectively for 7738 yuan/square metre、7724 yuan/square metre、8186 yuan/square metre、8559 yuan/square metre、8598 yuan/square metre、8022 yuan/square metre;And, according to data released Chinese index academy,1-June this year,Average house prices are 5743 provincial capital yuan/square metre、5700 yuan/square metre、5656 yuan/square metre、5573 yuan/square metre、5684 yuan/square metre、5777 yuan/square metre。The price include general commodity residential house、villa、Economy is applicable the room price of the submitted。
从数据中不难看出,今年以来太原楼市价格较为稳定。另外,今年太原楼市成交量分别14.58万平方米、12.57万平方米、16.12万平方米、10.33万平方米、15.12万平方米、19.67万平方米,价格的变化和楼市的销量变化息息相关。
It is not hard to see from the data,Since this year taiyuan property market relatively stable prices。In addition,This year, taiyuan property market turnover 145800 square meters respectively、125700 square meters、161200 square meters、103300 square meters、151200 square meters、196700 square meters,Price changes and the housing market sales change is closely linked。
不过,在7月的第一周,太原楼市成交量却出现急转弯,7月2日—7月8日,太原市场量价环比大跌85%,成交均价与上周相比,环比下跌41%。
but,In the first week of July,Taiyuan property market turnover there is a sharp turn,July 2,-July 8,Taiyuan market plunge 85% month-on-month quantity and price,The price compared with last week,Annulus comparing fell 41%。
山西东祥房地产开发有限公司的一位负责人告诉记者,受楼市调控政策影响,去年年底和今年初,楼市低迷,但是房子是刚性需求,长时间的成交量萎缩,刚性需求持续积累到一定限度时,就需要有释放空间。今年央行两次调息,客观上对楼市形成一定利好,于是释放空间打开,楼市迎来“红六月”。但是刚需的释放需求并不强烈,进入7月后,楼市的成交量又有下滑迹象。今后到底是下滑还是上升,目前来看不好判断。
Shanxi east, real estate development Co., LTD. A controller told reporters,Market control policies by the impact,Late last year and earlier this year,The housing downturn,But the house is a basic need,Long time of turnover shrinking,Demand for rigid have accumulated limit,To release the space。This year the central bank two pranayama,Objectively about the housing form must be positive news,Then release open space,Property market in“Red June”。But just need to release demand is not strong,Into seven months later,The housing market volume and signs of decline。What is slow down or rise in the future,Now looks bad judgment。
当记者问起下半年太原房价走势时,也有一些业内人士做出了“不明朗”的回答。昌盛·双喜城销售中心的置业顾问梁先生表示,楼市调控政策对太原的影响,比起北京、上海等一线城市来要小得多,今后太原房价该走向何方,仍需市场来回答。而购房者的心情可以用“纠结”来形容:一方面希望以相对便宜的价格买房,另一方面又不知房价会否继续下跌,矛盾的心情是这一时期的最真实写照。
When a reporter asked him about house prices in the second half of taiyuan trend,Also have some in the industry to make“Not clear”answer。Prosperity · celebrates the sales center city home buyers consultant Mr. Liang said,Market control policies of the influence of taiyuan,Compared to Beijing、Shanghai first city are much smaller,House prices in the future where the taiyuan,Still need to market to answer。And the mood of the person that buy a house can be used“entanglements”To describe:On the one hand hope to the relatively cheap price to buy a house,On the other hand, don't know if home prices continue to fall,The mood of the contradictions of this period is the most true portraiture。
今年,我省保障性安居工程建设任务为33.23万套,计划完成投资400亿元。
This year,Our province supportability project construction task for 332300 live set,Plan completed investment of 40 billion yuan。
截至6月25日,我省今年新开工建设各类保障性住房20.33万套,占年度目标任务的61.18%;基本建成2.22万套,竣工0.39万套;完成投资132.08亿元,占年度计划的33.02%。可以看出,今年上半年以来,我省各类保障性住房开工建设工作稳步推进。
By June 25,,This year in new construction of all kinds of affordable housing 203300 sets,Accounting for 61.18% of the annual targets task;Basically completed 22200 sets,The completion of 03900;Completed investment of 13.208 billion yuan,Accounting for 33.02% of the annual plan。Can see,Since the first half of this year,In all kinds of affordable housing construction work steadily。
更加值得一提的是,近日省财政厅下达专项资金14.99亿元,其中廉租住房保障资金4.35亿元,公共租赁住房补助资金4.9亿元,城市棚户区改造专项资金5.74亿元,支持我省保障性安居工程建设。
More is worth mentioning,The province issued special financial capital is 1.499 billion yuan,One low-rent housing guarantee fund 435 million yuan,Public rental housing allowance fund 490 million yuan,Urban shanty towns transform special funds of 574 million yuan,Support affordable live in engineering construction。
今年,太原市计划新开工保障性住房有5万套,预计竣工各类保障性住房7600套。截止到6月底,已经新开工建设保障性安居工程27375套,已完成年度任务的55%。
This year,Taiyuan city start planning for a new affordable housing has 50000 sets,A: the completion of all kinds of affordable housing 7600 sets。By the end of June,Has the new construction of supportability project is 27375 sets of living,Has completed 55% of the annual task。
位于省城迎泽西大街南侧的西华苑三、四期保障房项目,是太原市首次面向社会建设的保障房,建设规模57.4万平方米,共6898套。其中,经济适用房有4503套,建设规模达42.92万平方米,分为三期1908套,四期2595套,预估平均价格为3017元/平方米和3134元/平方米。
Located in the south of the provincial capital of yinze XiDaJie west HuaYuan three、Four period guarantee room project,Is the first time for the society of taiyuan city construction guarantee room,Construction scale of 574000 square meters,A total of 6898 set。Among them,Economy is applicable the room there are 4503 sets,Construction scale of 429200 square meters,Divided into 3 stages of 1908 sets,Four period of 2595,Estimated average price for 3017 yuan/square meters and 3134 yuan/square metre。
7月17日上午,记者来到了这里。站在迎泽大街上眺望,21栋高楼非常显眼。三期项目的楼房外墙贴着白色、灰色、红棕色混合搭配的瓷砖,四期项目的楼房外墙贴着黄色和灰色的瓷砖,整体显得厚重而大气。记者了解到,西华苑小区内的经济适用房、廉租房、公租房内装修都已经基本完毕,外网配建正在紧张进行中。原计划于今年6月底交房,但是由于周边道路及污水的配套工程正在完善中,需要延期交房。太原安居房发展中心一位负责人说,目前施工单位正在努力协调,加班加点工作,确保工程质量,争取让所有住户早日安心入住。
The morning on July 17,,Reporter come to here。Standing in the yingze street in the same direction,21 high building is very conspicuous。Three stage project of building exterior wall on the white、gray、Red brown mix and match ceramic tile,Four stage project of building exterior wall on the yellow and gray ceramic tile,Whole appears thick and atmosphere。The reporter understands,West HuaYuan in the community economy is applicable the room、Low-cost housing、And in all the basic decorate rent has ended,The nets PeiJian are nervous。The original plan to make a room at the end of June this year,But because of surrounding roads and sewage supporting the project is perfect,Need to delay to pay。Taiyuan reside a room development center a controller said,At present the construction units are trying to coordinate,Work overtime,Ensure the engineering quality,Get all household secure check-in at an early date。
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