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国房景气指数创新低 楼市库存量仍居高位--亲民维稳网络舆情监测室
2012-07-29
国家统计局昨日发布的上半年全国房地产开发和销售情况显示,6月份国房景气指数进一步滑落至94.71,创下了自2001年以来新低。
The national bureau of statistics released yesterday during the first half of the real estate development and sales information display,June GuoFang confidence further slipped to 94.71,A new low since 2001。
虽然6月份各地土地市场回暖明显,但统计数据显示,前6个月,房地产开发企业土地购置面积17543万平方米,同比下降19.9%,;土地成交价款3441亿元,下降13.3%。6月份成交的向好缩小了商品房销售面积的同比降幅,前6个月商品房销售面积39964万平方米,同比下降10.0%,降幅比1-5月份缩小2.4个百分点。
Although all over in June land market warms up obvious,But statistics show,6 months before,Real estate development enterprise land purchase area of 175.43 million square meters,19.9% year-on-year drop,;Clinch a deal the price of land is 344.1 billion yuan,Down 13.3%。In June, a better off narrowed area of the home sales year-on-year drop,The first six months of home sales area of 399.64 million square meters,10.0% year-on-year drop,More than 1-may drop down to 2.4%。
6月末,商品房待售面积31408万平方米,比5月末增加669万平方米。亚太城市房地产研究院院长谢逸枫认为,去商品房库存依然是下半年房企最首要任务,当前商品房库存量达到前所未有的庞大,创下全国商品房库历史最高峰,超过2011年全国商品房库存第一次高峰,而商品房库存量增速创下二次最高,仅低于2008年商品房库存增长下降5.2%。表明全国楼市的库存压力增加。虽然刚需市场回暖减轻了部分商品房库存压力,但是全国商品房库存仍处在历史最高位,特别是下半年还将有大量新货上市,大部分企业仍将采取跑量为主的策略。
6 month,Commodity house for sale area of 314.08 million square meters,End of may increase than 6.69 million square meters。The city real estate research institute President XieYiFeng think,Stock is still the second half to commodity house the most primary task room enterprises,The current inventories of commercial housing unprecedented huge,The national commodity house a library history's highest peak,More than 2011 national commodity house inventory first peak,And commodity house inventories fastest growth in second highest,Just below the 2008 stock down 5.2% growth commodity house。Indicates that the nation's stock market pressure increased。Although just need to market warms up, reduce the pressure of commodity house inventory,But the national commodity house inventory is still in record levels,Especially the second half will also have a large new goods on the market,Most of the enterprise will still take run mainly of strategy。
“下半年政策的调整都不会直接针对房地产调控本身,主要会通过税费、货币政策的调整来达到支持刚需的目的。”谢逸枫说,首先考虑到购房贷款和企业成本上涨,再降息两次和再降准两次;其次是调整房贷首套首付和利率及公积金政策等普通住房贷款。考虑到购房者的经济收入与支付能力,支持刚性和改善购房合理需求。再次是调整房地产市场交易税费,给刚需和改善合理购房者适当的减、免税费优惠政策。
“The second half of the adjustment of the policy won't directly to real estate regulation itself,Will mainly through the taxes、Monetary policy adjustment to achieve the purpose of support just need。”XieYiFeng said,First consider to purchase loans and enterprise cost rises,To cut rates twice and drop allowed two times;Second is to adjust the first set of mortgage interest rates down and and accumulation fund policy common housing loans。Considering the person that buy a house of the income and the ability to pay,Support the rigid and improve purchase reasonable requirement。Once again, is the real estate market transaction tax adjustment,Just need to improve the person that buy a house and reasonable appropriate decreases、Avoid tax preferential policies。
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