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沪上楼市“淡季不淡”--亲民维稳网络舆情监测室
2012-08-04
近日,国家统计局发布2012年6月70个大中城市住宅销售价格变动情况,与上月相比,70个大中城市新建商品住宅(不含保障性住房)价格6月环比下降的有21个,持平的有24个,上涨的有25个。值得注意的是,北上广深四大一线城市房价企稳迹象明显,北京、上海、广州6月一手房价格分别环比上升0.3%、0.2%和0.2%;深圳的新建住宅价格指数虽环比下降0.1%,但降幅也较5月有所收窄。
recently,The national bureau of statistics released in June 2012 in 70 major city residential sales price changes,Compared with last month,In 70 major cities new commodity residential house(Do not contain affordable housing)The price of the decline of the 6 y/y 21,24 have flat,The rise is 25。Note the,North is expected to four a city house prices stabilising obvious signs,Beijing、Shanghai、Guangzhou June a housing prices were up 0.3% month-on-month、0.2% and 0.2%;Shenzhen new residence price index is down 0.1% month-on-month,But also a drop may have narrow。
汉宇地产认为,造成部分城市价格企稳回升的原因有三个:首先,部分房企在成交量放大影响下,逐步收窄优惠幅度,有些项目甚至取消优惠。其次,货币政策适度宽松加速催化蓄池中的刚性和改善型购房者的置业步伐,并潜移默化的改变了买卖双方心态,进而使房价预期走势发生变化。第三,中高端项目热销直接拉高了房价的平均水平。
Han yu real estate think,Caused part city stabilising the cause of the price rise has three:first,Part of the room the enterprises under the influence of the volume to increase,Gradually narrowing the discount rate,Some projects, or even cancel the discount。second,Monetary policy loose moderate accelerated catalytic storage pool of rigid and improve the type of the person that buy a house home buyers pace,And subtle change the buyers and sellers mentality,And the prices are expected to trends change。The third,In high-end projects directly sell like hot cakes the average level of the push up house prices。
21世纪不动产上海区域分析师黄河滔则表示,今年以来一线城市的新建商品房成交都保持回升趋势,量升带动价涨是市场规律使然。可以预见的是,一线城市房价触底表明楼市回暖趋势基本确立,如果政策环境不发生变化,预计未来房价将有一个逐步回升过程。
21 real estate analyst, said HuangHeTao Shanghai area,Since this year a new line of city commercial remain clinch a deal the upward trend,Quantity price rise is driven up market rule them。It is expected,A city house prices hit bottom line that property market warms up trend is basically established,If the policy environment don't change,The expected future house prices will have a gradually picks up process。
上海方面,数据显示,6月上海新建商品住宅成交102.1万平方米,较5月同期提升26.6%。受5、6月成交明显放量影响,上半年申城新建住宅成交合计达到3.2万套,共385.3万平方米,同比仅分别回落4.13%和0.25%。从价格看,成交均价受结构性因素影响非常明显。上半年除2月外,上海一手房成交均价始终位于2.2万元/平方米上方,其中6月商品住宅均价更突破2.4万元/平方米,达到近18个月新高。而豪宅市场近期回暖,则是成交均价走高的主要推手,数据显示,6月申城千万以上豪宅市场的成交异常抢眼,成交套数达481套,成交面积占6月新房总成交量十分之一。其中,市中心地标级顶级公寓,如新鸿基滨江凯旋门、中粮海景、华润外滩九里等的成交表现尤为平稳。
Shanghai,Data shows,June Shanghai new clinch a deal the commodity residential house of 1.021 million square meters,More may promote 26.6% in the same period。By 5、June y109.52 to clinch a deal obvious influence,Shanghai new residence in the first half of 32000 amounted to clinch a deal,A total of 3.853 million square meters,Year-on-year drop of 4.13% and 0.25% respectively only。Look from the price,By structural factors affect the price is very apparent。In the first half in February,Shanghai a room the price always located at 22000 yuan/square metre above,Six of the commodity residential house more breakthroughs on average 24000 yuan/square metre,To nearly 18 months high。But a person of extraordinary powers curtilage market recent thaw,Is the price to high main push,Data shows,6 months above a person of extraordinary powers curtilage the Shanghai market clinch a deal never abnormal grab an eye,Clinch a deal a cycle of 481 set,Clinch a deal the area accounts for June bridal chamber total trade volume one over ten。Among them,Landmark downtown top grade apartment,Such as sun hung kai binjiang arc DE triomphe、Cofco seaview、Nine of the bund in China resources clinch a deal is stable performance。
进入7月后,上海楼市也表现出“淡季不淡”的特点,21世纪不动产上海区域市场研究部的统计数据显示,7月前15天上海新建商品住宅成交面积达43.9万平方米,较6月同期提升7.6%。其中,上周(7月9日—15日)全市一手住宅成交合计成交1766套,成交面积为21.1万平方米,环比分别提升9.42%、5.53%。同时,受改善性需求的入市支撑,中高端、大面积产品逐步热销的成交结构得到延续,前期销售良好的华润外滩九里等楼盘目前亦有新推房源入市,这也促使近期上海楼市整体均价维持在2.5万元/平方米关口,其中上周新建商品住宅成交均价约2.54万元/平方米,环比提升1.82%。
Into seven months later,Shanghai property market also show“Off-season don't light”Characteristics of,21 real estate market research department of Shanghai area statistics,July 15 days before the new Shanghai clinch a deal the commodity residential house an area of 439000 square meters,A June 7.6% increase to the same period。Among them,Last week(July 9,-15)The city a total of 1766 residential clinch a deal to clinch a deal,Clinch a deal the area of 211000 sq. Meters,Annulus promote 9.42% respectively、5.53%。At the same time,By improving the entry sexual needs support,In high-end、Large area of the product sell like hot cakes gradually clinch a deal structure has continued,Sales of the good China resources the bund in building such as nine now also have new push, expand the market,It also encourages recent Shanghai property market overall average maintained at 25000 yuan/square metre pass,One new commodity residential house last week the price of about 25400 yuan/square metre,Annulus comparing increased by 1.82%。
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