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楼市过量反弹或引发新一轮调控--亲稳舆论引导监测室
2012-08-05

  楼市反弹再次引起高层关注。据悉,国务院决定从7月下旬开始,派出8个督查组,对16个省(市)贯彻落实国务院房地产市场调控政策措施情况开展专项督查

Housing rebound has again raised the top concern。It is reported,The state council has decided to start from late July,A DuZhaZu sent 8,16 provinces(city)Implementation of the real estate market regulation policy measures under the state council to launch special superintendent himself。

  专业人士分析,楼市的反弹、土地市场的异动、房地产市场潜在的金融风险已引起高层关注,楼市的过量反弹或可引发进一步的调控。

Professional personage analysis,Housing rebound、The land market moved、The real estate market potential financial risk has caused high-level attention,The housing market excessive bounce back or can cause further regulation。

  此次督查的重点是检查住房限购措施执行情况,差别化住房信贷政策执行情况,住房用地供应和管理情况,税收政策执行和征管情况。国务院督查组将深入有关部门和机构核查政策落实情况,实地查看商品住房项目,听取基层群众意见和建议。对落实房地产市场调控政策措施有偏差、不到位的,国务院督查组将督促进行整改。

The superintendent himself is the focus of the housing 限购 measures implementation to check,Differentiation housing credit policy implementation,Housing land supply and management,Tax policy implementation and collection。The state council DuZhaZu will further the relevant departments and agencies check policy implementation,Field check goods housing project,Listen to the masses comments and Suggestions。The real estate market to implement policies and measures to control a deviation、Not in the position of,The state council DuZhaZu will urge for improvement。

  据了解,此次督查的地区包括北京市、天津市、河北省、辽宁省、吉林省、上海市、江苏省、浙江省、福建省、山东省、河南省、湖北省、湖南省、广东省、重庆市、四川省。

According to understand,The area includes the supervision of Beijing、tianjin、Hebei province、Liaoning province、Jilin province、Shanghai、Jiangsu province、Zhejiang province、Fujian province、Shandong province、Henan province、Hubei province、Hunan province、Guangdong province、chongqing、Sichuan province。

  从2011年以“国八条”为标志的新一轮最严厉调控到现在,中央对楼市调控的坚定态度与地方政府对调控政策的不断微调的博弈始终没有间断。另外,随着房企资金链压力的加大,房地产贷款和信托风险逐渐暴露,房地产市场金融风险加剧。业内人士认为,政府仍需严控风险,不排除后续出台新规的可能。

From 2011 years“Countries article 8”The new round of the most severe marked regulation to now,The central committee of the property market regulation and local governments to firm attitude adjustment and control policies constantly fine-tune the game never stopped。In addition,Along with the room of more pressure capital chain enterprises,Real estate loans and trust risk exposed gradually,The real estate market increased financial risk。The personage inside course of study thinks,The government still needs tight control of risk,Don't rule out the possibility of new rules on follow-up。

  北京中原市场研究部总监张大伟分析认为,中央最近多次强调从严调控,但地方希望松绑的博弈依然在频繁出现,且力度有进一步加大的趋势。近日相继传出河南松动改善需求及珠海再次提及限价、限购调整的消息,虽然最后都作为谣传被终结,但其传递出地方政府对楼市调控松绑意愿很强烈。其带来的后果是购房者对政策松动的担忧、对市场反弹的恐慌。国务院督查行动透露出楼市反弹已引起高层关注,过量反弹或可引起进一步的调控。

Beijing central plains market research department director ZhangDaWei analysis thinks,Many times that strictly control the central recently,But the place where the game is still in easing to frequent,And a further increase the strength of the trend。Recently have spread to improve henan loose demand and zhuhai again mention price fixing、The news of the adjustment of the 限购,Although in the end as the rumor is the end,But the local government to deliver the property market will relax regulation was very strong。Of its consequences is the person that buy a house to policy loose concerns、To market the bounce of the panic。The state council action of supervision, revealed property market rebound has caused high-level attention,Excessive bounce back or can cause further regulation。

  虽然楼市处于调控期,但目前地产市场金融风险在加剧。虽然二季度房地产新增贷款增长明显,但是房企的国内融资渠道并未明显改善,最近海外融资进入活跃时期,融资规模和力度加大。从3月开始,全国范围内的房地产市场回暖,房企回笼资金明显增加,但是部分房企的资金链压力依然紧张。链家地产市场研究部常清认为,从房企目前披露的半年报预告和快报情况来看,超过半数的房企在上半年的利润出现亏损或者同步下滑,经营风险增加。而资金运作能力较弱的房企盲目的逆市扩张可能会面临较大的风险。

Although the property market in adjustment period,But the real estate market financial risks in the worse。Although two quarterly real estate new loan growth is obvious,But the financing channels of domestic enterprises room did not significantly improved,Recent overseas financing into active period,Financing scale and strengthened。Beginning in March,Nationwide real estate market buoyancy,Room enterprises of receivables increased significantly,But part of the room of the enterprise capital chain pressure still nervous。Chain's real estate market research that temperamental predominance,From the house of the high current disclosure half annals forecast and express the situation,More than half of the room enterprises in the first half of the year profit or loss synchronous to slide,Increased risk management。And capital operation ability weak room enterprises blind inverse city expansion may face greater risk。

  随着五六月份市场的活跃,房企拿地也逐渐积极,最近全国土地市场整体溢价率呈上涨趋势。链家地产市场研究部对20大重点城市住宅土地市场的监测显示,土地成交溢价率从前5月均低于5%的平均水平上上涨至7月的18%,同时北京、天津、广州等地也开始出现地王,最近房企拿地积极性可见一斑。房企高价拿地加剧运营风险。常清认为,从目前的政策走势来看,调控政策不动摇且收紧趋势明显。房地产贷款和信托风险逐渐暴露,已引起监管层的警觉,预计下半年房企融资依旧难以大幅放松,房地产行业的前景依然不容乐观。

As of June or may the active market,Room and also gradually positive to enterprises,Recently the national land market overall premium rate are rising trend。House property market research to chain 20 big key city residential land market monitoring display,Land premium rate was five standard clinch a deal less than 5% of the average level of the July rose to 18%,At the same time Beijing、tianjin、Guangzhou also begins to appear royal,Recent room with enthusiasm to enterprises is obvious。Room with severe high enterprises operating risks。Temperamental predominance think,From the current policy trends and see,Control policy not be moved and tighten trend is obvious。Real estate loans and trust risk exposed gradually,Has caused regulatory vigilance,The second half is expected to stand still difficult to a room financing to relax,The real estate industry's prospects remain optimistic。



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