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7月百城住宅均价环比上涨--亲稳网络舆情监控室
2012-08-05

  随着调控深入,一个段子在地产界广为流传唯一没放松调控的是房地产,唯一回暖的行业也是房地产业。7月的房价统计再次印证了这一说法。

With further regulation,One joke in the property is widely spread the only one not relax the regulation is real estate,The only real estate industry is also warms up in the industry。July house prices again confirm the statistics this statement。

  昨日出炉的《2012年7月中国房地产指数系统百城价格指数报告》显示,全国100个城市中70个城市新房价环比上涨,30个城市环比下跌。与此同时,地产商抄底拿地的动作也频频加码,万科一月内支付土地款甚至高达59.48亿元。

Yesterday released《In July 2012 China real estate index system stores in price index report》shows,The country's 100 city in 70 cities in the new house prices rising annulus,30 cities annulus comparing decline。At the same time,Property developers copy of Dinah action also repeatedly beat,China vanke a month pay the land of even as high as 5.948 billion yuan。

  成交量、房价的逆势上涨似乎让“楼市回暖”的论调成为现实,但日前国务院决定对房地产市场调控政策措施落实情况开展专项督察的消息,还是让人不禁将目光投向政策层面。对此,经济学家巴曙松昨日称,房产调控或将持续更长时间。本报记者唐琨 长沙报道

volume、House prices rising contrarian seems to make“Property market warms up”The argument of become a reality,But a decision of the state council on the real estate market regulation implement policies and measures to carry out special constables news,Or let a person can't help to turn their attention to policy aspect。this,Economists BaShuSong said yesterday,House property regulation or will last longer。Our correspondent TangKun changsha reported

  70个城市房价环比上涨,长沙跌幅超3%?

70 a city rising house prices annulus,Changsha fall over 3%?

  从3月份开始,楼市成交量开始逐步回暖,如今房价也走入上升通道。

Beginning march from,Property market turnover began gradually thaw,Now house prices are rising into the channel。

  昨日,《2012年7月中国房地产指数系统百城价格指数报告》出炉,根据调查数据,2012年7月,全国100个城市(新建)住宅平均价格为8717元/平方米,环比6月上涨0.33%。其中70个城市房价环比上涨,30个城市环比下跌。

yesterday,《In July 2012 China real estate index system stores in price index report》out,According to the survey data,July 2012,The country's 100 city(new)Residential average price for 8717 yuan/square metre,November 6 month rose 0.33%。70 of them a city rising house prices annulus,30 cities annulus comparing decline。

  分析认为,近期央行连续降息、降准,新增贷款明显增加,对首次置业及改善性需求均起到一定刺激作用,除针对刚需市场的中低价位项目成交情况好转外,部分品牌房企开发的高端项目由于定价合理,改善性需求逐渐入市,近期成交量也明显回升。在成交量的带动下,一方面,开发企业的市场预期好转,主动调高价格或取消折扣,另一方面,高端市场的走热也拉高了市场整体价位,使得7月百城价格再次上涨。

Analyzed that,Recently the central bank to slash interest rates、Drop must,New lending increased significantly,For first time home buyers and improve sex demand are play a stimulation,In addition to the market in just need low price project better deal outside,Part of the development of enterprises brand room high-end projects because the price is reasonable,Improve sexual needs gradually entering the market,Recent volumes are also obvious picks up。Driving in volume,On the one hand,Development of the enterprise market expected better,Active raise prices or cancel the discount,On the other hand,High-end market go heat also pulled the overall market price,That July stores in the price rise again。

  量价齐升,让业内的楼市回暖说再次蔓延,住房和城乡建设部政策研究中心主任秦虹表示,这主要在于今年整个宏观经济增速下滑比较明显,国家在不到一个月时间里连续降了两次息,释放了放松货币的信号。这带来了未来房地产政策要逆转的猜测,也促使一些正在观望的购房者开始出手。日前来长做客某财富峰会的任志强也直言,“虽然目前的市场行情还没有出现很大的好转,但是我认为,房地产市场最坏的时候已经过去了。”

JiSheng quantity and price of,Let the industry in the housing market warms up said spread again,Housing and rural construction, director of the center for policy research QinHong said,This is the main macroeconomic growth this year fell more apparent,Countries in less than a month time continuous drop two interest rates,Release the loose monetary signal。This brings about the future real estate to reverse policy speculation,Also prompted some are on the fence buyers began to make moves。To a long before a wealth of the summit RenZhiJiang also the truth,“Although the present market situation has not appeared a lot of better,But I think,The real estate market when the worst is over。”

  值得注意的是,30个新房价格环比下跌的城市中包括长沙,跌幅超过3%,业内人士分析,这主要是因为本地开发商以价换量的销售策略。但也有业内人士对此数据持保留意见。

Note the,30 a new apartment in the city of falling prices annulus including changsha,Dropped more than 3%,Analysis of the personage inside course of,This is mainly because of local developers to price change amount of sales strategy。But also have the professional reservations about this data。

  万科一月内斥资60亿疯狂拿地

China vanke a month $6 billion to get crazy

  与楼市成交量回暖相对应的是,地产商抄底拿地的动作也频频加码。

And the property market turnover warmed the corresponding is,Property developers copy of Dinah action also repeatedly beat。

  7月开始万科在杭州、重庆、宁波及成都等地拿下多宗商住地块,支付土地款高达59.48亿元,7月31日万科在一天时间内分别在杭州、成都两地疯狂圈地,共计斥资18.67亿元,这几乎相当于6月份一个月的土地款总额。8月1日,万科又出手上海,旗下上海沪彤置业有限公司以20.32亿元底价竞得上海闵行区虹桥地块。

July vanke in hangzhou、chongqing、Ningbo and chengdu scored several cases of residential and commercial plots,Pay the land paragraph is as high as 5.948 billion yuan,July 31, in one day time vanke respectively in hangzhou、Chengdu both crazy enclosure,Totaling $1.867 billion yuan,This is almost equal to June a month of the total amount of land。August 1,,China vanke shots and Shanghai,Its Shanghai made Shanghai real estate Co., LTD with 2.032 billion yuan price competition have to Shanghai hongqiao district plots。

  不仅万科,保利、中海、恒大等大型房企也纷纷出手土地市场,在各地土地出让会上频现大型开发商身影。6月份保利分别在重庆、德阳等地拿下9宗地块,斥资30亿元,新增土地储备167万平方米;恒大地产6月份单月新增地块10宗地,土地面积达90万平方米,总地价高达27.8亿元,为5月投资额的10倍。

Not only China vanke,poly、the、Evergrande and other large room enterprises have been shot the land market,All over the land transfer meeting in frequent large developers figure。Poly in June were in chongqing、Deyang, had nine Pope plot,Spend 3 billion yuan,New land reserve of 1.67 million square meters;Evergrande real estate June 10 new plot month of parcel,The land area of 900000 square meters,The total price is as high as 2.78 billion yuan,On May 10 times of the amount invested。

  “今年的土地成交基本上是以底价成交,是开发商抄底扩张的好时机。”中原地产湖南分公司总经理胡治钢表示,长沙6月土地市场供应也迎来小高潮,12宗土地顺利出让11宗,延续了上半年土地市场回暖的态势,而下半年土地市场还将迎来多宗优质地块的出让,必将引来更多实力开发商的争夺。

“This year's land is basically a reserve price clinch a deal is a deal,Is the expansion of the developers copy good time。”Hunan general manager of centaline property branch HuZhiGang said,Changsha June land market supply hit small high tide,12 land smooth transfer 11 cases,Continue the land market warms up in the first half trend,And the second half of the land market will also have the high quality of the plot,Will catch more strength for the developers。

  同策咨询研究中心总监张宏伟则担忧,从土地购置情况、房地产投资、新开工面积、房企资金面及盈利状况等市场“基本面”的几个指标来看,目前整体市场仅是狭义回暖,市场“基本面”还不太乐观,并不支持土地市场高溢价拿地。

Strategy consulting research center director with d is worried,From the purchase of land、Real estate investment、New commenced area、Enterprise profit and the financing side room market and etc“fundamentals”Several indicators,At present the whole market is only special thaw,market“fundamentals”Also not too optimistic,Does not support the land market with high premium。

  取消限购?义乌回应因新政策还没出台

限购 cancel?Yiwu because of the new policy response has not come

  7月31日,媒体曝光义乌版“限购令”去年底自动取消,今年没有延续,但限购令取消的同时,却并未向社会宣布。

July 31,,Media exposure yiwu version“限购 make”At the end of automatically,This year didn't last,But 限购 to cancel at the same time,Has not announced to the society。

  值得关注的是,去年底部分城市限购临近到期时,住建部曾明确规定,已设定限购期限的城市要继续延续政策,限购政策今年继续执行。对此义乌市委宣传部某官员回应:“限购令不是取消,而是政策到期,新政策还没有出台,有个制定政策的过程。”

There is concern,Parts of the city near the end of 限购 when due,Live JianBu had explicitly,Set 限购 term of the city will continue to continue the policy,限购 policy continue to carry out this year。Yiwu municipal party committee propaganda department officials about a response:“限购 make not cancelled,But policies expire,The new policy are not yet available,There is a policy process。”

  国土资源部全国主要城市地价监测系统的最新报告显示,截至目前全国105个监测城市中,33个城市从不同角度出台楼市微调政策。

The ministry of land and resources throughout the major urban land price monitoring system of the new report,So far the national 105 monitoring in the city,33 cities from different points of view on property market fine-tuning policy。

  而7月24日,国务院已决定,派出8个督察组赴16个省(市)对房地产市场调控政策措施落实情况开展专项督察。此次督察的重点是检查住房限购措施执行情况、差别化住房信贷政策执行情况、住房用地供应和管理情况,以及税收政策执行和征管情况。“博弈”在继续,房地产调控未来的动向引人关注。

And on July 24,,The state council has decided to,A DuChaZu sent 8 to 16 provinces(city)On the real estate market regulation implement policies and measures to carry out special inspectors。The inspectors check is the focus of the housing 限购 measures implementation、Differentiation housing credit policy implementation、Housing land supply and management,And tax policy implementation and collection。“game”Continue to,The trend in the future real estate regulation fetching attention。

  上海易居房地产研究院副院长杨红旭日前在微博上说:“6月以来,中央已打出四拳。即便尚未有新政策出来,但如此频次、大范围的强调落实与贯彻,也算得上是新一轮调控的开始了。”

Shanghai enjoysmart real estate, vice President of the institute YangGongXu recently in the blog says:“Since June of,The central already hit four punch。Even if there has not been a new policy out,But so frequency、A wide range of stressed out and implement,Is the start of a new round of regulation is......。”

  中国社会科学院财经战略研究院院长、“住房问题研究”课题组组长高培勇则认为,在经济增速放缓的背景下,当前可调控市场手段的选择范围缩窄,房地产调控将愈加艰难。

The Chinese academy of social sciences financial strategy research institute President、“Housing research”GaoPeiYong group leader is considered,In the economic slowdown in the background,The current can control the market means narrowing range of options,Real estate regulation will increasingly difficult。

  对此,经济学家巴曙松昨日也在媒体上撰文表示,并无证据表明宏观政策即将全面放松当前房地产调控政策,这也意味着这一政策可能持续比预期更长的时间。宏观政策可能会更多采取多元化的对冲措施来应对这种调控可能带来的对投资的影响。

this,Economists BaShuSong yesterday in the media said articles,And there is no evidence that macro policy is to relax the current real estate control policies,It also means that the policy can last longer than expected。Macro policy may take more diversified hedge measures to cope with this regulation may bring to the influence of the investment。

  根据百城价格指数对北京等十大城市的全样本调查数据显示,2012年7月十大城市住宅均价为15470元/平方米,环比上月上涨0.27%。具体来看,重庆(主城区)涨幅居前,环比上涨1.57%,成都、广州、天津、南京、杭州涨幅在0.2%-0.8%之间,深圳、武汉、北京、上海涨幅在0.1%以内。

According to stores in Beijing and the price index of the ten cities all the sample survey data show,In July 2012, ten cities housing average price for 15470 yuan/square metre,Annulus comparing rose 0.27% last month。Specific to see,chongqing(city)Or the first,Annulus comparing rose 1.57%,chengdu、guangzhou、tianjin、nanjing、Hangzhou or in between 0.2% and 0.8%,shenzhen、wuhan、Beijing、Shanghai or within 0.1%。



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