楼市博弈愈演愈烈，这是对政府自身决心和能力的重要考验。

Property market game intensified，This is the government own determination and ability to an important test。

　　地方“微调政策”传闻已多次出现。或是提高贷款额度，或是放宽税收标准，有些则是调整甚至试图取消限购，不一而足。一些试探之举顺利“闯关”，不少措施则被中途叫停。

place“Fine-tuning policy”Speculation has been repeated。Or to increase loan amount，Or relaxing tax standards，Some are even trying to cancel 限购 adjustment，vary。Some of the test for smoothly“Stage mode”，Many measures is to stop halfway。

　　市场和行政力量的博弈也在明显加剧。虽然政府部门几次“喊话”调控不放松，但市场仍出现了一些让人担忧的迹象：一些城市又出现了排队买房、开发商涨价，楼盘降价面和降价幅度均在缩小；“地王”再度归来，房价上涨预期强化。此外，信贷政策的变化，客观上也在助推房地产市场的回暖。

Market and administrative power game also increased in obvious。Although the government a few times“propaganda”Regulation not to relax，But the market is still appeared some alarming signs：Some cities appeared again queuing to buy a house、Developers prices，Estate price cut face and cut prices are in the narrow；“royal”Back again，Rising house prices expected to strengthen。In addition，Credit policy changes，Objectively speaking, it also helped in the real estate market of buoyancy。

　　在市场内部，开发商、二手房房东、购房者之间的博弈更是从未停歇。近段时间，“楼市已见底”“稳增长必先"救市"”等声音甚嚣尘上，不少担心房价上涨的购房者已放弃等待、争相出手。

In the internal market，developers、Second-hand housing landlord、The game between the person that buy a house is never ceased。Nearly time，“Property market has seen bottom”“Steady growth will first"Help city"”Voice and bench，Many worry about rising house prices buyers already give up waiting、Struggled to make moves。

　　中央政府已关注到市场面的新动态：“值得注意的是，二季度全国主要监测城市地价出现环比微升，6月份一些城市新建住宅价格出现环比上涨，目前房地产市场信息比较混乱，市场对房价走势的预期出现一些变化，群众普遍担心房价反弹。”

The central government has paid close attention to the new dynamic market：“Note the，In the second quarter of the main monitoring urban land price appear annulus comparing edged，June some city new residence price appear annulus comparing to rise，Real estate market at present information chaos，The market prices of the trend is expected to appear some changes，The widespread concern about house prices rebound。”

　　今年上半年，全国国有土地使用权出让收入11430亿元，同比减少4342亿元，下降27.5%；房地产开发投资同比增长16.6%，增速比一季度和上一年分别回落6.9个和16.3个百分点；全国商品房销售面积39964万平方米，同比下降10.0%。

In the first half of this year，The national the transfer of state-owned land use right income is 1.143 trillion yuan，Up to reduce 434.2 billion yuan，Down 27.5%；Investment in real estate development year-on-year growth of 16.6%，Growth in the first quarter than last year and fell back 6.9 and 16.3% respectively；The national commodity house sales area of 399.64 million square meters，10.0% year-on-year drop。

　　国务院及有关部门负责人近期的接连表态，再次向市场传递出“调控不放松”的明确信号。地方政府和房地产企业绝不能低估中央调控楼市的决心和能力。一旦引发房价快速反弹，便可能进一步招致严厉调控，使楼市理性调整的步伐受阻，对各方都带来不利影响。

The state council and the relevant departments of the recent for comment，Once again to deliver the market“Regulation not to relax”Clear signal。The local government and real estate enterprise can never underestimate the central control property market of determination and ability。Once cause house prices fast rebound，He may be further cause severe regulation，Make the market adjustment pace of rational by，For all parties to bring adverse impact。

　　但现实问题也需要正视。比如，部分刚需因市场预期不明而持续观望，合理的购房需求难以释放；保障房、教育、水利等与土地出让金挂钩的民生支出受到“拖累”；钢筋、水泥、家装、家电等几十个与房地产相关的行业也持续低迷。

But the real problem also need to face up to。For example，Part of the need for just the market is expected to continue unknown and watching，Reasonable to release pent-up demand；Security room、education、Water conservancy and the land grant fee to the people's livelihood of hook by spending“drag”；reinforced、cement、Home outfit、Home appliance and so on several dozens and real estate industry also continues to slump。

　　从长远来看，在快速城镇化进程中，商品住房供不应求的矛盾将持续一段时间，房地产市场化改革不容迟滞；一旦行政手段“用药”过重、时间过长，便可能对市场本身的正常运行造成干扰，为后市埋下更深的隐患。

In the long run，In the rapid urbanization process，Commodity housing demand contradiction will continue for a period of time，The real estate market reform not delay；Once the administrative means“Drug use”overweight、Time is too long，May the market itself to the normal operation of the cause interference，For market outlook buried deeper hidden trouble。

　　对此，要把抑制投资投机性需求作为一项长期政策，同时也要从土地、税收、融资等各个方面入手，覆盖供地、建设、销售等各个环节，建立起普通商品住房、保障房这些“合理房源”的政策支撑体系乃至法律框架，使“增加有效供应”真正落到实处。

this，The speculative demand to slow down investment as a long-term policy，At the same time but also from the land、tax、Financing of each，Cover for the、construction、Sale and so on each link，Establish common commodity housing、Security room these“Reasonable houses”Policy support system and legal framework，make“Increase effective supply”exemptions。

　　对地方政府和房地产企业来说，调控将成为常态，指望依靠房价暴涨赚“快钱”的时代已经过去，降低对房地产的依赖、加快产业结构调整势在必行。

The local government and for real estate enterprises，Regulation will become normal，Expect rely on prices soaring earn“Quick buck”Time has in the past，To reduce dependence on real estate、To speed up the adjustment of industrial structure is imperative。

　　房地产调控是一场“攻坚战”，是对企业的历练，更是对政府的考验。如经济学家许小年所说：欲降房价，必先扭转市场预期；欲扭转预期，必先调整利益；欲调整利益，必先推动体制改革。（新华社）

Real estate is a regulation“Tough sell”，Is the enterprise of experience，But for the test of the government。If economists XuXiaoNian said：House prices to drop，He first reverse market expectations；Expected to turn，Will adjust interests first；To adjust the interests，He first promote system reform。（The xinhua news agency）