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7月杭州成交量喜人 主城区商品房存量仍在高位徘回--亲稳网络舆情监测室
2012-08-08
浙江在线08月02日讯7月的杭州,人们的购房热情却丝毫不减。截至7月31日,杭州主城区共成交商品住宅4410套,创下历年同期最高。而被称为杭城楼市史上成交最猛的2009年,其7月份住宅成交也只有3474套。
Zhejiang online October 02-July, hangzhou,People purchasing passion but does not decrease。By July 31,,Hangzhou city clinch a deal with the commodity residential house 4410 sets,Set the same period over the top。Known as the hangzhou city property market history of the most fierce clinch a deal in 2009,The house in July of 3474 and only clinch a deal。
就在刚刚过去的一周(7月22日~28日),杭州共有14个楼盘开盘,光主城区就有四季公馆、宝龙城市广场、华盛达阅城等3个楼盘开盘。然而,尽管成交不错,一个独特现象是,杭州主城区的商品房存量依旧在4万套左右的高位徘徊。
In just the past week(July 22,-28),Hangzhou 14 a building opening,There are four seasons is light in residence、Baolong city square、Huasheng to read, three city building opening。however,Despite a good deal,A unique phenomenon is,Hangzhou city commercial housing stock is still in the 40000 sets of high wandering around。
4410套住宅,7月成交创同期最高纪录 4410 set of residential,July same period and a record deal
第一周,1313套;第二周,1109套;第三周,1025套;第四周,1287套。第五周最后三天, 542套。这是2012年7月的商品房成交纪录。连续四周的超千套成交量让人不得不惊呼楼市刚需的源源不断。
The first week,Of 1313;The second week,Of 1109;The third week,Of 1025;Around the first,Of 1287。The fifth week last three days, Of 542。This is in July 2012, clinch a deal the commodity house of record。Thousands of continuous around the set of volume have exclaimed property market to just continuously。
“原以为自3月份成交放量以来,经历了5个月的强劲释发,刚需的量也该减下来了,但没想到,7月份房子抢得还是疯。”新南北房产营销总监马奕林亲身感受了楼市转暖的迅猛。7月份,新南北旗下的南北乐章连开了两次盘,118套房源几乎全卖完。“我们的下一次开盘是在8月初,但只能推两幢楼。因为工程进度赶不上,再开盘只能到9月底了。”
“Thought since march since y109.52 to clinch a deal,After five months of strong hair interpretation,Just need to the amount of down,But I didn't know,In July, the house grab or crazy。”New real estate marketing director of north and south MaYiLin experience the property market has warmed up。July,New north and south to the north and south of its movement even opened two dish,Of 118 homes sold out almost all。“Our next time the opening price is in early August,But only push two buildings。Because the progress of the projects to keep up,Then open quotation can only until the end of September。”
中豪四季公馆也是如此。7月份,应客户要求,四季公馆连推3次盘,次次火爆。
The group of the four seasons also is such。July,At the request of customer,The four seasons residence even push 3 dish,Every time hot。
上周新推的14个楼盘分别为丁桥的四季公馆、下沙的宝龙城市广场、良渚的南北乐章、银湖的野风山和美和院、仓前的温莎郡、闲林的西溪山庄和翡翠湾、临平的赞成檀府、超山的龙湖香堤溪岸、萧山的保利霞飞郡和大桥西的华盛达阅城。据开发商提供的数据,开盘平均预定率都达到7成以上。而高端楼盘如市中心的昆仑公馆表现也够抢眼,一个月成交了22套310平方米的跃层大宅。
Last push 14 buildings for the four seasons DingQiao respectively residence、The most precious dragon city square、The north and south of the liangzhu movement、【 introduction 】 silver lake wild wind mountain and and court、Storehouse of Windsor county before、When the xixi home and jade Lin bay、The flat in favor of wingceltis mansion、The ChaoShan lake dam streamside incense、Poly XiaFei county of xiaoshan bridge and west of the city of huasheng read。According to the data provided by the developer,The average rates of open quotation scheduled to seven into above。High-end buildings such as the center of the city and kunlun hotel in performance also enough grab an eye,A month of 310 square metre to clinch a deal in the 22 jump a layer of the mansion。
这样的成交量,让7月份的杭州楼市创下4410套商品住宅成交量的历年最高纪录。这一数据,不仅超过了今年3~5月份的单月住宅成交量,而且超过了历史上同期的最高纪录:2009年7月的3474套。
This volume,Let the July issue of the hangzhou record of 4410 set of commodity residential house property market volume of calendar year record。The data,Not only this year more than 3 ~ 5 month in residential volume,And more than the same period in the history of the record:The July 2009 3474 sets。
住宅库存量是2009年同期的3.7倍 Residential inventories is 3.7 times of that of the same period in 2009
尽管经历了几个月的火爆成交,但楼市库存却没有出现明显下降。5~7月,这3个月主城区住宅共成交13066套,但住宅库存仅下降4077套。
Despite several months of hot clinch a deal,But housing inventory he didn't appear to decline significantly。From may to July,This 3 months of 13066 sets in residential clinch a deal,But housing inventory only decreased 4077 sets。
4月30日,主城区商品房库存43283套,住宅库存27453套;5月31日,主城区商品房库存42107套,住宅库存26591套;6月30套,主城区商品房库存40770套,住宅库存24627套;7月31日,商品房存量降到39752套,住宅库存降到23376套,总体存量未有太大变化。
April 30,In 43283 set of commodity house inventory,Housing inventory of 27453 sets;May 31,,In 42107 set of commodity house inventory,Housing inventory of 26591 sets;June 30 sets of,In 40770 set of commodity house inventory,Housing inventory of 24627 sets;July 31,,Commodity house stock to 39752 sets,Housing stocks to 23376 sets,The overall stock does not too big change。
相比2009年同期,每月三千套左右的库存下降速度,今年的去化相对缓慢。
Compared with the same period of 2009,About three thousand units per month inventory decline of speed,This year's relatively slow to change。
2009年5月31日,主城区商品房库存19651套;6月30日,主城区库存15801套;7月31日,主城区商品房库存13254套。正因为每月有两三千套左右的下降,这才推动了当年房价的大幅上涨。
On May 31, 2009,In 19651 set of commodity house inventory;June 30,,Inventory 15801 sets of main urban areas;July 31,,In 13254 set of commodity house inventory。Because of the 23000 month about decline,This just push the year house prices are rising dramatically。
更值得关注的是,今年7月份的主城区商品房库存量经历了一个由最低点反弹上升的过程:7月11日,主城区商品住宅库存量曾下降到23064套的年内最低点,业内曾惊呼,住宅存量可能跌破23000套大关,但没想到,之后随着开发商新增推盘量的大增,住宅存量连续两周上升。7月23日,住宅存量甚至达到24647套。虽然,7月31日,存量再度下降至23376套,但相比23064套的低点,还是回升了312套。
The more remarkable is,In July this year the main commodity house inventories gone from a rebound of low rise process:July 11,,The commodity residential house in which fell to 23064 sets of inventories of the year lows,The alarm was,Housing stock may be below 23000 sets of mark,But I didn't know,As developers after new push the amount of disk has greatly increased,Housing stock rise for two weeks。July 23,,Housing stock even to 24647 sets。although,July 31,,Stock down again to 23376 sets,But compared to a low of 23064 sets,Or pick up 312 sets。
而且,即使拿今年23064套的最低点看,相比2009年7月31日,杭州主城区商品住宅存量却只有6238套。今年的23064套是2009年同期的近3.7倍。
and,Even take this year of 23064 sets of lows look,Compared with July 31, 2009,Hangzhou city commodity residential house but only 6238 sets of stock。23064 this year is set for the same period in 2009 nearly 3.7 times。
巨额存量的背后,是开发商的疯狂推盘 The huge stock behind,Is the crazy push plate developers
为什么今年二季度以来的楼市成交火爆,却看不到2009年那样的存量快速下降?
Why since the second quarter of this year's housing boom clinch a deal,They did not see that in 2009 the stock falling fast?
业内人士认为,最重要的原因是,由于无法准确判断后市,开发商疯狂推盘,能跑就尽量跑。
The personage inside course of study thinks,The most important reason is,Unable to accurately judge market outlook,Developers crazy push plate,Can run as far as possible to run。
据杭州透明售房网显示,6~7两月,新领预售证的楼盘达到前所未有的高峰。6月份,主城区共有4871套的商品房领出预售证,7月份,这一数字更是上升到5602套。和家园新领预售证有468套,九润公寓新领575套,西城纪新领775套,规模之大,令人吃惊。
According to hangzhou transparent while nets display,Six to seven months,New brought to open to booking card building an unprecedented heights。June,Main urban areas with a total of 4871 the commodity house opens to booking a card bring forth,July,This number is up to 5602 sets。And new brought home to 468 set to open to booking card,Nine embellish apartment 575 sets new field,Wl age 775 sets new field,scale,surprising。
而这两个月,主城区商品房的成交量也不过是6747套和5276套,7月份的新入市房源量甚至超过了成交量。正因为新盘入市量太大,才导致存量久久居高不下。
And the two months,In the volume of sales is just commodity house of 6747 and 5276 sets,In July, expand the new entrants is even more than the volume。Because of XinPan entering the market is too big,That led to long stock remains high。
一位开发商坦言,今年的楼市完全是刚需的市场。虽然刚需的庞大和源源不尽出乎大家意料,但对于后市,只要限购不放松,虽然成交量一直不错,但房价很难上涨。反正房价涨不了多少,所以能卖绝对趁早卖。
A developer said,This year's property market is just completely to the market。Although just need huge and are not caught everybody expected,But for market outlook,As long as 限购 not to relax,Although volume has always been good,But it is difficult to rising house prices。Anyway, house prices rise not much,So it can sell absolute sell。
其次,楼市的成交量虽然上去了,但成交结构没有改善,成交的基本上还是90平方米的户型。成交结构不扭转,存量就不可能真正的消化。
second,The housing market volume up though,But clinch a deal structure did not improve,The deal was largely 90 square meters of family。Clinch a deal structure is reversed,Stock cannot be really digestion。
另外,则是今年成交的房源大多是新推盘,新推盘以价换量带动成交,老盘价格调整的不多,因此老盘的消化量非常缓慢。
In addition,This year is the most new homes clinch a deal push plate,New push trays to price clinch a deal amount change drive,Old dish of price adjustment is not much,So the digestion of the old plate is very slow。
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