国际原油价格近几日的反弹上涨，不断让中石油、中石化在国内推涨油价有了“底气”，也为它们出口获利降低库存带来利好。

International crude oil prices rebound in the recent days rise，Keep the oil in、Sinopec in domestic push oil prices go up“Bottom spirit”，Also for their export profit to reduce the stock bring positive news。

　　7月17日，中石油销售公司有关人士在接受《每日经济新闻》采访时透露，未来一段时间，中石油有加大汽柴油出口的计划，以进一步降低国内库存，减轻销售压力。

July 17,，The oil in the sales company officials in accept《Daily economic news》Said in an interview，The future for a period of time，In petrol and diesel oil has increased export plans，To further reduce domestic stock，Reduce sales pressure。

　　分析师也认为，短期来看，如若国际原油延续震荡上行之势，国内汽柴油出口套利空间则将进一步增大，利润更为可观，或激发国内成品油，特别是柴油出口积极性。

Analysts also say that，The short term，If international crude oil continue upward trend of concussion，Domestic gasoline and diesel will further export arbitrage space increases，More lucrative，Or stimulate domestic oil products，Especially diesel export enthusiasm。

　　汽柴油出口终扭亏为盈

Export gasoline and diesel end out of the red

　　7月11日，在国内汽油最高零售价下调420元/吨，柴油最高零售价下调400元/吨后，国内汽柴油进出口套利形势发生了明显变化。

July 11,，In domestic gasoline highest retail price cut 420 yuan/ton，Diesel highest retail price cut 400 yuan/ton，Domestic gasoline and diesel import and export arbitrage the situation began to change。

　　据金银岛监测数据显示，7月上半月，新加坡汽油理论进口套利空间大幅缩窄，同时柴油进口亏损不断减少，且进口利润逐渐转为正值；出口方面，汽柴油理论出口均出现扭亏为盈的局面。

According to the monitoring data of treasure island display，July first half，Singapore gasoline imports arbitrage space theory greatly erode，At the same time diesel import loss decreasing，And gradually to import profits when；export，Steam diesel theory all appear to the situation of the export out of the red。

　　金银岛分析师董丽珠对《每日经济新闻》说，以华南地区为例， 截止到7月16日，广州石化汽油出口利润为243元/吨，柴油出口利润218元/吨；而调价前的7月10日，汽柴油出口亏损分别为48元/吨和137元/吨。

Treasure island DongLiZhu analysts to《Daily economic news》said，In south China area for example， By July 16,，Guangzhou petrochemical gasoline export earnings for 243 yuan/ton，Diesel export profit is 218 yuan/ton；And before there on July 10,，Export losses for gasoline and diesel are 48 yuan/tons and 137 yuan/ton。

　　进入7月，广石化汽柴出厂价维持不变，而新加坡汽柴油价格随国际原油大幅上涨，故汽柴油出口亏损的状态逐渐好转，其中柴油出口利润值转变为正；调价后，广石化出厂价下调幅度较大，且新加坡汽柴油价格持续上涨，故汽柴油理论出口全面摆脱亏损状态，扭亏为盈。

Into July，GuangShiHua steam wood factory prices remain unchanged，And Singapore international crude oil with gasoline and diesel prices rising dramatically，Therefore the export of gasoline and diesel losses state gradually improving，Export earnings of diesel is value change；After pricing，GuangShiHua factory price cut to a larger extent，And Singapore gasoline and diesel prices continued to rise，So the theory from gasoline and diesel export comprehensive state losses，turnaround。

　　“短期来看，如若国际原油延续震荡上行之势，汽柴油出口套利空间则将进一步增大，利润更为可观。”董丽珠说道。

“The short term，If international crude oil continue upward trend of concussion，Export gasoline and diesel will further increase the arbitrage space，More lucrative。”DongLiZhu said。

　　刺激石油巨头出口降库存

Stimulate oil giant export drop inventory

　　“目前，我们的库存处于一个高位，正在通过各种办法降库存，包括减少炼厂开工率，加大出口也是现在情况下一种手段之一。”中石油销售公司有关人士说道。

“At present，Our stock in a high，Is through the various measures to drop inventory，Including reduced refinery producers，Increasing exports and it is also a means of circumstances。”The oil in the sales company officials said。

　　有机构数据显示，截止7月5日，石化双雄旗下35家炼厂开工率较两周前小幅回升0.8个百分点，至82.3%，主要因吉林石化全厂检修，但提前辽阳石化检修抑制了开工率的涨幅。

Institutional figures show，By July 5，Petrochemical giants its 35 home starts a refinery two weeks ago a modest picks up 0.8%，To 82.3%，Mainly because of jilin petrochemical plant maintenance，But in liaoyang petrochemical overhaul in advance to suppress the rise of starts。

　　目前，国内成品油以及化工产品库存依然偏高，两大巨头不得不通过降低加工量来平抑库存，还调低销量预期。7月份预计开工负荷将不高于6月份的水平，8月份才有望恢复性上涨。

At present，Domestic oil and chemical products inventory is still high，The two giants have had to reduce manufactured by putting down inventory，Also lower sales expectations。July start load will not higher than expected in June level，August is expected to rise to restorative。

　　卓创资讯数据显示，6月份两大集团旗下炼厂合计计划加工原油2900-2950万吨，日均加工负荷约96.7万吨，环比下滑0.19%。

Zhuo and information data shows，In June, two big group, the total processing crude oil refinery plan 2900-29.5 million tons，Average daily processing load of about 967000 tonnes，Annulus comparing declined 0.19%。

　　据中石油经济技术研究院的分析人士预测，7月份中国出口汽油预计小幅回升至18万吨以内，因出口利润略有好转，柴油来料加工出口量将维持15万吨左右。7月份仍难以出现汽柴油的一般贸易进口，除了国内资源依然充裕外，进口利润锐减也是主要原因。

According to the research institute of technology in oil economic analysts forecast，In July, China's export gasoline is expected to back up to a small within 180000 tons，For export earnings slightly better，Diesel processing exports will remain around 150000 tons。July is hard to appear the gasoline and diesel general trade imports，Besides domestic resources are still plenty outside，Profit is the main reason for import down sharply。

　　上述分析人士说：“柴油出口浮现巨大利润空间，或激发中国柴油出口积极性，可适度缓解国内库存压力。”

The above analysts said：“Diesel export emerge great profit space，Or stimulate China diesel export enthusiasm，Can moderate diffusing inventory pressure。”

　　2010、2011年均是在10月、11月出现“柴油荒”，其中因素之一就是石油巨头出口量没有协调好，今年如果加大出口会不会影响国内供应？

2010、2011 annual average is in October、November appear“Diesel waste”，Among them is one of the factors that oil giant exports not coordinate，Increasing exports this year if will affect domestic supply？

　　生意社分析师李宏认为，目前资源仍然供大于求，不管两大巨头还是地炼库存皆处高位，上半年在资源供应充裕没有得到释放的情况下，三、四季度出现“油荒”的概率不大。

Business club analysts think et al，At present resources far outstrips the demand，Whether two giants or tried to inventory is high place，In the first half resources abundant supplies of no release，three、In the fourth quarter“Oil waste”Little probability of。

　　卓创资讯分析师孟鹏说，当前国内经济仍较低迷，企业开工率明显下降，终端用油减少，石化双雄销售公司的销量增长幅度明显放缓，如2011年内蒙古两大成品油销售增长率在16%，而2012年1-4月份，内蒙古两大成品油销售量242.15万吨，同比仅增长2.03%。因此，后期炼厂库存资源足以支撑市场需求，三季度“油荒”出现的概率不大。

Zhuo and MengPengShui information analysts，The current domestic economy is still a downturn，Enterprise starts to decline significantly，Terminal oil reduce，Petrochemical giants sales company sales growth rate has slowed sharply，Such as the 2011 two oil sales growth of Inner Mongolia in 16%，And in 2012-April 1，Inner Mongolia two big oil sales volume 2.4215 million tons，Only 2.03% year-on-year growth。so，Refinery resources enough to support the late stock market demand，Three quarters of“Oil waste”The probability of appear unlikely。