本报实习记者 张敏

This practice reporter zhangmin.i am

　　国家统计局18日发布报告，6月全国70个大中城市中，新建商品住宅（不含保障性住房）环比价格下降的城市有21个，持平的城市有24个，上涨的城市有25个。

The national bureau of statistics reported 18,，June 70 major cities across the country，New commodity residential house（Do not contain affordable housing）Annulus comparing prices fell city have 21，The city has a flat 24，The rise of the city has 25。

　　据机构统计，上述城市6月房价环比平均涨幅达0.02%，在连续下跌8个月后首次出现正增长。其中，环比上涨的城市数量超过此前6个月的总和。尽管国家统计局在发布的报告中强调，房地产市场调控仍处在关键时期，但业内人士认为，下半年房价可能会缓慢回升。

According to the statistics institutions，The above cities June average house prices up 0.02% month-on-month，In the continuous drop after eight months of positive growth for the first time。Among them，The rise of the annulus comparing the number of cities after more than six months combined。Although the national bureau of statistics in the announcement stressed in the report，The real estate market regulation is still in critical period，But industry insiders think，The second half of house prices may be slow to bounce back。

房价企稳回升态势明显 House prices rebounded stabilising situation obvious

　　中国指数研究院此前发布报告称，6月全国百城新建住宅平均价格为8688元/平方米，比5月上涨0.05%，结束连续9个月的环比下跌态势。市场认为，房价企稳回升态势已较为明显。

China index academy report had said，June stores in the new residence average price for 8688 yuan/square metre，5 month than 0.05% higher，For nine months of the end of November down trend。Market think，House prices rebounded stabilising situation has been evident。

　　上海易居房地产研究院副院长杨红旭认为，房价环比上涨城市增多，表明房价呈筑底完成迹象。随着金融信贷环境逐渐宽松，预计下半年，房价可能会缓慢回升。

Shanghai enjoysmart real estate, vice President of the institute YangGongXu think，House prices rising annulus city increased，House prices are finished by the end of that building signs。With the financial credit environment gradually free，The second half is expected to，House prices may be slow to bounce back。

　　国家统计局城市司高级统计师马晓明指出，近几个月来，在房地产开发商以价换量销售策略影响下，市场成交逐渐活跃。在成交量放大同时，6月一些城市房价出现环比上涨。分析其原因，主要有三个方面。一是利率下调，购房成本下降，购房人的经济负担有所减轻，部分人的购房意愿增强；

The national bureau of statistics city department senior statistician MaXiaoMing said，In recent months，In the real estate developers to price change is under the influence of the sales strategy，The market gradually active clinch a deal。In volume to increase at the same time，June some cities rising house prices appear annulus。The article analyzes the reasons，Three main areas。One is the interest rate cuts，Purchase cost down，The person that buy a house to ease the financial burden，Part of people's purchase intend to increase；

　　二是前期累积的刚性需求和改善性需求有所释放，特别是市场对房价走势的预期出现一些变化，担心房价反弹；三是部分楼盘在以价换量获得较好的销售业绩后，取消折扣优惠，甚至调高价格。

2 it is the accumulation of rigid needs and improve sexual needs to release，Especially the market prices of the trend is expected to appear some changes，Worry about house prices rebound；3 it is part of the building to change in price is obtained good sales performance，Cancel the discount，Even raise prices。

　　他强调，6月一些城市房价环比上涨的原因是多方面的，并且具有一定的特殊性。

He stressed that，June some cities rising house prices annulus comparing many reasons，And has some particularity。

　　但有业内人士认为，今年以来，在两次降息和两次下调存款准备金率背景下，货币政策偏向“适度宽松”势头非常明显。不少购房者判断房地产市场已开始从底部回升，从而选择入市。

But the personage inside course of study thinks，Since this year，In the two cuts and two cut under the background of the deposit reserve rate，Monetary policy to“Moderate loose”Momentum is very apparent。Many buyers judgment real estate market has started to rise from the bottom，And select entry。

　　国家统计局数据显示，从新建商品住宅价格同比变动看，6月全国70个大中城市中，价格下降的城市有57个，比5月份增加了2个；持平的城市有2个；上涨的城市有11个，比5月份少4个。6月份，同比价格上涨的城市中，涨幅均未超过1．2％，涨幅比5月份回落的城市有6个。

The national bureau of statistics data shows，From the newly commodity residential house price change compared to see，June 70 major cities across the country，The price of the decline of the city has 57，In may the increase than two；The city has two flat；The rise of the city has 11，4 less than five months。June，The rising price of city year-on-year，Or have not more than 1.2%，Increase in May the city dropped more than six。

　　机构统计数据显示，这70个城市房价的同比平均降幅为1.40%，已连续4个月下降。

Agency statistics show，The 70 cities of average house prices fell by 1.40% year-on-year，Already for four months down。

　　新一轮调控政策出台可能性增大 A new round of regulation policies increase possibility

　　楼市成交量回升将给房价上涨继续提供动力。北京中原地产市场研究总监张大伟认为，5月至6月的成交比较乐观，对房价支撑作用已经体现。下半年主要城市房价再跌可能性接近于零。

Property market turnover will rise to rising house prices continue to provide power。Beijing centaline property market research director ZhangDaWei think，From may to June's deal is more optimistic，To the house to support action has been reflected。The second half of the main city house prices fall again likely close to zero。

　　他认为，房地产开发商在7月至8月传统淡季推盘量将较小，预计成交量可能趋稳。但全年成交量最高点在9月至11月，在这一阶段，房价仍可能面临较大上行动力。下半年房地产市场出现量价微涨的可能性较大。

He thinks，Real estate developers in July to August traditional slack push dish of smaller，Expected volume may stabilise。But the high volume throughout the year in September to November，In this one phase，House prices could still facing larger upward momentum。The second half of the real estate market appears quantity and price of the closed up probability。

　　除成交量推涨房价预期外，从6月开始，土地市场有数宗高价地成交，继续推高未来房价成本。另有城市微调房地产政策，在一定程度上消解调控效果。国务院总理温家宝7月初在江苏省常州市调研时表示，决不能让房价反弹。因此，有业内人士担心，若房价上涨态势延续，可能会有新的调控政策出台。

In addition to push up prices are expected to the volume，From June began to，Several cases of land market to clinch a deal price，Continue to push up the cost of future house prices。Another city fine-tuning real estate policies，To a certain extent digestion control effect。The state council premier wen jiabao in early July, changzhou, jiangsu province research said，Never let the house prices rebound。so，The personage inside course of worry，If prices rise situation continue，May have a new regulation policies。

　　马晓明认为，我国房地产市场调控仍然处在关键时期，调控任务还很艰巨。必须毫不动摇地继续推进房地产市场各项调控工作，把抑制房地产投机投资性需求作为一项长期政策，防止变相放松购房政策，促使房价合理回归，绝不能让房价反弹，造成功亏一篑。

MaXiaoMing think，China's real estate market regulation is still in a critical period，Regulation is very arduous task。Must unswervingly to continue to push forward the real estate market various control work，The inhibition of the investment real estate speculation needs as a long-term policy，Prevent in disguised form relax purchase policies，House prices reasonable to return，Never let a house prices rebound，Cause failed。

　　杨红旭认为，随着房价回升，国家出台新一轮调控政策可能性增大。鉴于经济稳增长压力也很大，未来的房地产调控将以重申和强调既有政策为主，不会增加太多、太严厉的措施。

YangGongXu think，With house prices rebounded，The country has issued a new round of adjustment and control policies increase possibility。In view of the economic stability growth stressful，The future of real estate regulation will be reiterated and emphasize both policy to give priority to，Won't add much、Too strict measures。