本报记者 周雪松

Our reporter ZhouXueSong

　　中国商业地产领域又创造了一项新的奇迹。 8月3日，一家刚刚组建的商业地产服务商RET睿意德在京亮相，便已锁定 “百亿大单”，包括万科、国浩集团、马来西亚Pavilion集团、富华置地等众多知名房企均前来捧场。

China's commercial real estate and created a new miracle。 On August 3,，A just a commercial real estate service RET gruppo meaning in Beijing's appearance，Has locked “Ten billion big single”，Including vanke、Guocoland group、Malaysia Pavilion group、Fuhua real estate and many other well-known room enterprises are to pay tribute。

　　中国经济时报记者在此间了解到，截至7月底，RET睿意德在顾问以及代理方面的合作签约销售额累计已突破百亿元。其负责人表示，进军商业地产市场，源于看好这一市场未来巨大增长空间。

China economic times reporter in here to know，By the end of July，RET gruppo meaning DE in the consultant and agency of cooperation signing sales accumulated has reached ten billion yuan。The responsible person said，The commercial real estate market，From a market future values this huge growth space。

　　不过，就在众多商家大举进军商业地产市场的同时，业内不少人士却对这一市场充满忧虑。有业界人士在接受中国经济时报记者采访时指出，商业地产市场不断升温与住宅市场限购有直接联系，局部过热已经开始显现。

but，In many large businesses into commercial real estate market at the same time，But many people in the industry to this market is full of anxiety。People in the industry have to accept Chinese economic times reporter to interview pointed out，Commercial real estate market, increase and the housing market has a direct connection for purchasing，Local overheating have begun to show。

　　自本轮楼市严格限购以来，商业地产不断创造奇迹，“大跃进”迹象明显。包括一线房企在内的开发商普遍对商业地产热情空前高涨。

Since this market since strictly restricted，Commercial real estate constantly create miracles，“Great leap forward”Obvious signs。Including a line room enterprises, commercial real estate developers to general enthusiasm to an all-time high。

　　如万科在2009年年末宣布加大商业地产投入，2010年其在商业地块的投入超过百亿元，布局区域不仅有京沪深等一线城市，还包括西安、东莞等二三线城市。尤其在2011年9月以后，万科更是“一口气”拿下7宗商用地块。

Such as vanke at the end of 2009, announced that increase the commercial real estate investment，In 2010, the commercial block investment more than ten billion yuan，Layout area has not only the beijing-shanghai deep waiting for a line city，Include xian、Dongguan and other two three line city。Especially in September 2011 later，Vanke is“breath”Scored seven commercial block。

　　今年以来，除保利地产(600048,股吧)已耗资逾百亿元拿下多宗商住两用地块或纯商业用地外，绿地、中粮、新湖中宝(600208,股吧)等房企也不断加码商业地产投资。而万达、龙湖、招商地产(000024,股吧)、中海、远洋地产、金地等房企巨头同样早已开始发力。前不久出炉的《2011中国房地产开发企业500强测评研究报告》显示，目前排名前20名的开发商均已进入了商业地产，整个板块处于“大发展和大跃进”的时代。

Since this year，In addition to poly real estate(600048,guba)Has to spend more than ten billion yuan scored a number of commercial/residential dual block or pure commercial land outside，Green space、cofco、The new lake Po(600208,guba)And room enterprises also unceasingly pyramid commercial real estate investment。Wanda and、longhu、Investment real estate(000024,guba)、China、Ocean real estate、Such as gold base room to giant also already started to force。Not long ago a《2011 China real estate development enterprise 500 strong assessment report》display，At present the top 20 developers have already entered the commercial real estate，The whole plate in“Great development and great leap forward”era。

　　今年一季度住宅开发投资增速仅为19%，而商业地产则达到了43.4%。这表明资金还在大量进入商业地产市场。

In the first quarter of this year housing development investment growth is only 19%，The commercial real estate reached 43.4%。This shows that capital is still in a large number of into the commercial real estate market。

　　购物中心是近年来房地产商重点进军的商业地产领域之一。从历年数据来看，2009年全国新增购物中心投资789亿元，2010年为1094亿元，2011年为1913亿元。据中国购物中心产业资讯中心保守估计，仅今年上半年全国新增购物中心投资已经超过2010年全年达1300亿元，预计2012年全年投资将超过3000亿元。到今年年底，全国购物中心的累计投资额有望突破1万亿元。

Shopping center is in recent years the real estate business to focus on one of the commercial real estate field。From the data to see，In 2009 the new shopping center investment of 78.9 billion yuan，In 2010 for 109.4 billion yuan，In 2011 for 191.3 billion yuan。According to the China shopping center industry information center conservative estimate，Only in the first half of this year the new shopping center investment has more than 2010 annual 130 billion yuan，In the whole year of 2012 is expected to will invest more than 300 billion yuan。By the end of this year，The shopping center of the cumulative amount of investment is expected to exceed 1 trillion yuan。

　　大量资金涌入导致商业地产项目扎堆出现，风险不可忽视。以深圳为例，目前在深圳CBD区域分布着4座巨型购物中心，3年之后，这里将再增加3座大型购物中心。届时，1平方公里的范围内将分布90万平方米的购物中心，平均每平方米土地就有0.9平方米的购物中心。而深圳其他区域的商业地产开发丝毫不亚于CBD区域，关外地区在没有形成真正的商业氛围情况下，也已出现过度开发，呈现爆炸式增长。当地人士认为，以打工群体为主的关外区域居住人群，显然难以支撑大规模的商业设施。

A lot of money into lead to commercial real estate projects appear gathers together，Risk can not be ignored。In shenzhen as an example，At present in shenzhen CBD area is dotted with four giant shopping center，Three years later，It will add 3 large-scale shopping center。the，1 square kilometers within the scope of the distribution of 900000 square meters of the shopping center，Average every square metre of land have 0.9 square meters of shopping center。Shenzhen and other areas of the commercial real estate development a bit no less than CBD area，The commissioner of areas in not form a real business atmosphere circumstance，Excessive development has emerged，Present explosive growth。Local people think，Work in groups of people living area mainly commissioner，Obviously difficult to support large-scale business facilities。

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　　不仅仅是深圳，商业地产热早已在全国蔓延。根据世邦魏理仕的统计，目前全球在建购物中心面积最多的10个城市中，有7个位于中国，其中天津、沈阳、成都位列全球前三。

Is not only a shenzhen，Commercial real estate heat already in the national spread。According to the statistics of cb Richard Ellis，At present the global construction in shopping center area most 10 cities，Seven is located in China，The tianjin、shenyang、Chengdu is among the world's top three。

　　事实上，一些已经建成并投入使用的商业地产项目经营状况并不乐观。中国经济时报记者在北京采访时发现，前些年还在运营的部分市场或超市已经出现倒闭，而部分购物中心等高端商业地产项目则在苦苦支撑。譬如华联万柳购物中心，虽然已经开业两三年，但是据内部人士透露始终不太景气，日子不好过。

In fact，Some have built and put into use of commercial real estate project management situation is not optimistic。China economic times reporter in an interview with Beijing found，Before some year is still in operation of parts of the market or the supermarket has been closed，And part of the shopping center, and other high-end commercial real estate project is supported earnestly。Such as hualian shopping center there，Although has been started two or three years，But according to insiders revealed that always not too boom，Having a bad time。

　　中国商业地产联盟秘书长王永平前不久曾表示，“商业地产目前的状况是，行外乐观、行内悲观。 ”8月3日，王永平在出席RET睿意德活动时进一步指出，商业地产热背后存在房企盲目跟风，5年内会有一个洗牌的过程。另有业内人士则预言，在未来2—5年间，商业地产的这轮泡沫会被击穿。

China's commercial real estate league secretary general wang yongping, recently said，“Commercial real estate present situation is，Laypeople optimistic、Row pessimistic。 ”On August 3,，In wang yongping, attend RET gruppo meaning DE activities further points out，Commercial real estate fever are behind the room to blindly follow suit，Five years there will be a shuffle process。Otherwise the personage inside course of study is predicted，In the next 2-5 years，Commercial real estate of this wheel foam will be breakdown。