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官员房产税评估集训释放何种信号--亲稳网络舆情监控室
2012-08-20
8月13日,据媒体报道,全国30多个省(自治区、直辖市)和计划单列市的地税官员正在开展为期6个月的房产税税基评估集训,为开展非经营性消费房产的存量部分恢复征税的试点,提供技术储备。
On August 13,,According to media reports,The country more than 30 provinces(Autonomous region、Municipality directly under the)And city specifically designated in the state plan of land tax officials is waging a six-month housing property tax tax base training evaluation,For the development of the non-business consumption property tax pilot stock part of recovery,Provides technical reserves。
官方动态不仅于此。7月下旬,国务院派出8个督查组奔赴16个省市专项督查房地产调控政策落实情况。此番督查被评价为“发挥威慑作用,如果房价仍然上涨,不排除会出台新一轮调控政策”。事实上,早在2011年12月,国家税务总局财产行为税司司长陈杰就提出:2012年税收政策改革工作重点之一是在湖北、湖南两省开展房产税、城镇土地税合并的改革试点。财政部财科所所长贾康也表示,最高决策层已明确:“要适时扩大房产税试点范围。”
The official dynamic not only in this。Late July,The state council sent 8 to 16 provinces and cities DuZhaZu special protecting real estate regulation policy implementation。This is for protecting and evaluation“Play a vital role,If house prices are still rising,They would not rule out on a new round of regulation and control policy”。In fact,As early as in December 2011,State administration of taxation property behavior tax department priests ChenJie is put forward:2012 tax policy reform is one of focus in hubei、Hunan provinces in housing property tax、Town land tax merger reform pilot。The ministry of finance wealth branch director jia kang also said,The highest decision-making has clearly:“To timely expand housing property tax pilot range。”
面对种种信号,上海易居房地产研究院副院长杨红旭接受本报记者采访时表示:“对于将在更多城市征收房产税的预测,我持积极态度。但我认为即使新增试点城市,仍将以增量房征税为主,并且税率仍将偏低。针对存量房征税,施行阻力和操作难度较大。”
In the face of a variety of signal,Shanghai enjoysmart real estate institute vice President YangGongXu accepting our newspaper reporter to interview said:“In more cities to impose house property tax prediction,I have a positive attitude。But I think that even if new pilot cities,Will still to tax increment room is given priority to,And tax rate will still on the low side。According to the stock room taxation,Execute resistance and operation difficult。”
在他看来,难点之一便是“存量房评估”。“对于增量房,我们可以以当前交易价格为房屋总价,进而确定税值。但存量房很多已经购买多年,房屋价格变化巨大,我国又缺乏房屋价格的动态记录,导致评估难度很大。”他表示。
In his view,Is one of the difficulties“Stock room evaluation”。“For incremental room,We can to the current market price for the house price,And then determine the tax value。But many have already purchased stock room for many years,House price changes,China and the lack of housing price dynamic record,Lead to evaluate very difficult。”He said。
除了官方信号,杨红旭认为市场亦释放出信号。8月13日,房地产股价大跌。杨红旭认为这表明房地产市场有调控升级的需求。
In addition to the official signal,YangGongXu think market also release the signal。On August 13,,Real estate stocks tumbled。YangGongXu think this shows that the real estate market regulation and control upgrade requirements。
对于楼市是否回暖的探讨早已展开。北京中原地产市场研究总监张大伟告诉本报记者,目前楼市确实呈现一定程度回暖。另据21世纪不动产数据显示,7月北京二手房成交量环比增长31.1%,同比增长120.6%;上海地区增幅分别为9.4%和57.9%。
For the property market is milder discussion had spread。Beijing central plains real estate market research director ZhangDaWei told our reporter,At present the property market really become a certain degree of milder。Another according to the 21st century real estate data display,July Beijing second-hand house turnover link growth of 31.1%,Year-on-year growth of 120.6%;The Shanghai area rate were 9.4% and 57.9% respectively。
“原因有三点。首先,在国家出台宏观调控政策的基础上,多地均有所微调以刺激市场;其次,信贷松动促进了市场复苏。虽然限购、限贷这两点原则并未松动,但贷款利率下调对公众而言是最直接的信号,会影响其心理预期。”张大伟说。
“Reason has three。First of all,In the national macroeconomic regulation and control policy on the basis of,Many have been fine-tuning to stimulate the market;secondly,Loose credit to promote the market recovery。Although restricted、Limit credit of these two principles not loose,But the loan interest rates in to the public is the most direct signal,Will influence the psychological expectations。”ZhangDaWei said。
另外,按照往年惯例,“金九银十”期间市场或将迎来新一轮复苏,因此决策层很可能在此前后出台新政,抑制量价齐涨。张大伟表示,目前多地成交量已出现复苏势头。如果价格随之上涨,则会违背政策初衷、影响政府公信力。
In addition,According to the usual practice,“Gold nine silver ten”During the market or will have a new round of recovery,So the management team is likely to come after before the New Deal,Inhibition quantity price drawn up。ZhangDaWei said,At present more volume already appear recovery momentum。If the price is rising,Will violate policy original intention、Affect the credibility of our government。
“因此政府会出台新的调控政策予以辅助,我看好短期内房产税试点扩容。”对于现行调控政策的成效,张大伟表示,从目前完成的“国务院督查调控政策落实情况工作”来看,调控政策整体有效,“但公众不应期待房价出现骤降。调控的主要目的在于抑制房价过快上涨。”
“So the government will introduce new regulation policy be auxiliary,I valued the short term housing property tax pilot flash。”For the current regulation policy effect,ZhangDaWei said,From the current completed“Supervision under the state council regulation policy implementation work”To see,Control the overall effectiveness of the policy,“But the public should not expect prices appear dip。The main purpose of regulation is to inhibit overheating in housing prices。”
并非所有观点都看好房产税试点扩容。8月13日,有媒体称,多地地税官员参加房产税税基评估集训并非“扩大试点范围信号”。“短期内对存量房征收房产税或房产税试点由上海、重庆扩展到其他城市,可能性都不大。”该报道表示。
Not all viewpoints are prefer property tax pilot flash。On August 13,,Some media are calling,More land tax officials to participate in housing property tax tax base assessment training is not“To expand the scope signal”。“In the short term to stock room impose house property tax or housing property tax pilot from Shanghai、Chongqing spread to other cities,Possibility is not large。”The report says。
对此,杨红旭表示,不论持何种观点,长远看调节财富分配必须配以房产税改革推进,“房产税改革是我国税制改革的大方向,对于缓解贫富差距、收入两极分化意义重大”。
this,YangGongXu said,No matter what the view,The long run control the distribution of wealth must match with real estate tax reform,“Real estate tax reform is our tax system reform way,To alleviate the gap between rich and poor、Income polarization is of great significance”。
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