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楼市冷热交替 陷入深度博弈--亲稳舆论引导监测室
2012-08-23

  今年上半年,楼市在震荡中度过了两个季度。在此过程中,开发商不断地寻求突破,购房者也似乎停止了观望,开始寻觅入市机会。从上半年的市场销售看,住宅成交量呈现出了冷热交替的胶着状态,市场陷入前所未有的深度博弈。对此,专业人士提出:真正的楼市调控已近十年,但时间证明,行政手段干预并未解决根本,出台《国家住宅法》或将是楼市健康发展的唯一出路。 数据:楼市成交冷热交替

In the first half of this year,The property market in shock over two quarters。In the process,Developers seeking to break through constantly,The person that buy a house also seems to be stopped looking,Start looking for entering the market opportunity。From the first half of the market sales look,Residential turnover revealed a cold and hot alternate conglutination state,Markets into unprecedented depth game。this,Professionals put forward:The real property market regulation has nearly 10 years,But time prove,Administrative means intervention does not solve the fundamental,issued《National housing act》Or will the healthy development of the property market is the only way。 data:The property market clinch a deal the alternating

  据12319房产网数据统计:2012年1月份我市新建商品房共成交1169套,与去年12月份成交2739套相比,环比下降57.23%;2月份商品房成交共计1488套,较1月份,不管是成交套数、面积还是成交均价,都有所上涨。3月份楼市共成交2368套,环比上升59.14%,成交均价为每平方米6712元,环比下降了2.02%,楼市继续回暖。4月份成交量却一反回暖态势,六城区成交2252套;5月份楼市成交套数、面积以及总金额都呈继续下降趋势,成交总套数为1556套,环比下降30.91%。

According to the 12319 real estate net data statistics:In January 2012, the newly built commercial housing a total of 1169 sets of clinch a deal,In December of 2739 sets of clinch a deal compared,Link fell by 57.23%;In February of 1488 sets of commercial housing to clinch a deal,A January,Whether clinch a deal the number sets、Area or the price,Have rise。In march a total of 2368 sets of property clinch a deal,Link up 59.14%,The price is 6712 yuan per square meter,Chain fell 2.02%,Market continue to milder。Volume in April but a reverse milder situation,Six city clinch a deal 2252 sets;May the property market clinch a deal the number sets、Area and the total amount is to continue to decline,Clinch a deal the total number sets for 1556 sets,Link fell by 30.91%。

  到6月份楼市再次一片火热,成交套数达3010套,出现了成交套数、面积及成交金额都翻倍增长的态势,而成交均价则出现小幅下跌。 分析:政策是楼市信号弹

Until June property market fervent again,Clinch a deal the number sets up to 3010 sets,Appeared clinch a deal the number sets、Area and clinch a deal amount all interpret multiplication long situation,And the price have small drop。 analysis:Policy is the property market signal flare

  纵观上半年楼市成交态势,市房管局相关人士分析表示,国家在稳定房地产市场的基础上,一直坚持房地产政策调控不动摇,严格实施“限购”政策不动摇;而在坚持房地产调控不放松的同时,受到经济增长预期乏力的影响,楼市调控不像去年严厉。

The general situation in the first half of the property market clinch a deal,City department of housing management relevant personage analysis says,Countries in the stable real estate market basis,Always adhere to the real estate policy regulation not be moved,Strict implementation“restricted”Policy not be moved;And in adhere to the real estate regulation not relax at the same time,Economic growth is expected to the influence of the weak,The property market regulation not as tough last year。

  业内观点普遍认为,在实体经济遇到困难的形势下,为了稳增长、保增长,货币财政政策也在进行调整,由稳健变为积极,上半年先是降存准,而后又是降息,这也侧面给予了楼市巨大的利好信号。比如二三月份,楼市迅速回暖的主要原因就是首套房贷利率松绑,首次购房人群可以获得更多信贷支持,从而释放购房需求。

The industry generally believe that view,In the real economy meet difficult situation,In order to increase stability、The growth,Currency financial policy in the adjustment,The robust into a positive,In the first half of the first drop save quasi,He is to cut interest rates,It also side gave the property market huge bullish signal。For instance two march,The property market is the main reason, rapid warms up in the first set of mortgage interest rate easing,The first crowd can gain more credit support,Thus release pent-up demand。

  “可见,政策的任何一点变动都会直接影响到楼市的成交量,这一点在上半年楼市中表现也很突出。”省房地产协会原会长袁纶华称。 建议:出台《住宅法》很关键

“visible,Any policy changes will directly affect the property market turnover,This point in the first half performance in the property market is also very prominent。”Provincial real estate association of original YuanGuan China says。 Suggestions:issued《Housing act》Is the key

  成交量冷暖交替,楼市进入深度博弈。“要想摆脱这种局面,最有效、最长效的方法就是尽快出台《国家住宅法》,”袁纶华告诉记者,政府调控楼市最早可追溯到2003年,近两年来达到调控最高潮。早在国发〔2003〕18号《国务院关于促进房地产市场持续健康发展的通知》的文件中,就要求地方各级政府要认真贯彻国家宏观调控政策,从实际出发,完善房地产市场调控办法,建立有效的协调机制,并对本地房地产市场的健康发展负责。

Volume changes in temperature alternate,The property market into depth game。“If you want to get rid of this kind of situation,The most effective、The most effective method is introduced as soon as possible《National housing act》,”YuanGuan China told reporters,The government regulation and control the property market can be traced back to 2003,In the past two years to climax of the regulation。As early as in guo fa [2003] no. 18《The state council on promoting the sustainable and healthy development of the real estate market notice》file,Requires local governments at all levels should earnestly implement the national macroeconomic regulation and control policy,From the reality,Improving the real estate market regulation and control measures,To establish an effective coordination mechanism,And the local real estate market healthy development is responsible for。

  如今近十年过去了,房价上涨过快、住房保障不足等等问题依然在全国范围内存在。这些问题既有体制、机制原因,同时也暴露出我国住房法律体系建设的滞后和法律规范的严重缺失。因此,加快我国住房市场的法律体系建设已刻不容缓。

Now for nearly 10 years,Prices rose too quickly、Housing safeguard shortage, and so on questions still exist in the national scope。These problems both system、Mechanism reason,At the same time also exposed our country housing legal system construction of laws and regulations lag and serious lack。therefore,The acceleration of China's housing market legal system construction has been urgent。

  袁纶华称,出台《国家住宅法》可强化对“居住权”的法律保护,确保居民基本住房权利,让住房真正回归居住本质。同时,政府有义务促进住房市场的健康发展,为其提供良好的体制与政策环境。此外,要尽快出台《住房保障法》,填补我国住房保障法律的空白。通过立法明确住房保障范围、保障对象和保障标准。充分考虑我国工业化、城市化发展趋势,根据城市新增人口因素,实现对城镇常住居民的保障层次之间的有效衔接。对于产权型保障性住房(如经济适用住房)要大幅降低获益空间,对于租赁型保障住房(如公租房),要建立长效、规范的保障性住房支持体系,尽快弥补现行财税、金融以及土地法规中的空白和不足。

YuanGuan China says,issued《National housing act》Can strengthen“residency”Legal protection,To ensure that residents in the basic housing rights,Let the housing is real to return to live essence。At the same time,Government has an obligation to promote the healthy development of the housing market,To provide good system and policy environment。In addition,As soon as possible to come《Housing security》,Fill the blank of our country housing guarantee law。Through the legislation clear housing safeguard scope、Security object and security standard。Full consideration of our country's industrialization、The development trend of urbanization,According to the new urban population factors,Realize the permanent residents town the security levels of the effective connection between。For property type indemnificatory housing(As economy is applicable housing)To reduce benefit space,For lease type security housing(Such as the male renting a house),To establish long-term、Standard indemnificatory housing support system,For the current fiscal as soon as possible、Financial and land laws and regulations of the blank and the insufficiency。

  本报记者 贺娟芳

Our reporter HeJuanFang



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