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房价短期“反转”可能性不大--亲稳舆论引导监测室
2012-07-25

  据新华社海口7月18日电

According to xinhua news agency, haikou July 18 (Reuters)

  最近北京“地王”再现,深圳等地零星重现“排队购房”现象,上海、杭州、海南等多地楼市成交量有所放大借助楼市新“变数”,房价即将“反转”之声渐起。

Beijing recently“royal”reproduce,Shenzhen sporadic again“Queuing buy”phenomenon,Shanghai、hangzhou、Hainan etc more property market turnover has amplified with the new property market“variables”,House prices will“reversal”Gradually up the sound of。

  如今房价会不会“触底反转”?新的形势下楼市走势如何?市场博弈双方谁能胜算?有关楼市的预期牵动人心。

Now house prices will not“A touch on the reverse”?The new situation of the property market trend?Market players who can win?The property market expectations affect the heart。

  房价果真“触底”?

If house prices“Hit bottom”?

  部分缘于结构区域性波动

Partly structure regional fluctuations

  一些地方土地成交回暖的背后,是房价和交易量有所放大。得益于刺激刚性需求的楼市“微调”,加之开发商“以价跑量”,最近一些城市商品住宅交易呈现增长态势。

Some local land deal warms up in the back,House prices and trading volume is to enlarge。Thanks to stimulate demand market of rigid“fine-tuning”,Together with developers“The price is to run”,Recently some urban commodity residential house present trade growth situation。

  楼市“回暖”引发多方博弈。市场上有人热炒房价即将“反转”,网上惊现“新一轮房价快速上涨正拉开帷幕”。

Property market“warmed”Cause many game。The market is folly, someone house prices“reversal”,Appeared online“A new round of house prices are rising fast, begin”。

  专家认为,一方面,库存等大部分房地产指标依然低迷;另一方面,限购、限贷等调控政策基本面未改,这决定了房价短期“反转”可能性不大。

Experts say,On the one hand,Inventory and most real estate index downturn continues;On the other hand,限购、Credit limit and not change control policy fundamentals,To determine the short-term house prices“reversal”unlikely。

  国土资源部有关部门负责人近日表示,近期个别城市再现高价地,主要是结构性和区域性市场波动,并未改变市场整体偏冷的格局。

The director of the department of land and resources said recently,The recent individual cities representation to higher prices,Main is structural and regional market fluctuations,Did not change the pattern of the overall market slants cold。

  谁是背后推手?

Who is behind push?

  部分城市现“松绑”迹象

Parts of the city are now“easing”signs

  记者追踪发现,一些地方政府流露出加快为楼市“松绑”的迹象,试图尽快扭转“土地财政”收入下滑现状。一些被曝光的案例显示,部分城市对涉及违规骗取购房资格的开发商、中介和个人,实际上采取默许态度。

Reporter tracking found,Some local governments reveals the speed up the housing market“easing”Signs of,Trying to reverse as soon as possible“Land financial”Revenue declined status。Some cases of exposure display,Parts of the city to defraud the irregular purchase qualified developers、Intermediary and personal,In fact take tacitly attitude。

  试图改变房价预期的另一个推手是开发商。记者采访发现,一些开发商借一些地方政府“暗助”,开始打起楼盘涨价的主意,积极释放“房价已见底、调控将放松”的信号,诱导购房者出手。

Prices are expected to try to change another push is developers。Reporters found,Some developers to borrow some local governments“Dark help”,Start up the idea of building prices,Positive release“House prices already see bottom、Regulation will relax”signal,Induction homebuyers make moves。

  业内人士透露,部分开发商借市场阶段性“回暖”之机,甚至自导自演“楼市热销、供需两旺”的假象,为炒作涨价铺路。

Industry insiders said,Some developers by market phases“warmed”Machine of,Even the self-guided act“Property market sell like hot cakes、Supply and demand two popular”Illusions of the,Prices for paving the hype。

  如何捍卫调控成果?

How to defend control results?

  加快建立长效机制

To speed up the establishment of a long-term mechanism

  “如果房价再来一轮大涨,后果会很严重。”海口市民李晓岩说,“不能中断房地产调控。那样房价必然会报复性反弹,购房自住的市民根本无法承受。”

“If house prices surged to another round,The consequences will be very serious。”Haikou people LiXiaoYan said,“Real estate regulation can be interrupted。That house prices will rebound reprisal,Since the citizens live that buy a house can not take it。”

  最近,住建部等四部委频频释放楼市调控不动摇的信号,有关部门领导也一再强调继续实施严格的房地产调控政策。

recent,Live JianBu 4 ministries such as frequent release property market regulation unwavering signal,Leaders of relevant departments also stressed that continue to implement strict control policy of real estate。

  有关专家表示,在保增长的基调下要捍卫调控成果,必须加快建立房地产市场调控的长效机制。例如房产税改革应该加快,城市住房信息联网工作也应该加快。

Experts said,In the tone of the growth under control results to defend,We must establish the long-term mechanism of real estate market regulation。Such as housing property tax reform should speed up,City housing information networking work should also speed up。

  国家统计局新闻发言人盛来运认为,以廉租房、公租房为代表的保障房建设绝不能放松,而且应明确将其与城镇化的两大主力人群农民工和大学毕业生挂钩,防止分配不公。

The national bureau of statistics spokesman filled to transport think,To low-cost housing、Male rent as a representative of security room construction can never relax,And should be clear with the two main population urbanization and migrant workers university graduates hooks,Prevent unfair distribution。



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