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楼市更严厉调控措施可能出台--亲民维稳网络舆情监测室
2012-08-14
人民日报昨日刊发署名文章表示,如果现阶段放松调控,重新走上过度依赖房地产拉动GDP的老路,短期内可能会对经济增长起到刺激作用,长期看则无异于饮鸩止渴。持续这样的发展模式,会导致实体经济不振,产业结构调整迟迟无法推进,对于经济的长期伤害远大于短期拉动。
The People's Daily newspaper published yesterday signed the article said,If present relaxation regulation,Back on excessive dependence on real estate pull GDP made,The short term may play a stimulating effect on economic growth,The remedy is worse than the long run it is。Continue this model of development,Will be in solid economic malaise,Industrial structure adjustment slowly was unable to push forward,Long-term damage to the economy than short-term pulling。
靠救楼市稳增长无异于饮鸩止渴
By market stability is the remedy is worse than the growth save
文章表示,一些地方在稳增长的压力下,试图放松调控的愿望十分强烈。今年以来,已有约40个城市出台不同程度的楼市调控微调政策,而且力度有进一步加大的趋势。市场快速回暖和政策松动,对市场预期转变的影响正逐步体现。央行发布的二季度储户问卷调查报告显示,未来一季度有意愿买房的储户占15.7%,创两年来新高。
The article said,Some places in the steady growth under pressure,Try to relax the regulation of desire is very strong。Since this year,Already had about 40 cities on different levels of market regulation fine-tuning policy,And a further increase the strength of the trend。High market warms up and policy loose,The influence of the change of market expectations are gradually reflect。Issued by the central bank in the second quarter of savers questionnaire survey report shows,The future will buy a house savers the quarter of 15.7%,And two years high。
中国房地产协会副会长朱中一的观点认为,在稳增长的压力下,房地产调控面临的困难和阻力将越来越大。一方面,持续两年多的楼市调控对经济增长确实有一定影响,尤其是对房地产投资和上下游产业的影响正从各个方面体现出来,因此地方政府有放松调控的愿望和动力。另一方面,当前市场信息混乱、购房者担心房价反弹,再加上央行连续降息,降低了购房负担,许多原本观望的购房者加速出手买房,有可能让房价出现趋势性反转。
China real estate association and vice President of a view of the,In steady growth under pressure,Real estate control the difficulties and resistance will more and more big。On the one hand,For more than two years of market regulation on the economic growth that have certain effect,Especially for real estate investment and upstream and downstream industry impact are reflected in all aspects,So the local government have relaxing the desire and power control。On the other hand,The current market information chaos、The person that buy a house worry about house prices rebound,Plus the central bank to slash interest rates,Reduce the burden that buy a house,Many of the person that buy a house watching originally accelerated moves to buy a house,Had the potential to trend reversal in house prices。
朱中一认为,对一些地方而言,如果现阶段放松调控,重新走上过度依赖房地产拉动GDP的老路,短期内可能会对经济增长起到刺激作用,长期看则无异于饮鸩止渴。国务院发展研究中心专家认为,坚持调控,能在一定程度上倒逼地方将重心放在促进实体经济发展和经济结构的优化上。
A think zhu,For some in place,If present relaxation regulation,Back on excessive dependence on real estate pull GDP made,The short term may play a stimulating effect on economic growth,The remedy is worse than the long run it is。The state council development research center, experts say,Adhere to the regulation,To a certain extent DaoBi place will focus on promoting economic development and economic entity of the optimization of the structure。
国务院高调督查彰显调控决心
The state council determined to reveal regulation of protecting high profile
如果地方政策过度松动、房价反弹风险增加,更严厉调控措施可能出台,“第三季度可能会比较纠结。”朱中一表示。
If local policy too loose、House prices increased risk rebound,More stringent regulation measures may come,“The third quarter may be entanglements。”Zhu said a。
近两个月,住建部、国土资源部等部门连续多次表态,要坚持房地产调控相关措施不放松。国务院从7月下旬开始,派出8个督查组,对16个省市贯彻落实调控措施的情况开展专项督查。督查重点为住房限购措施、差别化信贷税收政策的执行情况和住房用地供应情况。
Nearly two months,Live JianBu、The ministry of land and resources and other departments has repeatedly comment,To insist on real estate regulation measures related to not to relax。The state council from late July start,A DuZhaZu sent 8,16 provinces and cities in the implementation of the measures to carry out special of superintendent himself。Protecting key for housing 限购 measures、Differentiation credit tax policy implementation and housing land supply。
房地产调控两年多来,国务院曾多次督查调控政策落实情况,相比之下,本次督查显得格外“高调”。业内人士普遍认为,高调的督查传递出中央不畏阵痛、将楼市调控坚持到底的决心,也在向一些地方传递信息,不能借口稳增长压力而放松调控。
Real estate control for more than two years,The state council has repeatedly control policy of protecting the implementation,compared,This appears to be superintendent himself“high-profile”。Industry insiders generally thought,High profile of protecting the central not deliver the pain、The property market regulation insist determination,Also in some place to transmit information,Can't excuse steady growth and relax pressure control。
据住建部有关人士透露,此次督查的结果将影响下一阶段调控政策的走向。如果地方政策过度松动、房价反弹风险增加,有可能出台更严厉的调控措施。对于落实调控政策不力、没有完成调控既定目标的地方,有关部门将进行约谈甚至问责。(本文有删节)
According to live JianBu relevant sources,The supervision will affect the result of a stage of the direction of the control policy。If local policy too loose、House prices increased risk rebound,May come on stage more severe adjustment measures。For implementing the poor control policies、No complete control established goal place,The relevant departments will be questioning even accountability。(This paper cuts have)
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