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地方屡次以“稳”犯禁 楼市调控会否“杀一儆百”--亲稳舆论引导监测室
2012-08-15
“稳增长”旗号下,地方政府微调房地产政策在所难免,下半年的楼市仍有乐观的可能。 摄影 李里 “Steady growth”Under the banner of the,The local government trimming real estate policy unavoidable,In the second half of the market still has the possibility of optimism。 Photography in the lee
无论是扬州的购房奖励,还是南京的松绑限购,其在出台政策时,都是打着“稳增长、扩内需”的旗号。稳增长已成为地方政府微调中央政策的冠冕堂皇的理由,在很大程度上阻碍了房地产调控。
Whether the reward of yangzhou,Or nanjing restricted relax,When in the policy,Are under the“Steady growth、Expanding domestic demand”banner。Steady growth has become a local government fine-tuning the central policy altisonant reason,To a large extent hindered the real estate regulation。
本报记者 邝龙 实习生 刘春
Our reporter LiuChun KuangLong interns
周一,南京市政府召开新闻发布会,发布《市政府关于进一步扩大内需拉动消费的若干意见》,出台一系列扩大内需、拉动房地产消费的政策。其中关于房地产的部分政策引发市场“限购松动”的讨论,在此背景下,房地产板块昨日再次闻声而动。
On Monday,Nanjing municipal government held a press conference,release《The municipal government on further expanding domestic demand consumption certain opinions》,Issued a series of expanding domestic demand、Pull the real estate consumer policy。Which part of the policy on real estate market by“Loose is restricted”discussion,In this context,Real estate plate yesterday again heard and dynamic。
虽然南京官方出面否认“限购松动”,并表示将继续坚持相关调控政策。但分析人士却认为,此次相关政策属于典型的“擦边球”,已经与管理层的房地产调控政策相违背,但在目前“稳增长”的背景下,中央很难实施“杀一儆百”的铁腕手段,楼市下半年可能仍较为乐观。
Although nanjing official to deny“Loose is restricted”,And says it will continue to adhere to the related regulation and control policy。But analysts but think,The relevant policy belong to typical“outside”,Have and management of real estate regulation policy against,But in the present“Steady growth”Under the background of the,It is difficult to implement the central“averagely”Means the iron hand,The second half of the property market may still relatively optimistic。
南京及时否认“救市”
Nanjing timely deny“Help city”
本周一下午,南京市政府召开新闻发布会,出台了一系列扩大内需、拉动房地产消费的政策,如积极支持人才住房消费,入选“321”计划的人才,政策缴纳公积金的可优先享受公积金贷款等。
On Monday afternoon,Nanjing municipal government held a press conference,Issued a series of expanding domestic demand、Pull the real estate consumer policy,Such as active support personnel housing consumption,in“321”Plan talent,Policy pay accumulation fund can enjoy priority provident fund loans, etc。
此举被市场视作地方政府出手救楼市,不过南京市住建委相关负责人当天就公开回应称:救市的猜测是误读,公布的政策中根本不存在解除限购的说法。
The move by the market as the local government make moves to save the property market,But nanjing live is built appoint the relevant person in charge of the same day as the public response to say:Save city guess is misreading,Published policy doesn't exist remove that is restricted。
然而,近一个月内,楼市回暖,土地也开始变热,南京政府在土地出让上也频频出手,一共推出51块地,这也表明南京政府迫切希望促进房地产消费。本月6日、13日,南京市国土局共预告10幅土地,17日,南京市国土局再次预告41块土地,总出让面积达230万平方米。
however,Nearly a month,Property market warms up,The land is starting to get hot,Nanjing government in land transfer is also frequently make moves,Launched a total of 51 piece of land,It also shows that the nanjing government is eager to promote real estate consumer。This month 6,、13,Nanjing land and resources bureau were forecast 10 pieces of land,17,Nanjing land and resources bureau again forecast and land,The total area of 2.3 million square meters。
南京房地产开发建设促进会秘书长张辉表示,关于“321人才计划”,符合条件的人数上限不过3000多人,除去其中一些在南京已经有住房的,最终真正符合政策条件的很可能仅有数十或数百人,这个数量几乎可以忽略不计。另外,关于公积金支持首套房和保障性住房也完全符合国家政策导向。
Nanjing real estate development and construction promotion association secretary general zhang hui said,about“321 talents plan”,The number of qualified limit but more than 3000 people,Remove some of them have been in nanjing housing,In the end, that truly conforms to the conditions of policy probably only dozens or hundreds of people,This number is negligible。In addition,About the accumulation fund to support the first suite and indemnificatory housing also fully conform to the state policy guidance。
专家统一认定“曲线救市”
Experts that unity“Curve save city”
亚太城市房地产研究院院长谢逸枫直言:“毫无疑问,南京楼市激励计划是彻头彻尾的"曲线救市"新政,具有触碰限购红线的嫌疑。”
The city real estate research institute President XieYiFeng the truth:“There is no doubt that,Nanjing property market incentive plan is dye-in-the-wood"Curve save city"New Deal,Touch the red line has restricted the suspicion。”
链家地产市场分析师常清对此表示,在当前整个调控政策从严从紧趋势明显的情况下,南京再次提出政策放松,“部分人才购房可视作本地户籍且享受公积金补贴,确实有变相放松限购的嫌疑,这已经是触及红线行为。”
Chain home real estate market analysts expressed a temperamental predominance,In the current the regulation and control policy strictly tight trend obvious cases,Nanjing again puts forward policy to relax,“Part of the talents can be regarded as this locality census register and enjoy accumulation fund subsidies,Do have disguised relax suspected of purchasing,It is touch the red line behavior。”
东莞证券地产行业分析师何小姐在接受记者采访时表示:“南京楼市激励计划在一定程度上是对本地房地产市场的刺激。虽然目前管理层依旧坚持调控基调,但在保增长的背景下,南京当地为扩大内需,适当放松刚需需求,在一定程度上可以促进楼市成交量。”
The dongguan securities real estate industry analysts young lady at when accepting a reporter to interview said:“Nanjing property market incentive plan to a certain extent to the local real estate market's stimulation。Although at present still adhere to the management regulation of fundamental key,But in the growing background,Nanjing local for expanding domestic demand,Appropriate relax just need to demand,To a certain extent, can promote the property market turnover。”
著名地产评论员、财经评论人吴其伦表示:“尽管"稳增长"中也提到了稳定和坚持房地产调控政策,可地方政府总是按捺不住微调中央调控的冲动。今年以来,已经有30多个城市微调中央的调控政策,超过一半的城市的微调政策得到了高层的默许。”
Famous real estate commentator、Financial commentators who WuJiLun said:“although"Steady growth"Also mentioned the stability and adhere to the real estate regulation policy,But local governments always can't restrain fine-tuning the central regulation of impulse。Since this year,Has more than 30 cities in the middle of the regulation and control policy adjustment,More than half of the city's fine policy received top acquiescence。”
日前,国土资源部和住建部联合下发紧急通知,要求坚持房地产市场调控不放松,密切配合做好各项工作,不断巩固调控成果,坚决防止房价反弹。短短两个月时间内国家相关部委就进行了9次坚决不放松房地产调控的表态。
a,The ministry of land and resources and living JianBu jointly issued an emergency notice,Demands to the real estate market regulation not to relax,Close cooperation to complete each work,And consolidating control results,Determined to prevent prices rebound。Just two months time the relevant state ministries and commissions for nine times resolute don't relax real estate regulation statement。
地方齐打“稳增长”旗号
Place together play“Steady growth”flag
瑞银发布研报称,南京出台拉动房地产消费政策表明地方政府放松调控动力十足。虽然国土部、住建部重申严格执行现有调控政策,但目前经济增长形势、土地成交情况和地方政府财政压力给政策收紧留有的空间有限。
Ubs release research reports,Nanjing pulled out the real estate consumer policy shows that the local government to relax regulation motivation。Although land department、Live JianBu reiterated that the strict implementation of existing regulation policy,But the present economic growth situation、Land deal and local government financial pressure to tighten policy leave some space is limited。
摩根士丹利大中华区首席经济学家乔虹认为,由于地方政府土地收入锐减,因此在房地产政策上出现此类试探之举不足为奇。如果无法解决地方政府财政收入问题,包括保障房在内的诸多在建工程急待资金,地方政府将被迫放松房地产政策。
Morgan Stanley chief economist in the greater China region QiaoHong think,Because the local government land revenues plunged,So in the real estate policy appeared such an test no wonder。If cannot solve the local government financial income,Including security room, the many construction in progress burning funds,The local government will be forced to relax the real estate policy。
东莞证券的何小姐也表示:“在目前稳增长的基调下,地方政府迫于经济压力,微调房地产政策在所难免;同时也由于稳增长的要求,只要地方政府没有触及底线,放纵投资投机行为,管理层不出台更加强硬的政策,这对下半年的楼市来说就是个利好。”
The dongguan securities HeXiaoJie also said:“In the present steady growth under the fundamental key,The government has responded to the local economic pressure,Trimming the real estate policy unavoidable;At the same time because the stability requirements of growth,As long as the local government does not touch the bottom line,Indulgence investment speculation,Management does not come more tough policy,This for the remainder of the year for the property market is a bullish。”
对此,吴其伦进一步认为,“管理层多次呼吁,目前房地产市场调控仍然处在关键时期,调控任务还很艰巨。面对如此艰巨的调控任务,不仅需要管理层及时出台极具针对性的房地产调控政策,更需要相关部门及地方政府高效执行。”
this,WuJiLun further think,“Management have repeatedly called on,At present the real estate market regulation and control is still in a critical period,Regulation is still very arduous task。In the face of such a hard control task,Not only need management timely highly specific real estate regulation policy,Need more related departments and local governments efficient execution。”
何小姐也认为:“如果管理层未对相关地方政府"杀一儆百",那么相关政策在下半年将进一步松动。”
HeXiaoJie also think:“If the management not to the related local governments"averagely",So relevant policies in the second half will further loose。”
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