中广网北京10月5日消息（记者丁飞）据中国之声《新闻晚高峰》报道，10月，是属于诺贝尔奖的月份。从10月8日，十一长假结束的第一天开始，远在北欧的瑞典将陆续颁发出一年一度的诺贝尔奖。而法新社最新的报道称，今年的诺贝尔文学奖将很可能在中国作家莫言和日本作家村上春树中产生。

In the wide net Beijing on October 5, news(Reporter DingFei)According to the sound of China[News late peak]reports,October,It is to belong to the Nobel Prize in the.From October 8,,Eleven long holiday at the end of the first day,Far northern Sweden will be issued in the annual Nobel Prize.And AFP the latest reports,This year's Nobel Prize for literature will likely in the Chinese writer, mo yan and Japanese writer in the spring tree produce.

　　不光如此，在全球著名博彩公司Unibet公布的赔率表上，首次出现在名单上的莫言也排在第一顺位，村上春树紧随其后。种种迹象似乎都在说着，今年的诺贝尔文学奖很值得一看。

Not only so,In the gambling world famous company announced Unibet the odds on the table,First appeared in the list of mo yan also row in the first sequence,Followed by the spring tree.All the signs are seems to be said,This year's Nobel Prize in literature is well worth a visit.

　　如果现在打开诺贝尔奖的官方网站，你会看见，最上方排列着今年诺贝尔各大奖项的颁发日期，唯独躲在最后的文学奖迟迟没有确定的日子。这似乎在说，文学奖是特殊的。

If now open the Nobel Prize's official website,You will see,The top in rows of this year's Nobel Prize in the awards of the issue date,But hiding in the final prize for literature can not determine the day.This seems to be saying,Prize for literature is special.

　　没错，难预测和悬念大，这些年一直伴随着诺贝尔文学奖，所以它也自然成了博彩公司最热爱的领域。今年排在他们预测第一位的，是中国作家莫言。而莫言却在接受采访时，始终不愿谈起这个话题：

That's right,Difficult to forecast and suspense big,Over the years has been accompanied by the Nobel Prize for literature,So it also naturally became the gaming company's most love field.This year they predict row in the first,Is Chinese writer, mo yan.And mo yan is in an interview,Always unwilling to talk about this topic:

　　莫言：诺贝尔奖毫无疑问是影响最大的国际文学奖，但在它的历史上，也确实有很多作家缺席，像托尔斯泰、卡夫卡都并没有获得这个奖项。而获奖作家里面，有的人的作品也并不是我们都很钦佩。为什么我不愿意谈这个话题，因为一谈马上就会有人来攻击，很多人在批评中国作家有诺贝尔焦虑症，对我这种批评就更多了。

Mo yan:The Nobel Prize is no doubt the biggest impact on the international prize for literature,But in its history,There are a lot of writers absent,Like Tolstoy/Kafka are and don't get the award.And the writer inside,Some people work and not we all admire.Why I don't want to talk about this topic,Because a talk about'll someone to attack,A lot of people in the criticism of Chinese writers have Nobel anxiety,The criticism to me there was more.

　　与莫言和村上春树都打过交道的，是1994年获得诺贝尔文学奖的日本作家大江健三郎。他曾经预言说，“如果继我之后还有亚洲作家获得文学奖，我看好莫言。”而在莫言却未料到，他酝酿十多年、笔耕四载、三易其稿、潜心创造的这第十一部长篇小说《蛙》，在先后获得茅盾文学奖和诺奖青睐之余，却被人指责，说小说中的日本人暗指大江健三郎，这是在讨好诺贝尔奖：

And mo yan and all the spring tree dealt,Was awarded the Nobel Prize in 1994 Japanese writer kenzaburo oe.He had predicted,"If after my and Asia after writer get prize for literature,I valued mo yan."And in mo yan did not expect,He brewing more than ten years/Earns a living by pen four load/Three drafts before/With great concentration of creating the first ten long novel[frog],It has received in maodun literature and the Nobel favour more than the,Was accused,Said of the novel the Japanese allude kenzaburo oe,This is please the Nobel Prize:

　　莫言：很多人说是向洋人献媚，是说我拿这个奖向诺贝尔奖献媚，好像中国作家一个个都是被诺贝尔搞得坐立不安，今天去献媚，明天去示好，这怎么可能呢？你知道他喜欢什么？再一个难道文学有配方吗？我能知道吗？

Mo yan:A lot of people say to suck up foreigner,Mean I get this prize sucking up to the Nobel Prize,As the Chinese writer one by one all is the Nobel got on pins and needles,Today to suck up,Tomorrow and good,How could it be possible?You know he like?Another is literature have recipe?I can know?

　　在网络上搜索关键词，莫言+诺贝尔文学奖，排在第一位的新闻来自一篇写于两年前的博客，题目是《莫言，问鼎诺贝尔文学奖的条件已经具备》，作者是复旦大学中国当代文学创作与研究中心副主任栾梅健。两年前，他曾为莫言组织过第一场专场创作研讨会，遍邀国内外名家；两年来他也一直坚信，莫言有一天会问鼎诺奖。谈起莫言，他依然激动：

On the network search keywords,Mo yan + the Nobel Prize for literature,Top of the news from a blog written in two years ago,Topic is[Mo yan,Won the Nobel Prize for literature has the condition],The writer is fudan university Chinese contemporary literary creation and research center deputy director LuanMeiJian.Two years ago,He was the first game for mo yan organized special creation seminar,Times invite famous at home and abroad;In the past two years he has been firmly believe that,MoYanYou one day won the Nobel.About mo yan,He still excited:

　　栾梅健：事实上莫言他提供了一个很好的主题，挖掘以前的计划生育主题。西方对中国这种举措有好多的歧视，也有好多的误解，但是莫言从一个辩证的角度来阐述，这样文学主题式也比较受欢迎，从这两个方面来评价的话，我认为莫言获得奖的概率就比较大。

LuanMeiJian:In fact, mo yan he offers a good theme,Before mining family planning theme.West's this move would have a lot of discrimination,Also has a lot of misunderstandings,But mo yan from a dialectical point of view to elaborate,This literary theme and more popular,From these two aspects to evaluate words,I think the probability of mo yan won prize is greater.

　　三天后，8号开始，医学、物理、化学、文学、和平奖、经济学奖得主，一些新的名字将会进入诺贝尔奖的历史。文学奖是特殊的，只在宣布得奖前几天才会确定最后的日期，不过有人估计，那一天，是在10月11号。

Three days later,8 began to,medical/physical/chemical/literature/Peace prize/Economics prize winner,Some new name will enter the history of the Nobel Prize.Prize for literature is special,Only in the announced a few days ago will determine the final date,However, some people estimate,That day,On October 11.