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80后学者“腐败”量化分析 初生牛犊闯入学术界--亲稳舆论引导监测室
2012-11-04
新闻背景:24岁的涂谦是深圳大学当代中国政治研究所的硕士研究生,他选取十六大召开以来被查处的72名省部级腐败官员的案例进行研究,他的调查分析成果于去年完成,并发表在《当代中国政治研究报告》上,引起社会各界的高度关注。
News background:24 years old TuQian is shenzhen university institute of contemporary Chinese political master graduate student,He selected the 16th national congress has been investigated 72 provincial officials corruption case study,His investigation analysis results in finished last year,And published in[The contemporary Chinese political research report]on,Cause the community the high attention.
52岁至62岁为腐败高发年龄段
52 years old to 62 years for corruption high-risk age
在查处的72名省部级官员中,有近五成官员被查处时的年龄在56至62岁期间,共31人,占43.1%;49至55岁者19人,占26.4%;63至69岁者20人,占27.8%;70岁以上为2人,占2.7%。55岁和62岁的人数都分别为6人和7人,多于其他年龄段人数,整体平均年龄为59.71岁。
And in 72 the provincial officials,Nearly fifty percent officials were investigated in the age 56 to 62 years period,31 people,Accounted for 43.1%;49 to 55 years old 19 people,Accounted for 26.4%;63 to 69 years old 20 people,Accounted for 27.8%;More than 70 - year - old for two people,2.7%.55 years old and 62 - year - old number respectively all 6 and 7 people,More than the number of other ages,The overall average age was 59.71 years old.
分析可看出,我国查处的省部级腐败官员大部分为副部级官员,所占比例近七成。
Analysis can be seen,Our country level and most corrupt officials for deputy ministry class officials,The proportion of nearly seventy percent.
近八成官员腐败期间职务能得到晋升
Nearly eighty percent during the official corruption position can get promotion
在55个有明确的腐败时间跨度的样本中,时间跨度为10年以上者21人,占38%;5至9年者25人,占45%;5年以下者9人,占12%;平均时间跨度为8.5年。这意味着腐败官员在第一次做出贪污或受贿等腐败行为后将近9年才东窗事发。这其中,跨度最长者为原中央政治局委员、原上海市委书记陈良宇,达18年;跨度最短者是原山西省委副书记侯伍杰,仅为两个月。
In 55 have clear corruption time span in the sample,Time span for 10 years or more 21 people,38%;5 to 9 years are 25 people,45%;5 years the following person 9 people,12%;The average time span is 8.5 years.This means that the corrupt officials in the first make corruption, such as bribery, corruption or after almost nine years to come to light.the,The longest span for the original politburo member/Former Shanghai party secretary Chen liangyu,For up to 18 years;Span the shortest person is original shanxi vice secretary of provincial party committee HouWuJie,For two months only.
从官员在腐败时期内担任的职务来看,除辽宁省原副省长刘克田、湖南省高院原院长吴振汉、国家统计局原局长邱晓华等少数人外,其余高官在腐败期内的职务均有变动,甚至有近80%的腐败官员职务得到了晋升。
From officials in corruption period as a position to see,In addition to the original vice governor LiuKeTian in liaoning province/The former director of hunan ShengGaoYuan WuZhenHan/The national bureau of statistics director of the original QiuXiaoHua and a few people outside,The rest of the official corruption in the period of the position have the change,There is even nearly 80% of corrupt officials position to get a promotion.
政府部门发案率最高纪委最低
Government departments anti-investigation highest discipline inspection commission minimum
72名省部级腐败官员大部分来自地方,人数为52人,占72.2%;来自中央部门的人数为20人,占27.8%。
72 provincial most corrupt officials from local,Number for 52,Accounted for 72.2%;The number of people from the central departments for 20 people,Accounted for 27.8%.
依据横向权力即权力类型分析,各部门腐败率差异较大,当前腐败现象已渗透于党委、政府、人大、政协、纪委、司法、国企、军队及高校和科研机构中,其中政府部门发案率较高,有19人,占26.4%;党委部门13人,占18.1%;人大与国企各9人,各占12.5%;政协与司法同为8人,各占11.1%;高校及科研机构2人,占2.8%;纪委发案率最低,仅有1人,占1.4%。
According to the horizontal power that power type analysis,Each department corruption rate differences,The current corruption phenomenon has permeates the party committee/The government/National People's Congress/Political consultative conference/Discipline inspection commission/judicial/State-owned enterprises/The army and universities and scientific research organizations,The government departments of higher incidence,Nineteen people,Accounted for 26.4%;The party committee department 13 people,Accounted for 18.1%;National People's Congress and the state-owned enterprises nine people,Each accounted for 12.5%;Political consultative conference and judicial with for eight people,Each accounted for 11.1%;Colleges and scientific research institutions 2 people,2.8%;Discipline inspection commission anti-investigation minimum,Only one person,1.4%.
政治领域腐败主要是买官卖官
The political domain corruption is mainly buy officer sell officer
72名高官中,经济领域发案率最高,有60人。
72 the official,The highest incidence areas of the economy,Have 60 people.
省部级高官在政治领域的腐败主要表现是为他人职务升迁变动、人事录用和干预案件处理等提供便利。在所有案例中,有31人涉及政治领域腐败,接近半数。政治领域的腐败主要集中于买官卖官。不少腐败高官同时渗透于经济和政治领域,“复合型”腐败现象明显。此外,“钱、权、色”是腐败高官的共同特征。
Provincial official corruption in the political field mainly is for others to change position promotion/Personnel employed and intervention treatment cases provide convenience.In all cases,31 people about political corruption,Almost half of the.In the field of political corruption is mainly focus on buy officer sell officer.A lot of corrupt officials and penetration in the economic and political fields,"compound"Corruption phenomenon is obvious.In addition,"money/right/color"Is the common features of official corruption.
据《深圳晚报》
According to[Shenzhen evening news]
闯入学术界的初生牛犊 Into academic newborn calves
多数人对腐败的态度,常常是模糊定性的义愤,而非精确定量的技术分析。而这对反腐倡廉的制度性建设,意义不大。当下社会需要的,恰是涂谦这种清晰冷静的研究方式。
For many people the attitude of the corruption,Is often fuzzy qualitative indignation,Rather than precise quantitative technical analysis.And this is for the institutional construction of anti-corruption and building a clean government,Significance not.Then the needs of the society,Just is TuQian this clear calm research way.
24岁的涂谦是深圳大学当代中国政治研究所的硕士研究生,他选取十六大召开以来被查处的72名省部级腐败官员的案例进行研究,他的调查分析成果于去年完成,并发表在《当代中国政治研究报告》上,引起社会各界的高度关注。
24 years old TuQian is shenzhen university institute of contemporary Chinese political master graduate student,He selected the 16th national congress has been investigated 72 provincial officials corruption case study,His investigation analysis results in finished last year,And published in[The contemporary Chinese political research report]on,Cause the community the high attention.
涂谦研究成果受到关注的原因,一方面,是因为他所研究的课题涉及当下中国社会最值得关注的腐败问题,而被查处的72名腐败官员的案例,其“省部级”的头衔具有很强的引爆性;另一方面,则是因为涂谦的年纪和资历与他所要研究的课题的沉重性和艰巨度相比,1988年出生的他,无论从学识和经验度的积累,都显得“轻”了些。
TuQian research the cause of concern,On the one hand,Because he has the task of research involving the Chinese society's most notable corruption,And by 72 cases of corrupt officials,the"provincial"The title of the detonation of a strong sexual;On the other hand,It is because TuQian age and seniority and he will study topic heavy sex and difficult than degrees,He was born in 1988,No matter from the accumulation of knowledge and experience degree,seem"light"some.
但在某些特定的历史氛围之下,一个研究者的勇气可以说是战胜经验和学识积累而取得成就的关键因素。初生牛犊最有力的武器不是经验,而是勇气和斗志。尽管这种斗志,可能建立在对“老虎”的厉害认识不足的基础上。但这一点,恰是“小牛犊”最值得尊敬的地方。
But in some specific history under atmosphere,One of the researchers courage can be said to be over experience and knowledge accumulation and the key factor of achievement.Newborn calves the most powerful weapon is not experience,But courage and will to fight.Although the morale,May be based on"The tiger"Badly impercipient basis.But this,Just is"calf"The most respectable place.
涂谦这位生于1988年的学子,让人看到了一些清新和鲜亮的色彩。就如同申请公开“表哥”杨达才工资的同龄人刘艳峰一样,涂谦这样的年轻学者,让我们眼前一亮。他们没有如某些前辈那样,躲进小楼去研究“马王爷究竟有多少只眼”这样的远离现实的“安全”课题;也没有像被利益化了的学者们那样,到处去为官员和机构提供能挣来真金白银实惠的“课题研究”;他们甚至不像多数同龄人一样,抱定“天下事关我屁事”的态度闭上眼睛和耳朵埋头于个人的小世界;更没像一些网友那样,凭着一腔热情对腐败狂骂一些有激情但没意义的粗话。
TuQian the was born in 1988 students,Let a person see some fresh and bright color.As for application for public"cousin"YangDaCai wage peers as LiuYanFeng,TuQian such young scholars,Let us shine at the moment.They did not like some of the elder that,Hide into house to study"Horse king how many eyes"This far out"safety"subject;Also there is no one like be benefit for the scholars of that,Around for officials and agencies can make to provide real gold and silver affordable"Subject research";They even don't like most other peers,conduct"The world is my fart matter"Attitude close your eyes and ears sunk in individual small world;More didn't like some net friend like that,With a cavity enthusiasm to the corruption rave some passionate but no meaning language.
他就那样淡定平和地用数字和证据说话,不意气用事,也不主题先行。以“只谈问题,不说主义”的方式,很技术地挖掘出许多规律性的东西。当然,这种做法,是囿于他所做的课题本身的特殊性,同时,也受限于一些可以想象的阻力,而且,得出的许多结论,大致是耳熟能详,甚至正确得像废话。但是,它的意义却在于,这些结论是基于事实,而非想象。这恰是当下社会对腐败问题的认知局限多数人对腐败的态度,常常是模糊定性的义愤,而非精确定量的技术分析。而这对反腐倡廉的制度性建设,意义不大。当下社会需要的,恰是涂谦这种清晰冷静的研究方式。
He was so calm peace with digital and evidence to speak,Don't emotional,Also not subject first.to"Only talk about problems,Not socialist"way,Very technical digging out many regular thing.Of course,This kind of practice,Is constrained by what he has done to the particularity of the subject itself,At the same time,Also restricted to some can imagine resistance,and,Many of the conclusion obtained,Roughly is familiar,Even the correct like crap.but,Its significance lies in,The conclusion is based on facts,Rather than imagine.This just is the society to corruption cognitive limitations for many people the attitude of the corruption,Is often fuzzy qualitative indignation,Rather than precise quantitative technical analysis.And this is for the institutional construction of anti-corruption and building a clean government,Significance not.Then the needs of the society,Just is TuQian this clear calm research way.
在涂谦的研究过程中所搜集的腐败官员样本资料均来自人民网、新华网等权威媒体和《最高人民检察院年度工作报告》、《最高人民法院年度工作报告》及各级纪检机关的公开资料。这一点可以表明两层意义,其一,是表明他的态度是谨慎和庄重的;而另一层意思,则是小心和拘谨。这两点足以表明,年轻的涂谦,并非单纯的初生牛犊,而多少有些老牛的沉稳与谨慎。
In TuQian research in the process of collecting sample data of corrupt officials are from PRC/Xinhuanet other authoritative media and[The supreme people's procuratorate annual work report]/[The supreme people's court annual work report]And disciplinary organs at all levels of access to information.This can show that two layers of meaning,one,That's his attitude is careful and serious;And the other a layer of meaning,Is careful and formality.This two enough to show that,The young TuQian,Is not a simple newborn calves,And how many some of the old cow composed with caution.
曾颖(作家)
CengYing(writer)
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