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20多位国内人口学者建议2015年全面放开二胎--亲稳网络舆情监测室
2012-11-03
原标题:2015年全面放开二胎
Original title:2015 comprehensive open two foetuses
在经历了迅速从高生育率到低生育率的转变之后,我国人口的主要矛盾已经不再是增长过快,而是人口红利消失、临近超低生育率水平、人口老龄化、出生性别比失调等。国内20多位顶尖人口学者历经两年研究指出,我国的人口政策亟待转向,尤其是生育政策应该调整。
After rapid from high fertility to low fertility rate after the transformation,China's population of the principal contradiction is no longer rapid growth,But the demographic dividend disappear/Near the low fertility level/An aging population/Sex ratio at birth disorders.More than 20 domestic top population scholars after two years study,The population policy of our country to be steering,Especially the birth policy should be adjusted.
城市地区应即刻放开二胎 Urban areas should be immediate release two foetuses
在中国发展研究基金会上月底发布的报告《人口形势的变化和人口政策的调整》中,这些学者建议,我国应实施“生育自主、倡导节制、素质优先、全面发展”的新人口政策。
In the China development research foundation report released by the end of last month[The population situation changes and population policy adjustment]in,These scholars have suggested that,Our country should implement"Fertility independent/Advocating abstinence/Quality priority/All-round development"Policy of new population growth has resulted.
该报告特别提出,近期生育政策的调整方案应该是在全国分步实施放开“二胎”。第一步,在城市地区和严格执行一胎政策的农村地区即刻放开二胎;第二步,2015年,在实行“一胎半”(即有的地区第一胎为女孩的夫妇可以生二胎)政策的地区放开二胎,实现全国全面放开二胎的目标。
The report noted,Recent birth policy adjustment scheme should be in the national implement step by step let go"Two foetuses".The first step,In urban areas and strictly implement the one child policy of rural area immediate release two foetuses;The second step,In 2015,,The implementation of the"One child half"(That is some area the first tyre for the girl's couples to have two foetuses)Policy areas open two foetuses,To realize the national comprehensive open two foetuses goal.
找回人口红利须调整生育政策 Find population dividend policy must be adjusted
专家研究认为,分区域分步放开“二胎”,可以避免同时全部放开带来的人口大起大落,也可避免放开“单独”带来的花费时间较长、贻误时机等问题。
Experts studies suggest that,Points area step let go"Two foetuses",Can avoid all let go at the same time bring the population marked ups and downs,Also can avoid let go"alone"Bring cost for a long time/Problems such as delay time.
中国社科院人口与劳动经济研究所所长蔡昉介绍,学界通常用人口抚养比下降来定义人口红利,根据联合国的预测,中国的人口总抚养比于2011年跌至谷底,中国的人口红利期已经结束。劳动力成本上升导致中国丧失部分劳动密集型产业优势,就是人口红利期结束的表现。
The Chinese academy of population and Labour economics research institute director fang CAI is introduced,Academic circles usually use population than raising down to define the demographic dividend,According to the prediction of the United Nations,The population of China is always raising ratio in 2011 dropped to the bottom,China's demographic dividend period is over.Rising labor costs to lose some of China's labor intensive industry advantage,Is the demographic dividend period at the end of the performance.
在专家看来,调整生育政策可缓解20年后的高度老龄化局面,使中国再次获得人口红利。
The experts believe,Adjust birth policy can alleviate the height of 20 years aging situation,Make China again won demographic dividend.
(据11月1日《中国青年报》)
(According to November 1[The China youth daily])
深圳:到香港生二胎算超生 shenzhen:Born to Hong Kong two foetuses calculate super living
出台全国首部明确规定境外超生问题的地方性法规 On the national first specified overseas super living problem of local laws and regulations
《深圳经济特区人口与计划生育条例》日前通过,将于明年1月1日起施行。这个条例被视为首部针对境外超生问题作出明确规定的地方性法规。
[Shenzhen special economic zone population and family planning regulations]Through a,On January 1,.This regulation is considered as the first overseas super living in a defined local regulations.
条例规定,“夫妻双方为深圳市户籍,或一方为本市户籍另一方为非本市户籍的中国内地公民,违反女方户籍地生育政策在境外生育子女且其子女在本市办理入户或者两年内在境内居住满18个月的”,按超生处理。
regulations,"Both sides of husband and wife for shenzhen census register,Or a party for the registered permanent residence of this municipality the other party is not the registered permanent residence of this municipality the Chinese mainland citizens,Violation of the registered outside the birth policy have children and their children in the city for two years door or have resided in China for full 18 months",According to the super living processing.
深圳毗邻香港,有相当一部分户籍居民到港澳等地生育二胎。深圳此次通过的条例明确规定,对超生人员无论是行为发生地、现居住地、户籍地均可征收社会抚养费。
Shenzhen adjacent to Hong Kong,There are quite a few household residents to Hong Kong and Macao, birth two foetuses.Shenzhen this through the regulations explicitly stipulated,To super living personnel whether behavior occurs/Reside a dwelling place to/Assess all can levy social support.
(据新华社电)
(According to xinhua)
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