六成城市93＃汽油跌破7元

Sixty percent of the cities # 93 gas fell below $7

　　本报记者

Our reporter

　　张一鸣

ZhangYiMing

　　7月11日，国内成品油价年内第三次下调，与此前6月9日调价时不同，多个地区批发环节的成品油价不跌反涨。金银岛的分析师韩景媛说，调价后一周内国内柴油批发价每吨上涨19元。

July 11,，Domestic product oil prices years down the third time，As the previous June 9, when there are different，Multiple areas of finished products wholesale link up oil prices do not fall the。Analysts said the treasure island HanJingYuan，Within one week after domestic diesel refiners wholesale price per ton rose $19。

　　由于汽柴油调价的时间点早就已经被市场广泛知悉，下游的成品油购买商和终端加油站大多持观望态度，不愿意出手购进成品油，导致一部分需求被抑制，成品油的生产商不得不降价促销，批发环节的价格已经提前透支。

Because the time point gasoline and diesel refiners would have been widely known，The lower reaches of refined oil buyer and a terminal station most becoming ambivalent，Don't want to make moves buys oil products，Part of the need to be restrained，The manufacturer of the product to depreciate sales promotion，Wholesale link prices have advanced overdraw。

　　与此同时，7月11日国内成品油价格下调窗口打开之前，国际原油曾经两个单日上涨，中下游的贸易商和终端零售商加油站在调价后均适量地进货，下游需求在7月12日后出现一定程度的恢复。

At the same time，July 11, domestic product prices down before the window open，International crude oil had two one-day rise，Of middle and lower reaches of traders and terminal retailers are in after pricing gas station right amount ground to get in，Downstream demand on July 12 there in a degree of recovery。

　　上述两种因素作用下，上周国内成品油批发市场走出一波与零售市场相反的行情。卓创资讯首席分析师刘峰说，7月11日油价下调的首日，山东地方炼厂包括汽油和柴油炼厂在内的汽柴油出厂价都是不跌反涨。

These two factors，Last week the domestic oil products wholesale market out of a wave and retail market instead of the market。Zhuo and chief information LiuFeng analysts said，July 11, first cut oil prices，Shandong place refinery including petrol and diesel, gasoline and diesel factory price of the refinery is not fall the rise。

　　在7月11日调价之前，山东地方炼厂的柴油价格低于政府规定的最高批发限价300元／吨，存在一定的上涨空间。

On July 11, before there，Shandong place of refinery diesel prices lower than the wholesale price fixing the highest government regulation 300 yuan/ton，There are certain up space。

　　刘峰向记者分析说，下游的成品油购买商由于预期到调价，之前都选择观望，无论贸易商还是加油站都保持低库存或者零库存运行，导致调价落实后出现了3到5天的集中补充购买时间，炼厂顺势抬高出厂价格。

LiuFeng analysis to the reporter said，The lower reaches of oil products expected to buyer because refiners，Choose before watching，Whether traders or gas stations to keep low inventory or zero inventory operation，Refiners to implement appeared after 3 to 5 days of intensive added buy time，Refinery with producer prices up。

　　这并不是今年成品油的批发环节第一次出现与零售市场相反的逆向运转现象。2012年国内成品油价格的三次下调前后，都曾短暂地出现过下游客户调价前不买货，调价之后集中买进，反而支撑了价格上涨的现象。

This is not of refined oil wholesale link this year for the first time and retail market instead of the reverse operation phenomenon。2012 years of domestic prices of refined petroleum products three times before and after cut，All had briefly appeared before the downstream customer pricing buy goods，After pricing on average，But the support the rising price of phenomenon。

　　市场人士说，在现行的成品油定价机制下，国内的油价很容易被贸易商炒作，成品油批发市场不是卖方市场，而是跟着买方市场走，只要下游的客户不买进，上游炼厂就只能干着急。

Market experts said，In the current oil price mechanism，Domestic oil prices is easy to traders hype，Oil products wholesale market is not the seller's market，But follow the buyer's market go，As long as the downstream customers don't buy，The refinery can stem worried。

　　依据现行的成品油价格形成机制，国际三地?辛塔、迪拜、布伦特DTD　原油价格在22个工作日内达到正向或者负向4%的变化幅度时，国内成品油价格将适时上调或者下调。

Based on the current oil price forming mechanism，Three international?Michael essien tower、dubai、Brent crude oil prices in the 22 DTD positive or negative to working days to 4% when the extent of change，Domestic product prices will rise or fall。

　　对于后期国内的成品油市场，刘峰并不乐观。他认为等下游需求被释放完，销售恢复原状，批发环节的价格就会支撑不住，在目前经济大环境不景气的情况下，可能还会下跌。

The late for domestic refined oil market，LiuFeng not optimistic。He thinks, was released after downstream demand，Sales restorable，Wholesale link the price of bear，In the current economic environment of the recession，May fall。

　　上周国内油价下调后，国际原油保持宽幅震荡走势，截至7月15日，市场监测机构测算的国际三地原油价格变化率正在向正向变化。这意味着如果国际原油持稳，三地原油变化率经过短期的下行之后，会上涨至正向范围内。

Domestic oil prices last week after the cut，Keep a wide range of international crude oil movements，By July 15,，The market monitoring agency estimates of the international oil prices are going to change rate three positive change。This means that if the international crude oil steady，The three places crude oil rate after the short term after downside，Will rise to positive range。

　　分析师认为，第三季度国家一批重大项目开工建设，房地产市场逐渐回暖，中国经济增速止跌反弹会利好国内成品油市场，国内成品油市场有望逐步起死回生，8月份成品油市场或难现“四连跌”。

Analysts believe，The third quarter countries a number of major construction project，The real estate market gets warmer，China's economic growth will rebound reason good domestic refined oil market，Domestic refined oil market is expected to step back from the dead，August refined oil market or difficult now“Four even fall”。

　　监测机构的数据显示，此次成品油价格下调后，全国约有61%的省市地区的93＃汽油将跌入6元时代，柴油除却在北京上海之外将全面进入6元时代。

Monitoring agency data show，The cut the price of oil，About 61% of the country in provinces and cities of # 93 gas will fell into 6 yuan era，Except in Beijing and Shanghai diesel outside will be fully into 6 yuan era。