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美国能源市场恐受波及--亲民维稳网络舆情监测室
2012-10-29

  本报记者 杨博

Our reporter YangBo

  一场百年不遇的大风暴正在逼近美国东海岸。

A once in a blue moon big storm is approaching east coast of the United States.

  据气象机构消息,即将于本周初登陆美国东海岸的飓风“桑迪”可能与来自美国西部的初冬暴风雨和来自加拿大的寒流共同发威,令美国东北部地区遭遇百年来最严重的飓风,这场风暴或将给当地带来数十亿美元损失。

According to the meteorological agency news,Coming in at the beginning of this week on the east coast of the United States hurricane"sandy"May from the United States and western early winter storm and from Canada's cold snap punches together,To the northeast encounter one hundred years is the most serious hurricane,The storm or will give local bring billions of dollars loss.

  业内人士称,“桑迪”过境将给美国炼油设施、原油和汽油产品运输以及东海岸主要石油管线带来严重威胁,可能导致民用燃油市场出现供应瓶颈或中断。

The personage inside course of study says,"sandy"Transit will give the United States refining facilities/Crude oil and gasoline product transportation and east coast main oil pipeline bring serious threat,May lead to civil fuel market appear supply bottleneck or interrupt.

  百年一遇特大风暴

- very heavy storm

  据当地媒体报道,美国气象机构已经将即将到来的极端天气命名为“弗兰肯风暴”,该风暴预计由三种罕见的天气系统交汇而成:一是飓风“桑迪”、二是来自美国西部的初冬暴风雨、三是来自加拿大的寒流。气象专家预计,三股力量可能于30日在纽约或新泽西附近相遇,其强度或“媲美”新英格兰地区在1938年时曾出现的飓风,成为美国近百年来出现的最严重飓风。

According to local media reports,The meteorological agency has will coming extreme weather named"Franken storm",The storm expected by three kinds of rare weather system interchange and become:A hurricane is"sandy"/The second is from the United States in the west of the early winter storm/The third is the cold snap from Canada.Meteorological experts expect,Three forces may be in 30 days in New York or meet New Jersey near,The strength or"rival"The New England region in 1938 has been hurricane,The United States nearly years is the most serious hurricane appear.

  美联社援引美国国家海洋和大气管理局环境预测部门主管的话称,包括纽约、华盛顿特区、费城等人口密集的大都市在内,预计超过500万-600万人将受到本次飓风灾害的影响。一些地区将关闭学校、冻结交通并且关闭主要机场,这意味着将出现数十亿美元的损失。

The Associated Press quotes the national oceanic and atmospheric administration environment prediction department supervisor, said,Including New York/Washington, d.c./Philadelphia, dense metropolis,Is expected to more than 5 million - 6 million people will be subject to the influence of the hurricane disasters.Some areas will be closed the school/Freezing traffic and close the main airport,This means that there will be billions of dollars in damage.

  截至28日记者发稿时,美国新泽西州、弗吉尼亚州、马里兰州、宾夕法尼亚州、缅因州、纽约州等以及华盛顿特区均已宣布进入紧急状态。外界预计未来一两天将有更多的美国东部沿海州宣布进入紧急状态。

At 28, when a reporter,New Jersey/Virginia/Maryland/Pennsylvania/Maine/New York and Washington, d.c., have been declared a state of emergency.Outside of the expected future for a day or two will have more the United States eastern coastal state declared a state of emergency.

  气象学家称,在最坏的情况下,纽约市将遭遇有史以来最严重的风暴,风暴带来的狂风暴雨令城市轨道、隧道和桥梁面临危险。目前纽约市方面正在加紧对飓风的应对,当局称将视情况停止公共交通服务,封闭隧道和桥梁。不过在27日下午召开的新闻发布会上,纽约市市长布隆伯格表示目前还没有低洼地区的强制疏散计划。

Meteorologists say,In the worst case,New York city will encounter the most severe storms,The storm brought heavy winds and make urban rail/Tunnels and Bridges in the face of danger.At present in New York city are stepping up to the storm to deal with,Authorities say will see a circumstance to stop public traffic service,Closed tunnels and Bridges.But in the afternoon of 27, told a news conference,New York city mayor Michael bloomberg says there is no low-lying areas of forced evacuation plan.

  交易所做好“迎战”准备

Exchange do"against"Ready to

  去年8月飓风“艾琳”的造访曾造成纽约市地铁系统出现历史上首次被迫停运,并带来预计150亿美元的经济损失。

Cyclone last August"Irene"Visit has formed New York city subway system appeared for the first time in history forced outage,And bring expected 15 billion dollars in economic losses.

  风暴到来前,纽约各大证券和商品交易所均表示已经做好“迎战”准备。纽约证券交易所26日表示将维护交易系统的正常运行,并在制定应急措施。纳斯达克OMX集团也表示其电子股票交易平台将继续运行,且已经“充分预演了应急方案”,准备好在必要情况下实施。去年在飓风“艾琳”登陆时,这两大交易所仍然维持了正常运营。

Before the storm came,New York each big stock and Commodity Exchange are said to have"against"Ready to.The New York stock exchange 26 says it will maintain the normal operation of the trading system,And in making emergency measures.The nasdaq OMX group also said its electronic stock trading platform will continue to run,And has"Full preview the emergency plan",Ready for implementation of necessary conditions.Last year in the hurricane"Irene"landed,The two big exchange still maintain the normal operation.

  此外纽约商品交易所也表示将确保市场持续运作,没有关闭交易所的即期计划。拥有纽约商品交易所的芝加哥商业交易所集团(CME)发言人莱维尔还特别指出,CME的电子交易系统位于美国中西部地区。

In addition the New York mercantile exchange also said it would ensure that markets continue to operate,No close exchange sight plan.The New York mercantile exchange with the Chicago mercantile exchange group(CME)Spokesman lai will also specifically pointed out,CME electronic trading system is located in the Midwest.

  能源市场短期受波及

Short-term energy market by sweep

  分析人士认为,“桑迪”将给美国炼油设施、原油和汽油产品运输以及东海岸主要石油管线带来严重威胁。据悉,在美国东海岸的“桑迪”的预期行进路线上共有8家炼油厂,其中包括位于新泽西和宾夕法尼亚的6家炼油厂。PBF能源公司在特拉华州和新泽西的炼油设施等均在受影响的范围内,相关公司表示正在监视风暴,并将执行风灾防备中的标准流程。

Analysts believe that,"sandy"Will give the United States refining facilities/Crude oil and gasoline product transportation and east coast main oil pipeline bring serious threat.It is reported,In the east coast of the United States"sandy"Expected route a total of 8 oil refinery,Including is located in New Jersey and Pennsylvania six refineries.PBF energy company in Delaware and New Jersey refining facilities in all affected range,Related company says it is working to monitor the storm,And will carry out the storm against the standard procedure.

  截至26日收盘,纽约港RBOB汽油期货价格当天上涨0.88%至每加仑2.7美元。分析师称汽油期货价格变动反映出市场对供应链可能遭到破坏的担忧,不过任何关闭炼油设施的措施都将是短期的,“人们不会看到零售汽油价格受到太大影响,但风暴可能会减缓汽油价格下跌的趋势”。

By 26 closing,New York harbor RBOB gasoline futures prices rose 0.88% the day to $2.7 a gallon.Analysts say gasoline futures price change reflect market supply chain might be damaged concerns,But any closed oil refining facilities measures will be short-term,"People don't see retail gasoline prices are too big effect,But the storm could reduce gasoline prices trend".

  资料显示,2011年美国东海岸炼油厂日均生产汽油58万桶。美国能源情报署(EIA)预计在关闭部分炼油设施后,当地今年日均生产原油数量将降至42万桶。

Data shows,In 2011 the United States east coast oil refinery gasoline production daily 580000 barrels.The U.S. energy QingBaoShu(EIA)Is expected to close part of the oil refining after facilities,This year local daily crude production quantity will drop to 420000 barrels.

  此外,这场风暴还可能损害美国东部地区对西北部地区的民用燃油装运以及纽约港的油品进出口。

In addition,The storm may also damage the eastern United States of northwest region of the civil fuel shipment to the port of New York and oil import and export.

  不过,尽管“桑迪”可能对东海岸炼油设施造成影响而导致蒸馏油的产出下降,这场风暴对墨西哥湾地区的原油开采却不会造成影响,因而预计对原油价格影响有限。

but,although"sandy"To the east coast may affect oil refining facilities in distillation oil output decline,The storm to gulf of Mexico oil extraction did not influence,Thus to crude oil prices are expected to limited impact.



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