世界经济格局变迁与金融改革

The world economic structure change and financial reform

　　2012已近尾声，世界仍不平静。金融危机与欧债危机还在不断演变与发酵；包括中国在内，诸如中等收入陷阱等考验正在凸显；在世界多极化、经济全球化、新威胁新挑战层出不穷的今天，世界经济格局的变迁是否有迹可循？

2012 already near the end,The world is still not calm.The financial crisis and the debt crisis is in constant evolution and the fermentation;, including China,,Such as middle-income trap, test are highlighted;In the world multi-polarization/Economic globalization/The new threat new challenges emerge in endlessly today,The economic structure of the world change have leaves tracks?

　　面对失灵的年代，在一个不确定的世界里，国际经济秩序建设中的参与者们如何重建金融新框架和制定新的规则？怎样推进更具包容性和广泛性的全球合作与发展？

In the face of the failure of the s,In an uncertain world,International economic order in the construction of the participants how to rebuild financial new framework and make new rules?How to promote more inclusiveness and universality of global cooperation and development?

　　旨在“构建全球金融，新资本、新价值、新世界”的国际金融论坛（IFF）试图通过IFF成员间以及参会嘉宾和国内外财经政要的高层对话，找到上述话题可能的解决方案。

Aims to"Building global financial,New capital/New value/New world"International financial BBS(IFF)Try to through the IFF and among the members of the forum guests at home and abroad and financial leaders high-level dialogue,Find the above topic possible solutions.

　　诚然，欧债危机、中东变局等一系列事件使国际经济形势更加扑朔迷离，欧美主权债务危机加深，欧元区的复苏之路困难重重。欧洲政策研究中心首席执行官卡雷尔·莱诺说，欧盟目前面临的最大威胁是民众抵触情绪；但就欧洲而言，紧缩政策并非选择问题，而是交流的问题。

admittedly,The debt crisis/The Middle East upheavals and a series of events that international economic situation more complicated and confusing,Europe and the United States sovereign debt crisis deepened,The euro area's the way to recovery difficulties.European policy research center's chief executive carrel laetitia said,The European Union is faced with is the biggest threat to the public outlaw motion;But as for Europe,Deflation policy is not selection problem,But the problem of communication.

　　不同于东欧国家的“改革疲劳症”，中国各地表现出了积极的改革热情。中国人民银行行长周小川认为，全球经济要想实现强劲、平衡、可持续的增长，面临着一系列的挑战。而这些挑战，取决于下一步改革的进程，有多大的决心，需要进行哪些改革。而自下而上的金融改革被周小川认为是尤其值得关注的。这个思路不仅针对于中国，对各国亦有借鉴。

Different eastern Europe countries"Reform fatigue",Around China showed positive reform enthusiasm.The people's bank of China governor zhou xiaochuan think,The global economy to realize the strong/balance/Sustainable growth,Faced with a series of challenges.And these challenges,Depends on the next step of the reform process,How much determination,What should reform.And the bottom of the financial reform is zhou xiaochuan think is especially notable.This idea not only for China,For countries also have reference.

　　而放眼未来十年、二十年，世界经济增长的新动力(310328,基金吧)何在？斯坦福大学国际发展中心主任尼古拉斯·霍普说，全球经济的新一轮增长将是“创新驱动”；亚洲开发银行首席经济学家李昌镛称，未来十年，亚洲仍然是一个非常重要的增长点。

And in the next ten years/Twenty years,World economic growth of new driving force(310328,Fund it)what?Stanford university, director of the center for international development nicolas hope said,The new round of global economic growth will be"Innovation drive";The Asian development bank chief economist LiChangYong says,The next decade,Asia is still a very important growth point.

　　具体到中国，经济企稳的迹象忽明忽暗。国务院发展研究中心金融研究所所长张承惠担忧，政府与市场界限不清，中国证券市场恐现恶性循环的状况。春华资本集团主席胡祖六剑指“监管过度是阻碍我国资本市场未来发展的最重要制度障碍”。

Specific to China,The economy stabilises signs guttering.The state council development research center director of the financial research institute ZhangChengHui concerns,The government and the market limit is not clear,China's securities market is the status of the risk of a vicious cycle.Spring capital group chairman HuZuLiu refers to the sword"Supervision over is hinder the our country capital market in the future development of the most important system obstacles".

　　而正在加快的人民币国际化进程中，如何处理好利率、汇率市场化改革，以及中国资本项目开放的次序问题已成当务之急。德意志银行大中华区首席经济学家马骏说，应通过资本项目开放来积极主动地推进人民币国际化；但中央财经大学金融学院院长张礼卿认为，政府不要急于通过加快资本账户的开放去刻意推进人民币国际化。

And are accelerated in the process of RMB internationalization,How to deal with good interest rates/Exchange rate marketization reform,And China's capital project open order problem has become a top priority.Deutsche bank chief economist in the greater China region a fair said,Should be through the capital projects open to actively promote RMB internationalization;But the central university of finance and economics, dean of the college of finance ZhangLiQing think,The government don't jump through the speed up the opening of the capital account to deliberately propulsion RMB internationalization.

　　概而言之，这场进一步探讨世界经济格局变迁与全球金融改革的高层对话，为世界和中国经济金融的未来发展提供了前瞻性的思想和可能的途径。

compactness,The further explore the world economic structure change and global financial reform, high-level dialogue,For the world and the future of China's economic and financial development provides a forward-looking ideas and possible way.