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成品油上调在即 两大油企提前控销推涨--亲稳网络舆情监测室
2012-08-07

  有分析师表示,目前两大油企每个地区都有惜售情况出现,基本都是批零一价,等待发改委调价

Analysts said,Introduce the two existing enterprises each region has rised situation,Basic is a retail price,Waiting for the refiners to the national development and reform commission

  ■本报记者 李春莲

S LiChunLian our reporter

  如发改委不延迟调价,本周将迎来油价年内第三次上调。

Such as development and reform commission not delay there,This week in the third time oil prices years will increase。

  早在7月30日,三地原油变化率就已达到4%,只静等22个工作日的到来,就满足上调油价的条件。

In early July 30,,The three places crude oil rate had reached 4%,Only waiting the arrival of 22 days,Satisfy the conditions to increase oil prices。

  中宇资讯三地原油监测模型显示,截至外盘8月3日,三地原油连续22日移动加权均价每桶103.230美元,基准均价每桶97.502美元,三地原油变化率+5.87%,较前一日涨0.31%。

ZhongYu information monitoring model shows that three places crude oil,By WaiPan August 3,The three places for 22 consecutive moving crude oil weighted average price of $103.230 a barrel,The benchmark price $97.502 a barrel,The three places crude oil rate + 5.87%,The previous day rose 0.31%。

  上周五原油大涨,三地变化率上涨拉宽,预计到调价日8月10日,三地变化率将突破7%。

Crude oil rose on Friday,The three places rate rise pull wide,Is expected to introduce th August 10,,The three places to break through the change rate of 7%。

  由于油价上调预期浓烈,包括中石化中石油都开始控制销售,推涨油价。

Because the oil price rise expected powerful,Including sinopec oil began to control in sales,Push up oil prices。

  批零一价等上调 Zero one price rises

  两桶油控销推涨油价 Two barrels of oil prices pushed up control pin

  据大宗产品电子商务平台金银岛了解,昨日广东市场主营进一步加强控销力度,中石油方面控制较为严格,汽油200吨和柴油100吨以上大单停止销售;中石化出货政策相对宽松。广州中海油每天汽柴整体出货量仅限制在300吨以内。

According to major product e-commerce platform treasure island understanding,Guangdong market yesterday to further strengthen efforts to control the main marketing,More stringent control in oil,Gasoline and diesel oil 200 tons of above 100 tons of large single stop sales;Sinopec shipment relatively loose policy。Guangzhou cnooc steam wood every day is limited only in whole shipments within 300 tons。

  金银岛分析师董丽珠表示,由此可见,主营控销举措明显,惜售心态十分强烈。

Treasure island analysts DongLiZhu said,This shows,The main control marketing move clearly,Rised mentality is very strong。

  “每个地区的销售公司都有惜售情况出现。现在基本都是批零一价,等待发改委调价中。”卓创资讯分析师刘峰也告诉《证券日报》记者,一般在国际油价涨幅超过4%的时候,成品油销售公司就会出现惜售的心态了。

“Each area sales companies have rised situation。Now basic is a retail price,Waiting for the development and reform commission in there。”Zhuo and information LiuFeng also told analysts《Securities daily》reporter,General in the international oil prices rose more than 4% of the time,Product sales company will appear rised state of mind。

  虽然两桶油惜售推涨的心态强烈,但是相较之下,市场反应平淡,预计短期市场或将延续平淡态势。

Although two barrels of oil pushed up the mentality of the strong rised,But in contrast,Market reacted calmly,Expected short-term market or will be insipid situation。

  据卓创资讯了解,目前沿江地区两大集团下属加油站多按照零售价销售,而区内的社会加油站汽柴促销幅度也不断收缩,甚至湖南地区汽柴暂无优惠,湖北柴油暂无优惠。

According to zhuo and understand the information,At present in the two groups along the gas stations subordinate according to the retail price sales,And the social gas station steam wood promotion range constantly contraction,Even in hunan steam wood no discount,Hubei diesel no discount。

  刘峰表示,虽然这周末市场将迎来发改委的新一次油价上调,但是就全国的中石油中石化来看其销售情况并不很好,甚至部分地区销售量比之前下降近三成。主要是中石油中石化目前批零一价,对于下游零售商来说无利润可言,故放弃从两大主营进货。

LiuFeng said,Although this weekend market will have a new development and reform commission raised oil prices,But the national petroleum sinopec come to see its sales situation is not very good,Even some area than before sales drop nearly thirty percent。Main is currently in a retail price of oil sinopec,For the downstream retailers without profit to speak it,So give up from two main stock。

  中宇资讯分析师高承莎也称:“昨日部分市场中石化、中石油柴油资源补涨,多推涨至零售限价附近或零售到位价,部分地区出现较强控制销售节奏的心态和政策。”

ZhongYu information analysts GaoChengSha also says:“Yesterday the parts of the market、Petroleum diesel in BuZhang resources,Many retail prices pushed up to near or retail price in place,Part of the region appear strong rhythm of attitude and control sales policy。”

  据卓创资讯了解,昨日,广西地区中石化柴油停止批发,直销价格连续几日推涨,目前主流成交价在7950-8000元/吨;中石油柴油批发仍可搭售出货,但需搭售乙醇汽油,直销最低价格涨至7980元/吨。昆明地区两大主营柴油价格周末时上涨,均上涨50元/吨,成交可根据客户等级进行优惠,最低成交仍在7755元/吨。贵阳地区两大主营汽柴价格保持稳定,但据了解,价格仍有上涨趋势。

According to zhuo and understand the information,yesterday,The region of guangxi sinopec diesel stop wholesale,Direct selling prices pushed up for days,At present the mainstream in 7950-8000, clinch a deal valence yuan/ton;Petroleum diesel in wholesale can still sell goods delivery,But need to sell ethanol and gasoline,Direct selling the lowest price rise to 7980 yuan/ton。Kunming area two main diesel prices rise on weekends,All rise 50 yuan/ton,Clinch a deal may be based on customer levels preferential,Clinch a deal is still in the lowest 7755 yuan/ton。In guiyang two main steam wood prices stable,But according to understand,Prices are still rising trend。

  高承莎表示,上周全国汽柴油价格主流走稳,因上周原油多处于震荡走势,故主营地炼观望心态较强,且虽有推价心态,但终端需求无明显改观,故推涨动力不足,主流涨幅在50-100元/吨左右。

GaoChengSha said,Last week the national mainstream go on gasoline and diesel prices,Last week in shock because crude oil more movements,So the main tried to look strong mentality,And although have push price mentality,But no obvious final demand change,So push up underpowered,Mainstream or in 50-100 yuan/tons。

  原油价格大涨 Crude oil prices rose

  预计油价本周上调 Oil prices are expected to rise this week

  由于美国上周发布的就业报告及服务业指数均好于预期,给市场带来了乐观情绪。纽约原油期货价格上周五收盘上涨,创下两个星期以来的最高收盘价。

Because the United States employment report released last week and the services index are better than expected,To market with the optimism。Crude oil futures prices in New York last Friday finished up,In two weeks the highest close since。

  中宇资讯三地原油监测模型显示,截至外盘8月3日,三地原油连续22日移动加权均价每桶103.230美元,基准均价每桶97.502美元,三地原油变化率+5.87%,较前一日涨0.31%。

ZhongYu information monitoring model shows that three places crude oil,By WaiPan August 3,The three places for 22 consecutive moving crude oil weighted average price of $103.230 a barrel,The benchmark price $97.502 a barrel,The three places crude oil rate + 5.87%,The previous day rose 0.31%。

  高承莎称,8月10日将满足22个工作日的调价条件,估测参考上调幅度330元/吨,约合90#汽油0.24元/升,0#柴油0.28元/升,最终调价幅度仍要看未来三日国际原油及汇率等波动。

GaoChengSha says,August 10, will meet the 22 days there conditions,Estimates range reference raised 330 yuan/ton,$# 90 gas 0.24 yuan/l,0 # diesel 0.28 yuan/l,Finally there is still to see the future by three days and exchange rate fluctuations in international crude oil etc。

  据卓创资讯了解,目前相关公司柴油资源正常,控制销售的主要目的则为制造紧张气氛,促进本轮涨价能及时落实。为推动本轮调价及时落实,两桶油或进行高价控量、甚至停批以“逼宫”发改委调价。

According to zhuo and understand the information,The relevant company diesel resources to normal,The main purpose of the control sales is for tensions,Promote this price in time for the implementation。To promote this refiners out in time,Two barrels of oil or high volume control、Even stop of“Forcing the”Refiners to the national development and reform commission。

  但是,各大社会机构均认为本周末发改委会按时上调油价。

but,Each big social institutions are thought to the national development and reform commission on time this weekend will increase oil prices。

  中宇资讯分析师王金涛告诉《证券日报》记者:“目前国际原油价格仍处上行通道,推迟调价反而有加大调价幅度的风险,而且从前几周国内成品油批发市场本身的预期以及零售价三连跌后市场的承受能力来看,我们认为这次成品油零售价“按时”调整的可能性会非常的大。”

ZhongYu information analysts WangJinTao told《Securities daily》reporter:“The international oil prices still at uplink channel,Delay has increased instead introduce the amplitude of the pricing risk,And once upon a time a few weeks of domestic oil products wholesale market itself and the retail price fell three even expected after the market's ability to see the bear,We think the refined oil retail price“On time”The possibility of adjustment will be very large。”



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